{"id":1439392,"date":"2026-03-19T10:53:25","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T10:53:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1439392"},"modified":"2026-03-19T10:53:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T10:53:27","slug":"match-preview-st-pauli-vs-freiburg-22-03-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-st-pauli-vs-freiburg-22-03-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"St Pauli vs Freiburg: stats, predictions, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>With <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/bundesliga\/\">Bundesliga<\/a> survival on the line for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/st-pauli\/\">St Pauli<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/freiburg\/\">Freiburg<\/a> still pushing in mid-table, this weekend&#8217;s clash at the Millerntor-Stadion promises high stakes and major tension. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Freiburg have scored more and sit comfortably mid-table, but St Pauli have upset the odds in previous encounters. Kick-off is at 16:30 on Sunday 22 March, and both teams know what\u2019s at stake in this crucial fixture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on seasonal trends and recent results, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in <strong>Freiburg Draw No Bet<\/strong> given their superior attacking numbers and recent away form against St Pauli.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Freiburg Draw No Bet<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">20\/21 @ Matchbook<\/a><br>(51.2%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We are backing Freiburg on the Draw No Bet market because they have scored 37 league goals (over 1.4 per game) and boast a superior pass accuracy (81.4%) and possession. St Pauli have won just 6 of 26 matches and have struggled for goals, making Freiburg the more reliable side if the match is close.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">13\/10 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(43.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here due to both sides&#8217; defensive vulnerabilities \u2013 Freiburg have conceded 43, St Pauli 42. With both teams seeing fewer than 5 clean sheets this season, goals could flow, especially as recent head-to-heads have produced 2+ goals per game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2>BOYLE Sports offer: Bet \u00a310 Get \u00a340 in free bets<\/h2>\r\n<p>Not signed up to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/boylesports\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BOYLE Sports<\/a> yet? Here's how to claim one of the best bookmaker welcome offers around...<\/p>\r\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list {\"ordered\":true} --><\/p>\r\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Sign up to BOYLE Sports using this <a href=\"\/en\/go\/boylesports?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">link<\/a>.<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Deposit a minimum of \u00a310 (Excluding Skrill\/Moneybookers, Neteller, PayPal, Paysafe or prepaid cards).<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Place a minimum bet of \u00a310 or more at odds of EVS (2.0) or greater.<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Receive your \u00a340 in free bets<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item --><\/ol>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:list -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:image {\"id\":1393641,\"sizeSlug\":\"large\",\"linkDestination\":\"none\"} --><\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/boylesports?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1425440 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-1024x323.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"323\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-1024x323.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-300x95.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-768x242.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-400x126.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-600x189.png 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-190x60.png 190w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-150x47.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-40x13.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448.png 1524w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:image --><\/p>\r\n<p><em>18+ New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Min Deposit \u00a310. Min stake \u00a310. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out\/Free Bets won\u2019t apply. Account &amp; Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household &amp; IP Address only. T&amp;Cs Apply<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Freiburg have established themselves in eighth with 34 points, while St Pauli are in the relegation zone, 16th on just 24 points. St Pauli&#8217;s goal difference (-19) underlines their defensive woes, whilst Freiburg&#8217;s minus six is more a result of high-scoring, open games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">43<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">34<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">42<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg):<\/strong> 7 goals this season, with a pass accuracy of 82.8%. Creates chances and can score from open play or set pieces \u2013 Freiburg&#8217;s key man in attack.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Igor Matanovic (Freiburg):<\/strong> 6 goals, averaging roughly a goal every 170 minutes, with a shot accuracy over 42%. His movement in the box could trouble St Pauli\u2019s defence.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Danel Sinani (St Pauli):<\/strong> 4 goals and a key creative force, involved in more minutes than any St Pauli attacker and with a pass accuracy nearing 75%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Martijn Kaars (St Pauli):<\/strong> St Pauli\u2019s most efficient finisher among regulars, with a 60% shot accuracy.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-3-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 3 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These sides have met just three times in recent Bundesliga campaigns, with Freiburg winning two and St Pauli one. Notably, St Pauli&#8217;s only win came away from home with a three-goal performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/11\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg 2-1 St Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/02\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St Pauli 0-1 Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28\/09\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Can Freiburg&#8217;s attack break St Pauli&#8217;s resolve?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Freiburg arrive with more firepower and better all-round metrics, while St Pauli will be desperate to make home advantage count. Will the visitors&#8217; superior attack prove decisive, or can St Pauli repeat their shock win from last season? Our advice is to side with <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Freiburg Draw No Bet at 20\/21 (51.2%) with Matchbook<\/a> for a bit of insurance in what looks a finely balanced contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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                         <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">2 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/premier-league-net-spend-2026-27\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Premier League clubs ranked by net spend | 2026-27 transfer windows\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-50x50.jpg 50w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/premier-league-net-spend-2026-27\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Premier League clubs ranked by net spend | 2026-27 transfer windows<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/squawkanews\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Squawka News                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">5 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>St Pauli vs Freiburg: stats, predictions, tips &#038; odds<br \/>\nWith Bundesliga survival on the line for St Pauli and Freiburg still pushing in mid-table, this&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1439391,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"St Pauli vs Freiburg, Bundesliga predictions, head-to-head, betting tips, odds, best bets, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"St Pauli vs Freiburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between St Pauli and Freiburg on Sunday 22 March.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1439392","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>St Pauli vs Freiburg: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between St Pauli and Freiburg on Sunday 22 March.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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