{"id":1433694,"date":"2026-02-20T16:14:05","date_gmt":"2026-02-20T16:14:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1433694"},"modified":"2026-02-20T16:14:06","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T16:14:06","slug":"match-preview-villarreal-vs-valencia-20-02-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-villarreal-vs-valencia-20-02-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Villarreal vs Valencia: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Third-placed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/villarreal\/\">Villarreal<\/a> welcome <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/valencia\/\">Valencia<\/a> to the Estadio de la Cer\u00e1mica on Sunday in a clash that pits one of the division\u2019s most efficient attacks against a side struggling for consistency. Kick-off is set for 20:00 in this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/la-liga-predictions-25-26\/\">La Liga<\/a> clash, and with both sides\u2019 star players in the spotlight, this derby has plenty at stake for both ends of the table.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Villarreal\u2019s outstanding offensive record and Valencia\u2019s defensive frailties, we\u2019re most confident in a home win. We\u2019re also looking at goal markets and a player-centric prop for a well-rounded approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Villarreal to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(57.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We are backing Villarreal to win because they have scored 44 goals this season, nearly double Valencia\u2019s total. Their defence is also more robust (26 conceded vs 37). Home advantage and superior finishing make this a strong tip.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/6 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(60.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here as Villarreal matches average almost three goals per game, and both teams struggle with big chances missed. Both have attacking talents capable of making this an open contest.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Alberto Moleiro Anytime Scorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">13\/8 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Moleiro has 9 goals from midfield, outperforming his expected goals by a wide margin. He\u2019s Villarreal\u2019s most clinical threat and Valencia concede regularly on the road.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-villarreal-vs-valencia-odds\">Villarreal vs Valencia odds<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"686b11f50cb1f883f29181d7\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"68351e812febbf834d31a071\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Primera Divisi\\u00f3n\",\"country\":\"Spain\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-15T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-24T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8362\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8361\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8360\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e835f\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e835e\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8298\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8363\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8364\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8365\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8366\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"6a1651e1dd2a4896f26ee00a\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"datetime\":\"2026-02-22T20:00:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Villarreal vs Valencia\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db6d0e93e306d7f46868e\",\"name\":\"Villarreal\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/cf-villarreal.png\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":2,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":2}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db714e93e306d7f46ddab\",\"name\":\"Valencia\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/cf-valencia.png\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":1,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":1}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8298\",\"group_name\":null,\"group_id\":null,\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"match_time\":{\"running_match_min\":103,\"clamped_match_min\":null,\"human_match_time\":\"FT\",\"period\":\"full_time\",\"period_id\":14,\"stoppage_minutes\":null,\"is_halftime\":false,\"is_extratime\":false,\"is_extratime_halftime\":false,\"is_penalties\":false,\"is_finished\":true},\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"venue\":\"Estadio de la Cer\\u00e1mica\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Both Teams To Score\",\"name\":\"Both Teams To Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"}],\"active_market\":\"Match Result\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\/26 season to date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Villarreal<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">44<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">45<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Valencia<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Villarreal have won 61% of their matches, while Valencia\u2019s win rate is just 25%. Villarreal\u2019s goal difference (+18) is the second-best in the league, highlighting their attacking and defensive quality this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal):<\/strong> The 19-year-old midfielder is Villarreal\u2019s top scorer with 9 goals and 4 assists, boasting a 40% shot accuracy and 50% take-on success. He\u2019s averaging a goal every 168 minutes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal):<\/strong> A key attacking option, often deployed to stretch defences and add mobility in the final third.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Hugo Duro (Valencia):<\/strong> While less creative, he\u2019s Valencia\u2019s most reliable finisher, scoring 7 from an xG of 3.18, but with just 20% shot accuracy and no assists, his threat relies on direct service.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia):<\/strong> An unpredictable forward who can beat players one-on-one and force defensive errors, especially late in matches.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These sides have split their last six encounters, with two draws and two wins each, but Villarreal have edged the most recent clash away from home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25\/10\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Valencia 0-2 Villarreal<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/02\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Villarreal 1-1 Valencia<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31\/08\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Valencia 1-1 Villarreal<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17\/03\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Villarreal 1-0 Valencia<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">02\/01\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Valencia 3-1 Villarreal<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Will Villarreal\u2019s attacking prowess prove too much for a Valencia side that have been outscored and outclassed by most top-half opponents this season? All indicators point to a home win, and if you\u2019re looking for a single bet to anchor your weekend, <a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11 @ Betfair<\/a> (57.9%) on Villarreal looks like one of the strongest value selections on the card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Third-placed Villarreal welcome Valencia to the Estadio de la Cer\u00e1mica on Sunday in a clash that pits one of the division\u2019s most efficient attacks aga&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":370,"featured_media":1433693,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Villarreal vs Valencia, La Liga predictions, football betting tips, head-to-head stats, best odds, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Villarreal vs Valencia: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the latest predictions, stats, tips and odds for the La Liga match between Villarreal and Valencia on Sunday February 22nd.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1433694","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Villarreal vs Valencia: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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