{"id":1437106,"date":"2026-03-08T15:40:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-08T15:40:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1437106"},"modified":"2026-03-08T15:40:41","modified_gmt":"2026-03-08T15:40:41","slug":"match-preview-psg-vs-chelsea-11-03-26-champions-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-psg-vs-chelsea-11-03-26-champions-league\/","title":{"rendered":"PSG vs Chelsea: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/paris-saint-germain\/\">Paris Saint-Germain<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/chelsea\/\">Chelsea<\/a> meet in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/champions-league-tips\/\">Champions League<\/a> showdown that pits one of Europe\u2019s most dominant attacking teams against a disciplined, defensively sound opponent. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The clash takes place at the Parc des Princes, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday. While PSG have dazzled with their forward play and ball retention this season, Chelsea arrive with a sturdier backline and higher win percentage, raising the stakes for both sides as they look to take control of their continental destiny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on PSG\u2019s attacking numbers and Chelsea\u2019s defensive consistency, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We\u2019re particularly confident in PSG to edge it at home, given their superior expected goals and shot volume.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>PSG to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/6 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(54.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">PSG create more than double Chelsea&#8217;s shot volume per game (223 vs 112 total), average 2.6 goals per match, and boast a home advantage. Their xG of 20.87 suggests they\u2019re generating and finishing high-quality chances. Chelsea\u2019s defence is strong, but PSG\u2019s relentless attack at home gives them the edge.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/15 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(65.2%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Chelsea have scored in every Champions League game this season, while PSG have conceded in 8 of 10. With both teams showing attacking intent and occasional defensive lapses, there\u2019s good value in both finding the net.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h2><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/smarkets-review\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SBK betting offer<\/a>: Bet \u00a310, get \u00a340 in free bets<\/strong><\/h2>\r\n<p>Eligible readers* interested in this SBK betting offer can follow <strong><a href=\"\/en\/go\/smarkets?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">THIS LINK<\/a> <\/strong>or click the image below.<\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/smarkets?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1422500\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"803\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145.png 625w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-233x300.png 233w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-208x267.png 208w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-156x200.png 156w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-47x60.png 47w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-117x150.png 117w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-31x40.png 31w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">New UK customers only. Min \u00a310 first deposit using Debit Card or Bank Transfer. Place a bet of \u00a310 at min odds of 2.0 and get a \u00a310 Football Bet Builder token upon settlement. A \u00a310 Multiple token, a \u00a35 Horse Racing Multiple token and a \u00a35 Football Bet Builder token will be credited after 24 hours. A further \u00a310 Free Bet token will be credited 48 hours after the qualifying bet has been settled.\u00a0<\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\"><a class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/help.getsbk.com\/hc\/en-gb\/articles\/21601526176669-UK-Welcome-bonus-Bet-10-get-40-in-Free-Bets-T-C-s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"https:\/\/help.getsbk.com\/hc\/en-gb\/articles\/21601526176669-UK-Welcome-bonus-Bet-10-get-40-in-Free-Bets-T-C-s\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">Full T&amp;Cs<\/a><\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">\u00a0apply, 18+.\u00a0<\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\"><a class=\"c-link\" href=\"http:\/\/gambleaware.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"http:\/\/GambleAware.org\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">GambleAware.org<\/a><\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">.<\/i><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-psg-vs-chelsea-match-odds\">PSG vs Chelsea match odds<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"697ff821bc68f466d11ad789\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"683e57bb2febbf834dbca6d5\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"UEFA Champions League\",\"country\":\"Europe\",\"created_at\":\"2025-06-09T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-30T00:00:00+00:00\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-07-08T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2026-06-04T12:15:30+00:00\",\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e8255\",\"stage_name\":\"1st Qualifying Round\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e8256\",\"stage_name\":\"2nd Qualifying Round\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e8257\",\"stage_name\":\"3rd Qualifying Round\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e8258\",\"stage_name\":\"8th Finals\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e8259\",\"stage_name\":\"Final\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e825a\",\"stage_name\":\"Knockout Round Play-offs\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e825b\",\"stage_name\":\"League Stage\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e825c\",\"stage_name\":\"Play-offs\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e825d\",\"stage_name\":\"Quarter-finals\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e825e\",\"stage_name\":\"Semi-finals\",\"standings_available\":false}]},\"created_at\":\"2026-02-02T01:04:47+00:00\",\"datetime\":\"2026-03-11T20:00:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db6c0e93e306d7f46720e\",\"name\":\"Paris Saint-Germain\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":2,\"full_time\":5,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":5}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db668e93e306d7f460222\",\"name\":\"Chelsea\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":2}}],\"selections\":[{\"channel_id\":1198,\"channel_name\":\"TNT Sports 2\",\"channel_shortname\":\"TNT Sports 2\",\"channel_url\":null,\"channel_slug\":\"tnt-sports-2\",\"channel_coverage\":\"national\",\"is_streaming\":false,\"sprite_class\":\"icons-channels-tnt_uk\",\"channel_logo_url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/feed-orch-prd.s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com\\\/channel-logos\\\/tnt-sports-2.svg\"},{\"channel_id\":1873,\"channel_name\":\"Discovery+ UK\",\"channel_shortname\":\"Discovery+\",\"channel_url\":null,\"channel_slug\":\"discovery-uk\",\"channel_coverage\":\"national\",\"is_streaming\":true,\"sprite_class\":\"icons-channels-discovery_plus\",\"channel_logo_url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/feed-orch-prd.s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com\\\/channel-logos\\\/discovery-uk.svg\"}],\"stage\":\"8th Finals\",\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2026-03-18T23:55:30+00:00\",\"venue\":\"Parc des Princes\",\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e8258\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Both Teams To Score\",\"name\":\"Both Teams To Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Player To Be Carded\",\"name\":\"Player To Be Carded\"}],\"active_market\":\"Match Result\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-both-teams-head-into-psg-vs-chelsea\">How both teams head into PSG vs Chelsea<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Paris Saint-Germain&#8217;s 2025\/26 Champions League campaign has been a journey of mixed fortunes, culminating in a highly anticipated Round of 16 clash against Chelsea. Under the guidance of manager Luis Enrique, PSG navigated the league phase with four wins, two draws, and two losses from their eight matches, accumulating 14 points. Notable victories included a dominant 4-0 home win against Atalanta and a hard-fought 2-1 triumph away at Barcelona. However, defeats to Bayern Munich and Sporting CP, alongside draws with Athletic Club and Newcastle United, meant they finished 11th in the overall league phase standings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Their path to the last 16 saw them overcome AS Monaco in a thrilling play-off round, securing a 5-4 aggregate victory after a 3-2 away win and a 2-2 draw at home. The Parisian giants will be looking to leverage their recent form, which includes three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings across all competitions, to advance further in Europe&#8217;s premier club competition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chelsea&#8217;s 2025\/26 UEFA Champions League campaign has seen them navigate the league phase with a commendable record, securing their spot in the Round of 16. Under manager Enzo Maresca, the Blues accumulated 16 points from eight matches, achieving five wins, one draw, and two losses. Notable victories included a dominant 5-1 triumph over Ajax and a crucial 3-0 win against Barcelona. Their only defeats came against Bayern Munich and Atalanta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chelsea are preparing for a highly anticipated Round of 16 clash against French giants Paris Saint-Germain. The first leg is scheduled for 11th March at Parc des Princes, with the return leg at Stamford Bridge on 17th March. This fixture carries added intrigue, as Chelsea recently defeated PSG 3-0 in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup final, setting the stage for a compelling European encounter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-psg-team-news\">PSG team news<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Paris Saint-Germain face Chelsea in the Champions League with mixed team news. Forward Ousmane Demb\u00e9l\u00e9 has returned to the squad after recovering from a calf injury, providing a significant boost, though his starting status remains uncertain. However, midfielder Fabian Ruiz is reportedly set to miss the crucial tie due to injury, impacting Luis Enrique&#8217;s options in the middle of the park. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-chelsea-team-news\">Chelsea team news<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Chelsea&#8217;s squad receives a timely boost ahead of their Champions League encounter with Paris Saint-Germain on 11 March. Midfielder Romeo Lavia is fully fit and available for selection after recent substitute appearances. Young winger Estevao, recovering from a hamstring issue, is also expected to feature. Key players Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, and Moises Caicedo were strategically rested for the recent FA Cup fixture against Wrexham, ensuring their readiness for the crucial trip to Paris. Jamie Gittens (hamstring) is nearing a return but is unlikely to be risked for this tie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>These two teams have met numerous times over the years, with their most recent meeting coming in the Club World Cup final in July 2025. PSG hold the edge over the last five meetings, with two victories to Chelsea&#8217;s one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13\/07\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Chelsea 3-0 PSG<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Club World Cup<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/03\/16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Chelsea 1-2 PSG<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Champions League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16\/02\/16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">PSG 2-1 Chelsea<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Champions League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11\/03\/15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Chelsea 2-2 PSG<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Champions League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17\/02\/15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">PSG 1-1 Chelsea<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Champions League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-will-psg-s-attack-overwhelm-chelsea-s-defence\">Will PSG\u2019s Attack Overwhelm Chelsea\u2019s Defence?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With PSG\u2019s attacking metrics\u2014over 22 shots per match, elite passing accuracy, and high xG\u2014contrasting Chelsea\u2019s defensive discipline and knack for grinding out results, this promises to be a fascinating contest of styles. Can PSG create enough to break down Chelsea\u2019s back four, or will Chelsea\u2019s resilience and efficient counter-attacking see them leave Paris with a result? For those looking to back the home side\u2019s firepower, PSG at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/6 with Bet365<\/a> (54.5%) looks an attractive play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-united-states-vs-germany-06-06-26-international-friendly\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04130222\/match_preview-international-friendly-5-1024x576.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"United States vs Germany: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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odds\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-canada-vs-ireland-06-06-26-international-friendly\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Canada vs Ireland: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">3 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea meet in a Champions League showdown that pits one of Europe\u2019s most dominant attacking teams against a disciplined, def&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1437105,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"PSG vs Chelsea, Champions League predictions, betting tips, stats, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"PSG vs Chelsea: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Champions League match between PSG and Chelsea on Wednesday 11 March.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1437106","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>PSG vs Chelsea: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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