{"id":1445562,"date":"2026-04-29T12:18:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T11:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1445562"},"modified":"2026-04-29T12:18:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T11:18:08","slug":"match-preview-roma-vs-fiorentina-04-05-26-serie-a","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-roma-vs-fiorentina-04-05-26-serie-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Roma vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Roma<\/a> welcome Fiorentina<\/a> to the Stadio Olimpico on Monday 4th May for a clash that pits a Serie A<\/a> top-six contender against a side still searching for consistency. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The hosts have outscored their visitors by a hefty margin this season and boast a stronger defensive record, yet recent head-to-heads show Fiorentina are capable of upsetting the odds. Kick-off is at 19:45, and with both sides featuring key attacking talents, this fixture offers plenty for punters to consider.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on Roma’s superior season-long stats and their attacking edge, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Roma to win, given their home strength and Fiorentina’s away struggles, but also see value in goal markets due to both teams’ chance creation profiles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Roma to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n4\/6 @ Betfred<\/a>
(60.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nRoma have won more than twice as many matches as Fiorentina this season and have scored 10 more goals. Their home form and attacking output give them a clear edge over a Fiorentina side with just eight wins in 34 games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n5\/6 @ Betfair<\/a>
(54.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBoth sides create plenty of chances, with Roma and Fiorentina combining for 103 big chances this season. Fiorentina\u2019s high number of missed opportunities suggests they will get chances, even if Roma are favourites.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Roma have put together a strong campaign, sitting 6th with 61 points from 34 matches (19W, 4D, 11L, +19 GD). Fiorentina, by contrast, are 15th with 37 points (8W, 13D, 13L, -7 GD), and have struggled for wins, particularly away from home. Roma\u2019s win rate (56%) dwarfs Fiorentina\u2019s (24%), and their goal difference highlights the gulf in quality seen across the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Roma<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n29<\/td>\n+19<\/td>\n61<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Fiorentina<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n-7<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n