{"id":1440462,"date":"2026-03-26T10:25:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T10:25:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1440462"},"modified":"2026-03-26T17:37:36","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T17:37:36","slug":"match-preview-mexico-vs-portugal-29-03-26-friendly","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-mexico-vs-portugal-29-03-26-friendly\/","title":{"rendered":"Mexico vs Portugal: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Mexico and Portugal will play out a friendly at Estadio Azteca with both nations hoping to build confidence ahead of the 2026 World Cup<\/a>. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mexico have won their last three matches without conceding a goal, while Portugal have won seven of their last nine matches. Both sides will feel they can take the victory in this game but which side will come out on top?<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

With both nations showing an eye for goal in recent games, and a more relaxed friendly allowing both teams to express themselves, we’re backing both teams to score and over 2.5 goals. We also see plenty of value in Portugal Win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n7\/5 @ Ladbrokes<\/a>
(41.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBoth teams to score and over 2.5 goals in Mexico vs Portugal is a sensible bet. Their head\u2011to\u2011head meetings have averaged 2.75 goals per game, with 75% going over 2.5. Mexico score 1.33 goals per game recently, while Portugal average 2.5. A high\u2011scoring, BTTS outcome is well supported by the stats.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct score: Portugal 3-1 Mexico<\/strong><\/td>\n16\/1 @ BOYLE Sports<\/a>
(5.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nPortugal win 3-1 is a sensible correct\u2011score bet because they\u2019ve dominated this fixture historically: Portugal have won 75% of head\u2011to\u2011head matches, with Mexico yet to beat them in four meetings. Portugal also average 2.53 goals per game, significantly higher than Mexico\u2019s 1.52, suggesting multiple goals for the visitors. Meanwhile Mexico\u2019s defensive record shows more goals conceded per game, supporting a Portugal victory with Mexico still likely to score.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/p>\n\n\n

Dabble sign-up offer: Bet \u00a310+ & Receive \u00a310 In Free Bets<\/b><\/h2>\r\n

Not signed up to Dabble<\/a> yet? Here's how to claim the Bet \u00a310+ & Receive \u00a310 In Free Bets<\/b> welcome offer:<\/strong><\/p>\r\n

    \r\n
  1. Sign up to Dabble through this link<\/a><\/li>\r\n
  2. Register your account with accurate personal details<\/li>\r\n
  3. Place your first bet of \u00a310 or more<\/li>\r\n
  4. Receive your \u00a310 in free bets when your qualifying bet has setted<\/li>\r\n
  5. Use your Free Bet on any eligible sportsbook market within 7 days<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n

    \"\"<\/a><\/p>\r\n

    #AD 18+ 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply.\u00a0GambleAware.org<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Recent Form<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Over their last six matches, Mexico\u2019s recent form has been mixed, showing defensive solidity at times but limited attacking output. They\u2019ve won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1, scoring 8 goals (1.33 per game) and going over 2.5 goals in 2 of those games. BTTS has occurred in 2 of the last six, while clean sheets were kept in the remaining four, highlighting defensive discipline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Recent results include narrow 1\u20110 away wins against Bolivia and Panama, but also a 1\u20112 loss to Paraguay and goalless draw with Uruguay, illustrating inconsistency in attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Overall, Mexico\u2019s defence has been relatively reliable, averaging around 0.5 goals conceded per game, yet their forward line has struggled for consistency, limiting scoring opportunities in several fixtures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Portugal\u2019s recent form over their last six matches has been attack\u2011oriented and high\u2011scoring. They\u2019ve averaged 3.33 goals per game in that run, with four wins, one draw and one defeat, and four of those six matches went over 2.5 goals, underlining their offensive quality. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    BTTS has occurred in three of six, showing both Portugal and opponents find the net regularly. Overall, Portugal have been involved in 27 goals across six games (4.5 per match), indicating a potent forward line and dynamic style. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Their broader European qualifying campaign also features a strong scoring record of around 3.34 goals scored per match and 1.17 conceded, highlighting overall attacking strength and reasonable defensive stability. Key results include high\u2011scoring wins like 9\u20111 against Armenia and a 3-2 win over Hungary, reflecting consistency in goals for and against.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Mexico team news<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    Mexico\u2019s team news ahead of their friendly with Portugal centres on a 26\u2011man squad named for World Cup warm\u2011ups, blending experience with fresh options as Javier Aguirre prepares for the summer finals. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Veteran goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa returns, aiming for his sixth World Cup appearance. Key absentees due to injury include Edson \u00c1lvarez, Luis Ch\u00e1vez and Santiago Gim\u00e9nez, limiting depth in midfield and attack. Marcel Ruiz and Luis Malag\u00f3n are also ruled out, while Diego Lainez is omitted despite fitness, reportedly due to tactical decisions rather than injury. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The squad reflects Mexico\u2019s focus on building cohesion and evaluating talent under competitive yet experimental conditions ahead of the tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Portugal team news<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    Portugal\u2019s team news ahead of their friendly with Mexico mainly centres on Cristiano Ronaldo\u2019s absence; he\u2019s been left out of the squad with a hamstring injury and will miss both the Mexico and USA friendlies as he continues rehabilitation.\u202fCoach Roberto\u202fMart\u00ednez confirmed the veteran striker won\u2019t feature but is expected to still be part of Portugal\u2019s wider World Cup plans once fit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    In Ronaldo\u2019s absence, Portugal\u2019s squad – including attackers like Jo\u00e3o F\u00e9lix and Gon\u00e7alo Ramos – will be tested, offering opportunities for other forwards to step up and impress before the World Cup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Defensive and midfield selections remain strong overall, though some regular starters have rotated, reflecting Martinez\u2019s strategy to experiment and build cohesion ahead of summer tournament action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    There have been four meetings between these two nations over the years, with Portugal coming out on top in three of those and the fourth match ending in a draw. These games have averaged 2.75 goals per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Date<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\nCompetition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    02\/07\/17<\/td>\nPortugal 1-1 Mexico (Portugal won 2-1 AET)<\/td>\nConfederations Cup<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    18\/06\/17<\/td>\nPortugal 2-2 Mexico<\/td>\nConfederations Cup<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    07\/06\/14<\/td>\nMexico 0-1 Portugal<\/td>\nFriendly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    21\/06\/06<\/td>\nPortugal 2-1 Mexico<\/td>\nWorld Cup<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Conclusion: Who comes out on top in key friendly?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Mexico and Portugal meet at Estadio Azteca on Sunday morning UK time with both sides looking to gain momentum ahead of the World Cup. We’re backing both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 7\/5 with Ladbrokes<\/a> but, when looking for a little more value on prices, we like the look of Portugal to win 3-1 at 16\/1 with BOYLE Sports<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

    Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n