{"id":1436324,"date":"2026-03-05T10:18:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T10:18:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1436324"},"modified":"2026-03-05T10:18:49","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T10:18:49","slug":"match-preview-freiburg-vs-bayer-leverkusen-07-03-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-freiburg-vs-bayer-leverkusen-07-03-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/bayer-leverkusen\/\">Bayer Leverkusen<\/a> visit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/freiburg\/\">Freiburg<\/a> in a clash that could shape both teams\u2019 ambitions for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/bundesliga\/\">Bundesliga<\/a> run-in. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Leverkusen hold the historical upper hand and come into the weekend with a far more potent attack, but Freiburg\u2019s home form and knack for making games close can\u2019t be discounted. Kick-off is at 14:30 on Saturday 7 March, and fans can expect a lively contest as both sides chase their season targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on season-long attacking output, creative metrics, and recent head-to-head form, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in a Leverkusen win, given their superiority in goals, assists, and overall chance creation metrics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Bayer Leverkusen to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/matchbook?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">7\/5 @ Matchbook<\/a><br>(41.7%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We are backing Leverkusen to win because they\u2019ve scored 45 goals in 24 matches (the best in this match-up by far), outperformed Freiburg in assists and clean sheets, and have beaten Freiburg in three of the last five meetings.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here due to both teams\u2019 attacking trends: Leverkusen average 1.88 goals per game, Freiburg 1.42, and four of their last six meetings have seen at least three goals.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2>BOYLE Sports offer: Bet \u00a310 Get \u00a340 in free bets<\/h2>\r\n<p>Not signed up to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/boylesports\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BOYLE Sports<\/a> yet? Here's how to claim one of the best bookmaker welcome offers around...<\/p>\r\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list {\"ordered\":true} --><\/p>\r\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Sign up to BOYLE Sports using this <a href=\"\/en\/go\/boylesports?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">link<\/a>.<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Deposit a minimum of \u00a310 (Excluding Skrill\/Moneybookers, Neteller, PayPal, Paysafe or prepaid cards).<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Place a minimum bet of \u00a310 or more at odds of EVS (2.0) or greater.<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Receive your \u00a340 in free bets<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item --><\/ol>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:list -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:image {\"id\":1393641,\"sizeSlug\":\"large\",\"linkDestination\":\"none\"} --><\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/boylesports?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1425440 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-1024x323.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"323\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-1024x323.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-300x95.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-768x242.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-400x126.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-600x189.png 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-190x60.png 190w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-150x47.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-40x13.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448.png 1524w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:image --><\/p>\r\n<p><em>18+ New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Min Deposit \u00a310. Min stake \u00a310. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out\/Free Bets won\u2019t apply. Account &amp; Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household &amp; IP Address only. T&amp;Cs Apply<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bayer Leverkusen have been the more consistent side, sitting 6th on 43 points with a healthy +16 goal difference, while Freiburg are 8th on 33 points, having struggled defensively at times. Leverkusen\u2019s win percentage (54%) dwarfs Freiburg\u2019s (38%), and the away side have also been more prolific in attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayer Leverkusen<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">45<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">43<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">34<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">39<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Patrik Schick (Leverkusen)<\/strong>: 7 goals, 2 assists in 19 outings, averaging a goal every 188 minutes. He\u2019s the top scorer of both squads and has been especially clinical in key moments.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Alejandro Grimaldo (Leverkusen)<\/strong>: 5 goals and 4 assists, plus 42 chances created, underlining his dual threat from open play and set pieces.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)<\/strong>: 6 goals, but with a very low xG (0.12), suggesting he often converts difficult chances\u2014if he gets service, he can punish.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg)<\/strong>: 6 goals, 1 assist, and 29 key passes\u2014he&#8217;s Freiburg\u2019s creative heartbeat, especially dangerous on set pieces.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bayer Leverkusen have had the better of recent encounters, winning four of the last five, with the other results being a 2-2 draw. Notably, Leverkusen have scored at least twice in all five of those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/10\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">04\/05\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17\/03\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29\/10\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Will Leverkusen\u2019s Attack Prevail?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This fixture pits Freiburg\u2019s resilience against Leverkusen\u2019s control and firepower. With the visitors boasting the division\u2019s most productive attack and a recent run of dominance in this head-to-head, the smart money could well be on Leverkusen to continue their streak. For those looking for value, <a href=\"\/en\/go\/matchbook?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">7\/5 at Matchbook<\/a> (41.7% implied probability) for an away win is worth consideration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/world-cup-2026-group-e-table-fixtures-and-results\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/05105139\/predictions_article-16x9-79-1024x576.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"World Cup 2026 Group E table, fixtures and results\" fetchpriority=\"high\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 50vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/05105139\/predictions_article-16x9-79-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/05105139\/predictions_article-16x9-79-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/05105139\/predictions_article-16x9-79-768x432.jpg 768w, 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loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/05\/10135511\/3EMRFHF-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Ivory Coast World Cup 2026: Fixtures, manager, squad depth and tactical analysis\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/ivory-coast-world-cup-2026-fixtures-squad-analysis\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Ivory Coast World Cup 2026: Fixtures, manager, squad depth and tactical analysis<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/deansmith\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Dean Smith                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">1 hour ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/stat-leaders-world-cup-2026-most-saves\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/15015023\/predictions_article-16x9-2026-06-15T014958.749-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Most saves at World Cup 2026: Which goalkeeper has made the most saves at World Cup 2026?\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/stat-leaders-world-cup-2026-most-saves\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Most saves at World Cup 2026: Which goalkeeper has made the most saves at World Cup 2026?<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/deansmith\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Dean Smith                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">2 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bayer Leverkusen visit Freiburg in a clash that could shape both teams\u2019 ambitions for the run-in. Leverkusen hold the historical upper hand and come i&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1436322,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga betting, football odds, predictions, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday 7 March.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1436324","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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