{"id":1433696,"date":"2026-02-20T16:21:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-20T16:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1433696"},"modified":"2026-02-20T16:21:01","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T16:21:01","slug":"match-preview-alaves-vs-girona-23-02-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-alaves-vs-girona-23-02-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Alaves vs Girona: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Separated by just three points and two places in the table, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/alaves\/\">Alaves <\/a>and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/girona\/\">Girona<\/a> lock horns at Mendizorroza on Monday, 23 February, with both sides looking to steady inconsistent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/la-liga-predictions-25-26\/\">La Liga<\/a> campaigns. Girona have edged the head-to-head in recent years, but Alaves\u2019 underlying numbers suggest they could be due a turnaround. Kick-off is set for 20:00 and the drama is matched only by the lack of margin for error for either side.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent form, attacking efficiency, and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in the &#8216;Under 2.5 Goals&#8217; market due to both sides underwhelming in attack and the tendency for this fixture to remain cagey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Alaves to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">13\/10 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(43.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves\u2019 xG is nearly 10 higher than their actual goals, hinting they\u2019re due better fortune. Girona\u2019s leaky defence (38 conceded) and high red card tally (7 in 24) leave them vulnerable, especially away from home.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(57.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Only 43% of Alaves\u2019 games and 46% of Girona\u2019s have seen both sides score this season, underlining how often at least one team blanks. The lack of prolific finishers increases the value at this price.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-alaves-vs-girona-odds\">Alaves vs Girona odds<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"686b11f40cb1f883f2918196\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"68351e812febbf834d31a071\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Primera Divisi\\u00f3n\",\"country\":\"Spain\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-15T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-24T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8362\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8361\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8360\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e835f\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e835e\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8298\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8363\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8364\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8365\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8366\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"6a1651e1dd2a4896f26ee00a\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"datetime\":\"2026-02-23T20:00:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Alav\\u00e9s vs Girona\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db712e93e306d7f46da6b\",\"name\":\"Deportivo Alav\\u00e9s\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/deportivo-alaves-b.png\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":2}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db721e93e306d7f46ee52\",\"name\":\"Girona\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/girona-fc.png\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":2}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8298\",\"group_name\":null,\"group_id\":null,\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"match_time\":{\"running_match_min\":103,\"clamped_match_min\":null,\"human_match_time\":\"FT\",\"period\":\"full_time\",\"period_id\":14,\"stoppage_minutes\":null,\"is_halftime\":false,\"is_extratime\":false,\"is_extratime_halftime\":false,\"is_penalties\":false,\"is_finished\":true},\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"venue\":\"Estadio de Mendizorroza\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Both Teams To Score\",\"name\":\"Both Teams To Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"}],\"active_market\":\"Match Result\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\/26 season to date: Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Girona sitting 12th on 29 points and Alaves in 14th with 26 points after 24 rounds. Defensive frailties have dogged Girona (38 goals conceded), while Alaves&#8217; lack of finishing has meant their expected goals total far outpaces their actual tally. Neither side has won more than 29% of their games this term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">38<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lucas Boy\u00e9 (Alaves)<\/strong>: Leads Alaves\u2019 line, averaging 2.1 shots per game and is overdue based on xG underperformance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Vladyslav Vanat (Girona)<\/strong>: The most likely scorer for the visitors, with seven goals to his name so far this term and an assist against Barcelona in his last game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Abderrahmane Rebbach (Alaves)<\/strong>: Brings directness, 1.6 key passes per 90, and will be tasked with unlocking Girona\u2019s defence.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Arnau Martinez (Girona)<\/strong>: A defensive lynchpin for Girona with 2.1 tackles and 1.3 interceptions per 90 minutes to his name in La Liga so far this term.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Last 6 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Girona have edged the last six encounters (three wins to Alaves\u2019 two, one draw), but most matches have been tightly contested, with three decided by a single goal or less.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">08\/11\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona 1-0 Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/04\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona 0-1 Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11\/01\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 0-1 Girona<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10\/05\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 2-2 Girona<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/12\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona 3-0 Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/05\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 2-1 Girona<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite sitting lower in the table, Alaves\u2019 underlying numbers suggest they are due some positive regression, having underperformed their xG by nearly 10 goals. Girona\u2019s defensive lapses and disciplinary problems could offer the hosts a real chance to take all three points. With recent meetings low on goals and neither side boasting a prolific attack, the value lies in backing both no on both teams to score and siding with a home win at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">13\/10 (43.5%)<\/a> for those seeking bigger rewards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Separated by just three points and two places in the table, Alaves and Girona lock horns at Mendizorroza on Saturday, 18 February, with both sides loo&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":370,"featured_media":1433695,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Alaves vs Girona, La Liga predictions, football betting tips, best odds, bookmaker offers, head-to-head stats, Under 2.5 Goals, xG analysis, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Alaves vs Girona: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the latest predictions, stats, tips and odds for the La Liga match between Alaves and Girona on Monday February 23rd.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1433696","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Alaves vs Girona: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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