{"id":1446642,"date":"2026-05-06T13:37:47","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T12:37:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1446642"},"modified":"2026-05-06T13:37:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T12:37:48","slug":"match-preview-mainz-vs-union-berlin-10-05-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-mainz-vs-union-berlin-10-05-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Mainz vs Union Berlin: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>With both <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/mainz-05\/\">Mainz<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/union-berlin\/\">Union Berlin<\/a> fighting to cement their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/bundesliga\/\">Bundesliga<\/a> status, this Sunday\u2019s clash at the MEWA Arena is set up as a pivotal encounter. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Union Berlin have held the upper hand in recent meetings, but Mainz\u2019s attacking midfield and Union\u2019s defensive grit make this a compelling matchup. Kick-off is at 18:30 on Sunday 10 May, and both sides will be desperate for points to close out the season on a high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent performance data and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for Mainz vs Union Berlin. We&#8217;re particularly confident in a tight, low-scoring affair, given both teams&#8217; struggles to convert chances and Union\u2019s tendency for clean sheets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/dl\/sportsbookredirect?affiliate=365_03928583&amp;bs=193000835-1068545395~6\/5~0|35540184-47972~11\/10~0|2766396300-128965828429~11\/10~0&amp;bet=1\">6\/5 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(45.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both teams have struggled for efficiency up front: Mainz have missed 63 big chances this season, while Union Berlin convert just 30.4% of their shots. Five of the last six H2H meetings have produced two goals or fewer.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score \u2013 No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betfred.com\/affiliates?affiliate_id=115101&amp;btag=a_115101b_0&amp;targeturl=https:\/\/www.betfred.com\/external-betslip?selection=966090593\">11\/10 @ Betfred<\/a><br>(47.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Union Berlin have kept six clean sheets this season, and Mainz have managed just three. Neither side has a prolific striker in form, and previous meetings often see one team blanked \u2013 including three of the last six encounters.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h2><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/smarkets-review\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SBK betting offer<\/a>: Bet \u00a310, get \u00a340 in free bets<\/strong><\/h2>\r\n<p>Eligible readers* interested in this SBK betting offer can follow <strong><a href=\"\/en\/go\/smarkets?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">THIS LINK<\/a> <\/strong>or click the image below.<\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/smarkets?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1422500\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"803\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145.png 625w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-233x300.png 233w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-208x267.png 208w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-156x200.png 156w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-47x60.png 47w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-117x150.png 117w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-31x40.png 31w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">New UK customers only. Min \u00a310 first deposit using Debit Card or Bank Transfer. Place a bet of \u00a310 at min odds of 2.0 and get a \u00a310 Football Bet Builder token upon settlement. A \u00a310 Multiple token, a \u00a35 Horse Racing Multiple token and a \u00a35 Football Bet Builder token will be credited after 24 hours. A further \u00a310 Free Bet token will be credited 48 hours after the qualifying bet has been settled.\u00a0<\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\"><a class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/help.getsbk.com\/hc\/en-gb\/articles\/21601526176669-UK-Welcome-bonus-Bet-10-get-40-in-Free-Bets-T-C-s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"https:\/\/help.getsbk.com\/hc\/en-gb\/articles\/21601526176669-UK-Welcome-bonus-Bet-10-get-40-in-Free-Bets-T-C-s\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">Full T&amp;Cs<\/a><\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">\u00a0apply, 18+.\u00a0<\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\"><a class=\"c-link\" href=\"http:\/\/gambleaware.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"http:\/\/GambleAware.org\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">GambleAware.org<\/a><\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">.<\/i><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both Mainz and Union Berlin find themselves in the lower half of the table, with Mainz in 10th (37 points) and Union Berlin trailing in 13th (33 points). Union\u2019s recent slump has seen them drop two places in the last round, while Mainz\u2019s modest win tally highlights their inconsistency. Here\u2019s how both sides compare:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">41<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Union Berlin<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">57<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Nadiem Amiri (Mainz):<\/strong> 11 league goals, 52.6% shot accuracy, 55 key passes. An all-action midfielder who\u2019s vital for Mainz\u2019s creativity and set pieces.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Paul Nebel (Mainz):<\/strong> 38 key passes, 8 big chances created \u2013 energetic, but finishing needs work (18.2% shot accuracy).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rani Khedira (Union Berlin):<\/strong> 5 goals from midfield, 16 key passes, but offers more in ball-winning and distribution (65.5% pass accuracy).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Danilho Doekhi (Union Berlin):<\/strong> 5 goals, 76.5% pass accuracy \u2013 a threat at set pieces and reliable at the back.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Union Berlin have dominated this fixture in recent seasons, winning two of the last five meetings. Mainz have managed just one win in their 13 Bundesliga encounters to date, and the last three matches have all ended in draws or Union victories.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10\/01\/26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Union Berlin 2-2 Mainz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/01\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24\/08\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">07\/02\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20\/08\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Union Berlin 4-1 Mainz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-final-thoughts\">Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Will Mainz\u2019s creative midfield finally convert their chances, or will Union Berlin\u2019s defensive resilience and head-to-head record prove decisive again? With both teams plagued by inefficiency in front of goal and a tendency to keep things tight, the value looks to be on a low-scoring draw or a cagey affair. We\u2019re backing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/dl\/sportsbookredirect?affiliate=365_03928583&amp;bs=193000835-1068545395~6\/5~0|35540184-47972~11\/10~0|2766396300-128965828429~11\/10~0&amp;bet=1\">Under 2.5 Goals at 6\/5 (45.5%) with Bet365<\/a> as the standout bet for this clash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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<\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/lafc-vs-real-salt-lake-predictions-betting-tips\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/07\/21164710\/match_preview-international-friendly-1-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"LAFC vs Real Salt Lake: predictions, best bets and latest odds\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/lafc-vs-real-salt-lake-predictions-betting-tips\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">LAFC vs Real Salt Lake: predictions, best bets and latest odds<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">11 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With both Mainz and Union Berlin fighting to cement their Bundesliga status, this Sunday\u2019s clash at the MEWA Arena is set up as a pivotal encounter. U&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1446639,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Mainz vs Union Berlin, Bundesliga predictions, betting tips, best odds, bookmaker offers, football betting, match preview, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Mainz vs Union Berlin: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Mainz and Union Berlin on Sunday 10 May.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1446642","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mainz vs Union Berlin: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Mainz and Union Berlin on Sunday 10 May.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-mainz-vs-union-berlin-10-05-26-bundesliga\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mainz vs Union Berlin: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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