{"id":1442297,"date":"2026-04-09T11:00:54","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T10:00:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1442297"},"modified":"2026-04-09T11:00:57","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T10:00:57","slug":"match-preview-st-pauli-vs-bayern-munich-11-04-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-st-pauli-vs-bayern-munich-11-04-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"St Pauli vs Bayern Munich: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/bayern-munchen\/\">Bayern Munich<\/a> travel to the Millerntor-Stadion to face <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/st-pauli\/\">St Pauli<\/a> in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/bundesliga\/\">Bundesliga<\/a> fixture that pits the league\u2019s top side against one of its most vulnerable. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Bayern dominating the head-to-head in recent years and St Pauli struggling at both ends, the gulf between the teams is stark ahead of their meeting. Kick-off is at 17:30 on Saturday 11 April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on season-long attacking data, head-to-head dominance, and the vast difference in firepower, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We\u2019re particularly confident in Bayern Munich\u2019s ability to deliver goals, but there\u2019s also a case for both teams getting on the scoresheet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams To Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betfred.com\/affiliates?affiliate_id=115101&amp;btag=a_115101b_0&amp;targeturl=https:\/\/www.betfred.com\/external-betslip?selection=951785432\">4\/5 @ Betfred<\/a><br>(55.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St Pauli have managed to score in two of their last three meetings with Bayern, while Bayern themselves have conceded in 18 of 28 league games. With both attacks likely to see chances, there\u2019s value in BTTS Yes at this price.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 4.5 Total Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/dl\/sportsbookredirect?affiliate=365_03841577&amp;bs=191049704-837415427~3\/1~0&amp;bet=1\">3\/1 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(25.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">With Bayern\u2019s attacking trio in red-hot form and St Pauli\u2019s leaky defence, a high-scoring encounter is possible. The last two head-to-heads have seen at least four goals, and Bayern alone are capable of surpassing this line on their day.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/midnite\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Midnite Offer<\/a>: Bet \u00a310, get \u00a330 in free bets<\/h2>\r\n<p><strong>How to claim:<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Open an account at Midnite using <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/midnite?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>this link<\/strong><\/a>.<\/li>\r\n<li>Deposit \u00a310 or more<\/li>\r\n<li>Place your first bet of \u00a310 or more (minimum odds of 1\/1)<\/li>\r\n<li>Receive \u00a330 in free bets, valid for 7 days on selected betse only.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/midnite?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1422505 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-1024x358.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-1024x358.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-300x105.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-768x268.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-400x140.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-572x200.png 572w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-172x60.png 172w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-150x52.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-40x14.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148.png 1499w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>18+ New customers only. Place a \u00a310+ bet at min odds 1\/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get \u00a330 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&amp;Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bayern Munich have been relentless, topping the Bundesliga with 73 points from 28 games (W23 D4 L1, 100:27 GD+73). St Pauli, by contrast, are languishing in 16th with just 25 points and a -20 goal difference, winning only 6 of 28.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern Munich<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">100<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">73<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">73<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">45<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bayern\u2019s recent form is underlined by their 82% win rate, while St Pauli have won just one in five and are fighting for survival.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Harry Kane (Bayern Munich):<\/strong> Bundesliga\u2019s runaway top scorer with 31 goals in 28 games (1.1 goals per game), shooting accuracy at 58.8%, and a recent run of six goals in his last three matches. He\u2019s also chipped in with five assists.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Michael Olise (Bayern Munich):<\/strong> League-leading creator with 18 assists and an impressive 72 big chance assists, averaging over 2.5 key passes per game. Also scored 11, including a hat-trick in his last three appearances.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Luis D\u00edaz (Bayern Munich):<\/strong> 15 goals and 11 assists this term, contributing to nearly a goal or assist per game, with a sharp shot accuracy of 44.2% and 57 big chance assists.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Taichi Hara (St Pauli):<\/strong> St Pauli\u2019s main hope up front. While the team has only managed 25 league goals, Hara\u2019s movement and work rate could trouble a Bayern defence that\u2019s conceded in over half of their matches.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-3-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 3 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bayern Munich have won all of the last three competitive meetings between these sides, scoring seven and conceding three. St Pauli have not beaten Bayern in recent memory, and the gap has only grown wider.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29\/11\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern Munich 3-1 St Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern Munich 3-2 St Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/11\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St Pauli 0-1 Bayern Munich<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Can St Pauli dig deep and challenge Bayern Munich\u2019s dominance, or will Bayern\u2019s attacking machine roll on? All the evidence suggests the visitors will control the game, but with St Pauli\u2019s attack showing flashes and Bayern occasionally switching off at the back, there\u2019s a strong case for a high-scoring contest. Our top pick is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/dl\/sportsbookredirect?affiliate=365_03841577&amp;bs=191049704-837415419~13\/10~0&amp;bet=1\">Over 4.5 goals at 3\/1 (25%) with Bet365<\/a> \u2013 a line Bayern have cleared regularly this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/lafc-vs-real-salt-lake-predictions-betting-tips\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">LAFC vs Real Salt Lake: predictions, best bets and latest odds<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">18 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bayern Munich travel to the Millerntor-Stadion to face St Pauli in a Bundesliga fixture that pits the league\u2019s top side against one of its most vulner&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1442295,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"St Pauli vs Bayern Munich, Bundesliga tips, betting offers, head-to-head, stats, best bets, over 3.5 goals, both teams to score, football predictions","_yoast_wpseo_title":"St Pauli vs Bayern Munich: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between St Pauli and Bayern Munich on Saturday 11 April.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1442297","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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