{"id":1437050,"date":"2026-03-08T11:17:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-08T11:17:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1437050"},"modified":"2026-03-08T11:17:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-08T11:17:08","slug":"match-preview-millwall-vs-derby-10-03-26-championship","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-millwall-vs-derby-10-03-26-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Millwall vs Derby County: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Third-placed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/millwall\/\">Millwall<\/a> welcome <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/derby-county\/\">Derby County<\/a> to The Den in what promises to be a pivotal <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/championship\/\">Championship<\/a> clash. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Millwall boasting one of the league\u2019s meanest defences and Derby coming off a morale-boosting win, this fixture could shape the playoff race. Kick-off is set for Tuesday, 19:45, and all eyes will be on whether Millwall\u2019s defensive edge can blunt Derby\u2019s high-risk, high-reward attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on defensive records, shot creation, and recent form, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We\u2019re particularly confident in Millwall to win due to their superior clean sheet tally and Derby\u2019s tendency to concede on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Millwall to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(57.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We\u2019re backing Millwall due to a league-high 14 clean sheets and a strong home record in recent head-to-heads. Derby have shipped 47 goals and have only 8 clean sheets, which could cost them against Millwall\u2019s direct attacking style.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 @ SkyBet<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here as Derby\u2019s matches average nearly 2.8 goals, and both sides have created over 50 clear-cut chances this season. BTTS has landed in 3 of the last 5 meetings.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2><strong>Bet \u00a310 &amp; Get \u00a330 in Free Bets with Bet365<\/strong><\/h2>\r\n<p>Not signed up to bet365 yet? Here's how to claim one of the best bookmaker welcome offers around...\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><strong>Open an account (<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here's a link<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Make a qualifying deposit of between \u00a35* and \u00a310*<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Claim the offer to receive three times your deposit in 'Free Bets'.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>To release your 'Free Bets', place qualifying bets to the value of your qualifying deposit and allow those bets to settle.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Your 'Free Bets' will become available shortly after your qualifying bets have settled<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>To use your 'Free Bets', select 'Use bet credits' in the bet slip.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1422493 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-1024x446.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"446\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-1024x446.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-768x335.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-400x174.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-459x200.png 459w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-138x60.png 138w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-150x65.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-40x17.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141.png 1537w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><em>Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&amp;Cs apply.<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Millwall remain in the automatic promotion hunt, sitting 3rd with a robust defensive record and a +9 goal difference. Derby, despite scoring more, are 7th and have struggled for consistency\u2014moving up from 11th after their last win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Millwall<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">41<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">65<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">54<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">47<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">54<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Joshua Coburn (Millwall)<\/strong>: Averaging high touches inside the penalty area, his movement is key to Millwall\u2019s direct attacks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Mihailo Ivanovi\u0107 (Millwall)<\/strong>: Brings aerial prowess\u2014Millwall lead the league in successful headers (963).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ben Brereton-Diaz (Derby County)<\/strong>: Offers pace and power in transition; Derby\u2019s attack is more effective than their expected goals suggests.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Lewis Travis (Derby County)<\/strong>: Helps Derby win second balls and brings physicality, but must convert more chances given Derby\u2019s high underperformance on expected assists.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Millwall have the upper hand, unbeaten in the last five against Derby County, with two wins in that period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10\/12\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 1-1 Millwall<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22\/02\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 0-1 Millwall<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/10\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Millwall 1-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23\/02\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 1-2 Millwall<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">06\/11\/21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Millwall 1-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will Millwall\u2019s defence prove decisive?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Millwall\u2019s defensive organisation and Derby\u2019s tendency to create but also concede, the contest feels set up for the home side to edge it\u2014especially with their superior clean sheet record and recent head-to-head dominance. We\u2019re backing Millwall to win at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11 with Bet365<\/a> (57.9% implied probability) as the standout value, but Derby\u2019s directness could still see both sides on the scoresheet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/st-gallen-vs-benfica-predictions-23-07-26\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/07\/22124738\/match_preview_-_europa_league-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"St Gallen vs Benfica: predictions, best bets and latest odds\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/st-gallen-vs-benfica-predictions-23-07-26\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">St Gallen vs Benfica: predictions, best bets and latest odds<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/anton\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Anthony Eadson                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">4 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Third-placed Millwall welcome Derby County to The Den in what promises to be a pivotal Championship clash. With Millwall boasting one of the league\u2019s&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1437049,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Millwall vs Derby County, Championship predictions, betting tips, odds, match preview, best bets, head-to-head stats, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Millwall vs Derby County: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Championship match between Millwall and Derby on Tuesday 10 March.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1437050","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Millwall vs Derby County: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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