{"id":1444948,"date":"2026-04-24T09:45:44","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T08:45:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1444948"},"modified":"2026-04-24T09:45:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T08:45:45","slug":"match-preview-atletico-madrid-vs-athletic-bilbao-25-04-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-atletico-madrid-vs-athletic-bilbao-25-04-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/atletico-de-madrid\/\">Atletico Madrid<\/a> welcome <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/athletic-club\/\">Athletic Bilbao<\/a> to the capital in a Saturday night showdown at the Metropolitano, with the hosts looking to cement their top-four <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/la-liga-predictions-25-26\/\">La Liga<\/a> status and the visitors aiming to turn around a season of missed chances. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kick-off is set for 20:00 on 25 April. Athletic have struggled to convert promising attacking numbers into points, while Atletico boast efficiency at both ends of the pitch\u2014a contrast that could shape the betting landscape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on Atletico&#8217;s superior home record and Bilbao&#8217;s persistent finishing woes, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Atletico Madrid to win, given their clinical attack and strong head-to-head advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Atletico Madrid to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/dl\/sportsbookredirect?affiliate=365_03841577&amp;bs=192612585-1014080627~6\/5~0&amp;bet=1\">6\/5 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(45.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atletico have won 11 of the last 19 meetings with Bilbao, and their attack has outperformed expected goals by a clear margin. The hosts are more clinical in front of goal and boast a strong home record.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betfair.com\/redirect.aspx?pid=17720938&amp;lpid=159&amp;bid=1615\">11\/10 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(47.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atletico keep clean sheets in over one-third of their games, and Bilbao&#8217;s shot conversion is among the league&#8217;s poorest. Their last two head-to-heads have both ended with at least one side failing to score.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2><strong>Bet \u00a310 &amp; Get \u00a330 in Free Bets with Bet365<\/strong><\/h2>\r\n<p>Not signed up to bet365 yet? Here's how to claim one of the best bookmaker welcome offers around...\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><strong>Open an account (<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here's a link<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Make a qualifying deposit of between \u00a35* and \u00a310*<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Claim the offer to receive three times your deposit in 'Free Bets'.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>To release your 'Free Bets', place qualifying bets to the value of your qualifying deposit and allow those bets to settle.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Your 'Free Bets' will become available shortly after your qualifying bets have settled<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>To use your 'Free Bets', select 'Use bet credits' in the bet slip.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1422493 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-1024x446.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"446\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-1024x446.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-768x335.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-400x174.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-459x200.png 459w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-138x60.png 138w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-150x65.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-40x17.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141.png 1537w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><em>Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&amp;Cs apply.<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Atletico Madrid have steadily maintained a top-four push, currently sitting in 4th with 57 points. Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, find themselves in 9th, their season undermined by a lack of cutting edge in attack and a leaky defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atletico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">53<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">35<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">57<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Athletic Bilbao<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">34<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">45<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">41<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Antoine Griezmann (Atletico):<\/strong> Averages 2.1 shots on target per 90 minutes and remains Atletico&#8217;s creative heartbeat, with a direct hand in over 30% of their goals this season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Nicholas Williams (Athletic Bilbao):<\/strong> Leads Bilbao for chances created and is a constant threat down the right, but has struggled for end product, mirroring the team\u2019s xG issues.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Alexander S\u00f8rloth (Atletico):<\/strong> Provides aerial presence and is a frequent target for crosses, factoring in several big chances per match.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-4-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Atletico have taken three wins from the last four matchups with Athletic Bilbao, including two clean sheets. Bilbao did win the last matchup, though.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">06\/12\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Atletico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">01\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atletico Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31\/08\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27\/04\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atletico Madrid 3-1 Athletic Bilbao<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Will Atletico&#8217;s Efficiency Outweigh Bilbao&#8217;s Missed Chances?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With Atletico Madrid showing a greater ability to convert chances and control matches, and Bilbao underperforming their expected goals tally, the data points toward a home win. If you\u2019re looking to back a result, Atletico Madrid to win at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/dl\/sportsbookredirect?affiliate=365_03841577&amp;bs=192612585-1014080627~6\/5~0&amp;bet=1\">6\/5 with Bet365<\/a> (45.5%) looks the best value. Will Bilbao finally find their cutting edge, or will Atletico\u2019s efficiency decide the contest once again?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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alt=\"Most saves at World Cup 2026: Which goalkeeper has made the most saves at World Cup 2026?\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/stat-leaders-world-cup-2026-most-saves\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Most saves at World Cup 2026: Which goalkeeper has made the most saves at World Cup 2026?<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/deansmith\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Dean Smith                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">2 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Atletico Madrid welcome Athletic Bilbao to the capital in a Saturday night showdown at the Metropolitano, with the hosts looking to cement their top-fou&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1444947,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao, predictions, stats, betting tips, odds, La Liga, bookmaker offers, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the La Liga 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