{"id":1446634,"date":"2026-05-06T12:40:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T11:40:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1446634"},"modified":"2026-05-06T12:40:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T11:40:06","slug":"match-preview-athletic-bilbao-vs-valencia-10-05-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-athletic-bilbao-vs-valencia-10-05-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

With just five points separating Athletic Bilbao<\/a> and Valencia<\/a> in the La Liga<\/a> table, this mid-table clash at San Mam\u00e9s takes on extra significance as both sides chase a strong finish to the 2025\/26 campaign. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bilbao\u2019s shot-happy approach meets a Valencia side that has kept more clean sheets, but neither has quite matched their expected goals. Kick-off is set for 15:15 on Sunday at San Mam\u00e9s, where both teams will be eager to turn promising data into points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on recent form, shot data, and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Athletic Bilbao, given their higher shot volume and more efficient finishing\u2014especially at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Athletic Bilbao to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n8\/11 @ Betfair<\/a>
(57.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWe are backing Bilbao to win because they’ve registered more shots (462 vs 398), create a higher volume of chances, and have a more efficient main striker (Guruzeta, 42% shot accuracy). Their home advantage and higher xG suggest they are due a result.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n10\/11 @ bet365<\/a>
(52.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThere could be value here due to both teams underperforming their expected goals (xG) totals, indicating goals could be coming. Both have conceded 50 goals this season, and the last six head-to-heads have averaged exactly 2.0 goals per game, but the underlying numbers suggest a more open game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

Stakemate Offer<\/a>: Bet \u00a310, get \u00a320 in free bets<\/h2>\r\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\r\n

How to claim:<\/strong><\/p>\r\n

    \r\n
  1. Go to Stakemate using this link<\/strong><\/a>.<\/li>\r\n
  2. Download the app and create your account<\/li>\r\n
  3. Place your first bet of \u00a310 or more (minimum odds of 2\/1)<\/li>\r\n
  4. Once settled, receive 4 x \u00a35 free bets - minimum 3 selections and 2\/1 odds on each bet.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n
    \r\n
    \r\n
    \r\n
    \r\n

    #AD 18+ New Customers Only. Place any \u00a310 bet to qualify, min 2.0 (1\/1) odds. Qualifying bet must settle, excluding cash outs. Bonus credited with 24hrs of settlement. 4 x \u00a35 free bets. Free bets min 3 selections and 3.0 odds. Returns exclude free bet stake. Expiry applies. Full T&Cs apply.<\/em><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Athletic Bilbao sit 8th with 44 points from 34 games, while Valencia are 12th on 39 points. Both sides have a negative goal difference, but Bilbao edge it in attack, scoring three more goals over the campaign so far. Neither side has enjoyed consistent form, with Bilbao\u2019s win percentage (38%) notably higher than Valencia\u2019s (29%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Athletic Bilbao<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n-10<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Valencia<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n-13<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n