{"id":1444546,"date":"2026-04-22T10:09:41","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T09:09:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1444546"},"modified":"2026-04-22T10:09:42","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T09:09:42","slug":"match-preview-mainz-vs-bayern-munich-25-04-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-mainz-vs-bayern-munich-25-04-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Mainz vs Bayern Munich: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/bayern-munchen\/\">Bayern Munich<\/a> travel to face <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/mainz-05\/\">Mainz<\/a> in a meeting that starkly highlights the gulf between the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/bundesliga\/\">Bundesliga<\/a>\u2019s leaders and a mid-table side. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kick-off is at 14:30 on Saturday 25 April at the MEWA Arena, and the visitors arrive boasting the league&#8217;s most potent attack and a record that dwarfs their hosts in almost every metric. With Bayern\u2019s relentless goal-scoring form and Mainz\u2019s struggles for clean sheets, this clash looks set to be defined by the Bavarians\u2019 firepower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on Bayern&#8217;s astonishing attacking record and Mainz\u2019s defensive vulnerabilities, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We\u2019re especially confident in a goals-based selection, given the trends and the quality of Bayern\u2019s front line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 3.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/dl\/sportsbookredirect?affiliate=365_03928583&amp;bs=192613350-1040995146~1\/1~0&amp;bet=1\">1\/1 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(50.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We are backing goals, as Bayern average 3.6 per game and Mainz concede 1.5. The last three league clashes between these sides have all produced at least four goals. Bayern\u2019s shot volume and accuracy point to another high-scoring encounter.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams To Score &#8211; No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/media.betfair.com\/redirect.aspx?pid=17720938&amp;lpid=159&amp;bid=1615\">9\/5 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(35.7%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here due to Bayern\u2019s 11 clean sheets in 30 matches and Mainz\u2019s struggle to find the net against top opposition. Bayern\u2019s defensive record is the best in the league, and Mainz have failed to score in four of their last six against top-four sides.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2 class=\"article-page__title\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betmgm-sportsbook?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BetMGM<\/a> sign-up offer: Get \u00a340 in bonuses when you bet \u00a310<\/h2>\r\n<p><strong>Not signed up to BetMGM yet? 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Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. Full T&amp;Cs apply. 18+\u00a0<a class=\"c-link\" href=\"http:\/\/gambleaware.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"http:\/\/GambleAware.org\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">GambleAware.org<\/a><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bayern Munich have already secured the Bundesliga title and go into this match off the back of a four match winning run. Mainz are safely in midtable but their negative goal difference and two games without a win will be a worry to the hosts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern Munich<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">109<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">80<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">79<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">45<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">34<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Harry Kane (Bayern Munich):<\/strong> 32 goals in 30 matches (1.07 per game), with a shot accuracy of 57.7%. Kane has found the net in nearly every recent appearance, underlining his status as the division\u2019s most consistent threat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Luis Diaz (Bayern Munich):<\/strong> Bayern\u2019s creative leader with 13 assists and 15 goals, Diaz also averages over 2 key contributions (goals or assists) per 90 minutes. His pace and directness regularly open up defences.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Wisdom Mike (Bayern Munich):<\/strong> Often tasked with stretching defences, he adds another dimension to Bayern\u2019s attack, offering width and supporting Kane and Diaz with his runs and link-up play.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Kasey Bos (Mainz):<\/strong> One of Mainz\u2019s main attacking outlets, Bos will be tasked with capitalising on any rare opportunities against a disciplined Bayern backline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bayern have won three of the last five meetings between these two sides, with goals galore on both sides in recent years. Here\u2019s how the most recent encounters have played out:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14\/12\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/04\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern Munich 3-0 Mainz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 2-1 Bayern Munich<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/03\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern Munich 8-1 Mainz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/10\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 1-3 Bayern Munich<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will Bayern&#8217;s Brilliance Be Too Much for Mainz?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bayern Munich\u2019s numbers this season are virtually unmatched, and their attacking line led by Harry Kane and Luis Diaz remains the defining threat. While Mainz have managed a shock win and a high-scoring draw in recent years, the statistical gulf this campaign is huge. Our top tips focus on goals \u2014 especially <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/dl\/sportsbookredirect?affiliate=365_03928583&amp;bs=192613350-1040995146~1\/1~0&amp;bet=1\">Over 3.5 Goals at 1\/1 with Bet365<\/a> (50.0%), which looks strong given the attacking trends. Can Mainz spring another surprise, or will Bayern\u2019s relentless machine roll on?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/harry-edwards\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Harry Edwards                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">9 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/senegal-world-cup-2026-fixtures-squad-analysis\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/05\/10170148\/3DG6NYF-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Senegal World Cup 2026: Fixtures, manager, squad depth and tactical analysis\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/senegal-world-cup-2026-fixtures-squad-analysis\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Senegal World Cup 2026: Fixtures, manager, squad depth and tactical analysis<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">11 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mainz vs Bayern Munich: Match Preview, Predictions &#038; Odds<br \/>\nBayern Munich travel to face Mainz in a meeting that starkly highlights the gulf between the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1444544,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Mainz vs Bayern Munich, Bundesliga predictions, betting tips, best odds, head-to-head, Harry Kane, Luis Diaz, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Mainz vs Bayern Munich: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Mainz and Bayern Munich on Saturday 25 April.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1444546","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mainz vs Bayern Munich: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Mainz and Bayern Munich on Saturday 25 April.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-mainz-vs-bayern-munich-25-04-26-bundesliga\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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