{"id":1436351,"date":"2026-03-05T11:49:32","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T11:49:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1436351"},"modified":"2026-03-05T11:49:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T11:49:34","slug":"match-preview-valencia-vs-alaves-08-03-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-valencia-vs-alaves-08-03-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Valencia vs Alaves: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/valencia\/\">Valencia<\/a> welcome <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/alaves\/\">Alaves<\/a> to the Mestalla in what looks like a clash of fine margins in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/la-liga-predictions-25-26\/\">La Liga<\/a>&#8216;s lower half. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both teams sit neck-and-neck in the table, separated by just two points, with nearly identical records and no clear head-to-head dominance. The match kicks off at 20:00 on Sunday, and the stakes are high as both sides fight to distance themselves from the relegation dogfight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent trends and season-long performance, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We are particularly confident in a low-scoring encounter, given both sides&#8217; issues with finishing and conservative approaches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">11\/10 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(47.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both teams have scored under one goal per game this season (Valencia 27 in 26, Alaves 23 in 26) and consistently underperform their xG. Historical H2Hs also trend low-scoring, with 4 of the last 6 meetings ending with two or fewer goals.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Draw<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">9\/4 @ SkyBet<\/a><br>(30.8%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Neither team has enough attacking edge to pull away, and their league records are nearly identical. Four of their last 14 encounters have ended level, including a 0-0 earlier this season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h2><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/smarkets-review\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SBK betting offer<\/a>: Bet \u00a310, get \u00a340 in free bets<\/strong><\/h2>\r\n<p>Eligible readers* interested in this SBK betting offer can follow <strong><a href=\"\/en\/go\/smarkets?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">THIS LINK<\/a> <\/strong>or click the image below.<\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/smarkets?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1422500\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"803\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145.png 625w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-233x300.png 233w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-208x267.png 208w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-156x200.png 156w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-47x60.png 47w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-117x150.png 117w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06120811\/image-145-31x40.png 31w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">New UK customers only. Min \u00a310 first deposit using Debit Card or Bank Transfer. Place a bet of \u00a310 at min odds of 2.0 and get a \u00a310 Football Bet Builder token upon settlement. A \u00a310 Multiple token, a \u00a35 Horse Racing Multiple token and a \u00a35 Football Bet Builder token will be credited after 24 hours. A further \u00a310 Free Bet token will be credited 48 hours after the qualifying bet has been settled.\u00a0<\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\"><a class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/help.getsbk.com\/hc\/en-gb\/articles\/21601526176669-UK-Welcome-bonus-Bet-10-get-40-in-Free-Bets-T-C-s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"https:\/\/help.getsbk.com\/hc\/en-gb\/articles\/21601526176669-UK-Welcome-bonus-Bet-10-get-40-in-Free-Bets-T-C-s\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">Full T&amp;Cs<\/a><\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">\u00a0apply, 18+.\u00a0<\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\"><a class=\"c-link\" href=\"http:\/\/gambleaware.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"http:\/\/GambleAware.org\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">GambleAware.org<\/a><\/i><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">.<\/i><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both sides have struggled for consistency, each with only seven wins in 26, and negative goal differences. Valencia have slipped to 15th while Alaves are 16th, separated by just two points and one place. Neither side has managed a win percentage above 27%, reflecting their shared struggles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Valencia<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">39<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">34<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Neither team boasts a league-leading star, but a few players could turn the game:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Hugo Duro<\/strong> (Valencia): Top scorer for his side, averages just under 0.3 goals per game. His conversion rate lags behind league leaders, but he gets into good positions.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Lucas Boy\u00e9<\/strong> (Alaves): Offers a physical presence up front and leads Alaves in shots taken, despite a modest return. His xG is notably higher than his goal tally, so he could be due a breakthrough.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Guido Rodr\u00edguez<\/strong> (Valencia): Key in midfield duels and ball recoveries, expect him to be influential in breaking up Alaves attacks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Antonio Blanco<\/strong> (Alaves): One of the league&#8217;s busiest passers, helps Alaves control possession (team average 51%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-6-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The last six meetings have seen two draws but Alaves definitely hold the edge with four wins in that time. Most recently, they played out a goalless stalemate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20\/10\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 0-0 Valencia<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14\/05\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 1-0 Valencia<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Valencia 2-2 Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/05\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Valencia 0-1 Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">02\/09\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 1-0 Valencia<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13\/02\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 2-1 Valencia<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Margins to Matter in Mestalla<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With both Valencia and Alaves struggling to find the net and locked in a tense battle near the bottom, Saturday&#8217;s match could come down to fine details. A lack of clinical finishing and the tendency for cagey, low-scoring encounters makes <strong>under 2.5 goals<\/strong> at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">11\/10 with Bet365<\/a> (47.6%) our standout pick. Will either side break the cycle and claim a crucial win, or are we set for another nervy draw?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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                          <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/anton\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Anthony Eadson                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">2 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/premier-league-net-spend-2026-27\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Premier League clubs ranked by net spend | 2026-27 transfer windows\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-50x50.jpg 50w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/premier-league-net-spend-2026-27\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Premier League clubs ranked by net spend | 2026-27 transfer windows<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/squawkanews\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Squawka News                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">2 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Valencia welcome Alaves to the Mestalla in what looks like a clash of fine margins in LaLiga&#8217;s lower half. Both teams sit neck-and-neck in the table,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1436350,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Valencia vs Alaves, LaLiga, betting tips, predictions, stats, odds, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Valencia vs Alaves: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the La Liga match between Valencia and Alaves on Sunday 8 March.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1436351","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Valencia vs Alaves: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the La Liga match between Valencia and Alaves on Sunday 8 March.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-valencia-vs-alaves-08-03-26-la-liga\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Valencia vs Alaves: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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