{"id":1445798,"date":"2026-04-30T10:31:07","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T09:31:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1445798"},"modified":"2026-04-30T10:31:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T09:31:09","slug":"match-preview-st-pauli-vs-mainz-03-05-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-st-pauli-vs-mainz-03-05-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"St. Pauli vs Mainz: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

With the Bundesliga<\/a> season entering its decisive weeks, St. Pauli<\/a> host Mainz<\/a> at the Millerntor-Stadion in a clash that could have major implications at both ends of the table. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

St. Pauli, still desperate for points to avoid the drop, face a Mainz side looking to solidify their mid-table status. Kick-off is at 14:30 on Sunday 3 May, with both teams coming off very contrasting performances last time out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on recent stats and trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We\u2019re particularly confident in the Both Teams To Score market due to the defensive frailties both sides have shown all season long.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Both Teams To Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n10\/11 @ Matchbook<\/a>
(52.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBoth teams have struggled defensively: St. Pauli have conceded 53 goals in 31 matches, while Mainz have let in 49. Recent data also shows Mainz created 15 key passes and scored 3 against Bayern, while St. Pauli have scored in over half their home games. We expect both sides to find the net here.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mainz to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n7\/4 @ Matchbook<\/a>
(36.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nMainz have won two of their last three meetings with St. Pauli and are coming off a confidence-boosting 3-4 result against Bayern. Their attack has outperformed St. Pauli all season (39 goals vs 26), and their slightly better defensive record gives them an edge in this match-up.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    St. Pauli are mired in the relegation playoff spot, while Mainz sit in a safer mid-table position after 31 games. St. Pauli\u2019s -27 goal difference sums up their defensive frailty, while Mainz\u2019s -10 shows they\u2019ve only been moderately better at the back but far more productive in attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    St. Pauli<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n-27<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Mainz<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n-10<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n