{"id":1433683,"date":"2026-02-19T16:11:38","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T16:11:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1433683"},"modified":"2026-02-19T16:12:01","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T16:12:01","slug":"match-preview-osasuna-vs-real-madrid-21-02-2026-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-osasuna-vs-real-madrid-21-02-2026-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Osasuna vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Leaders <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/real-madrid\/\">Real Madrid<\/a> travel to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/osasuna\/\">Osasuna<\/a> for a high-stakes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/la-liga-predictions-25-26\/\">La Liga<\/a> clash that pits the division\u2019s most ruthless attack against a side looking to upset history. Kick-off is set for 17:30 on Saturday at El Sadar, with the visitors aiming to extend their dominant head-to-head streak and maintain their title charge.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Real Madrid\u2019s overwhelming attacking stats and their historic dominance in this fixture, here are our top betting recommendations. We\u2019re especially confident in a Real Madrid win given their superior season form and Osasuna\u2019s struggles against elite opposition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/5 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(55.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here due to Mbapp\u00e9\u2019s remarkable form: 23 goals in 24 league games, a shot accuracy of 45.8%, and a record of scoring in big fixtures. Osasuna\u2019s defence has kept just eight clean sheets in 24 games, making Mbapp\u00e9 an obvious threat to score again.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/6 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(60.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We\u2019re tipping over 2.5 goals as Real Madrid average 2.2 goals per match, while Osasuna\u2019s home games have seen goals at both ends. Four of the last six meetings have produced three or more goals.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-osasuna-vs-real-madrid-odds\">Osasuna vs Real Madrid odds<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"686b11f50cb1f883f29181f0\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"68351e812febbf834d31a071\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Primera Divisi\\u00f3n\",\"country\":\"Spain\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-15T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-24T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8362\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8361\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8360\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e835f\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e835e\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8298\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfd81ff06d75c1e8363\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8364\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8365\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfe81ff06d75c1e8366\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"6a1651e1dd2a4896f26ee00a\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"datetime\":\"2026-02-21T17:30:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Osasuna vs Real Madrid\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db71fe93e306d7f46ebae\",\"name\":\"Osasuna\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/ca-osasuna.png\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":2}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db6b5e93e306d7f466403\",\"name\":\"Real Madrid\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/real-madrid-castilla.png\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":1,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":1}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8298\",\"group_name\":null,\"group_id\":null,\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"match_time\":{\"running_match_min\":98,\"clamped_match_min\":null,\"human_match_time\":\"FT\",\"period\":\"full_time\",\"period_id\":14,\"stoppage_minutes\":null,\"is_halftime\":false,\"is_extratime\":false,\"is_extratime_halftime\":false,\"is_penalties\":false,\"is_finished\":true},\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"venue\":\"Estadio El Sadar\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Both Teams To Score\",\"name\":\"Both Teams To Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"}],\"active_market\":\"Match Result\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\/26 season to date<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">53<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+34<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">60<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Osasuna<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Real Madrid\u2019s 79% win rate and +34 goal difference highlight their dominance, while Osasuna sit mid-table with a balanced goal record and 33% win rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 (Real Madrid):<\/strong> 23 goals, 4 assists, 45.8% shot accuracy, 54.6% successful take-ons. The most decisive player in the league, Mbapp\u00e9 averages nearly a goal per game and is involved in almost every major attacking move for Madrid.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Vin\u00edcius J\u00fanior (Real Madrid):<\/strong> 8 goals and 5 assists, 47.5% shot accuracy, 82.7% pass accuracy. A secondary threat with dynamic dribbling and chance creation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ante Budimir (Osasuna):<\/strong> 11 goals, but with just 28.6% shot accuracy and no assists. Osasuna\u2019s main goal threat, but less efficient than Madrid\u2019s forwards.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Real Madrid have nine wins and four draws from the last thirteen meetings, with Osasuna yet to claim a victory. The last six games have seen Madrid assert their superiority, including two 4-0 wins in the last three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/08\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 1-0 Osasuna<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/02\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/11\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16\/03\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">07\/10\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/02\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Osasuna 0-2 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given Real Madrid\u2019s blistering form, attacking firepower, and historic control of this fixture, it\u2019s tough to see Osasuna pulling off an upset. With Mbapp\u00e9 in top gear and Madrid\u2019s defence conceding less than a goal per game, the value is firmly on the away win at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.matchbook.com\/\">4\/6 with Matchbook<\/a> (60.0% implied probability). Can Osasuna stop the juggernaut, or will Madrid\u2019s title march continue?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Leaders Real Madrid travel to Osasuna for a high-stakes La Liga clash that pits the division\u2019s most ruthless attack against an Osasuna side looking to&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":370,"featured_media":1433682,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Osasuna vs Real Madrid, La Liga stats, betting tips, predictions, best bets, Mbapp\u00e9 anytime scorer, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Osasuna vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get in-depth Osasuna vs Real Madrid predictions with stats, best bets, head-to-head history, and the latest odds. Our expert analysis covers top value picks, team form, and key player insights for Saturday's big La Liga clash.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1433683","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Osasuna vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get in-depth Osasuna vs Real Madrid predictions with stats, best bets, head-to-head history, and the latest odds. 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