{"id":1439655,"date":"2026-03-20T09:12:59","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T09:12:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1439655"},"modified":"2026-03-20T09:13:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T09:13:00","slug":"match-preview-derby-vs-birmingham-21-03-26-championship","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-derby-vs-birmingham-21-03-26-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Derby County vs Birmingham City: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

With the Championship<\/a> play-off race heating up, Derby County<\/a> and Birmingham City<\/a> face off at Pride Park on Saturday, 21 March, in a contest that could shape the destiny of both teams\u2019 seasons. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Derby have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture over recent years, but both sides come into this game level on defensive record and desperate for points to keep their campaigns alive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on recent trends and statistical match-ups, here are our top betting recommendations for Derby County vs Birmingham City. We’re particularly confident in backing Derby to get something at home, given their strong head-to-head record and ability to convert chances, while both teams’ defensive records suggest there could be goals at both ends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Derby County to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n9\/5 @ Betfair<\/a>
(35.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWe are backing Derby because they’ve outperformed their xG, convert a higher proportion of their shots, and have won 7 of the last 13 meetings, including several high-scoring games at home.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n8\/11 @ Bet365<\/a>
(57.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBoth sides have identical defensive records (48 conceded in 38) and have seen both teams score in 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads. Derby\u2019s set-piece threat and Birmingham\u2019s passing game should lead to chances at both ends.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Both Derby County and Birmingham City have had moments of promise but remain just outside the play-off spots. Derby sit 8th with 57 points from 38 games (W16 D9 L13), while Birmingham are 10th with 53 points (W14 D11 L13). Both have identical defensive records (48 goals conceded), but Derby have been more clinical in attack with 55 goals to Birmingham\u2019s 48. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Derby County<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n+7<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Birmingham City<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n