{"id":1433309,"date":"2026-02-17T10:31:08","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T10:31:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1433309"},"modified":"2026-02-17T10:31:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-17T10:31:09","slug":"qarabag-vs-newcastle-united-predictions-stats-tips-odds-preview","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/qarabag-vs-newcastle-united-predictions-stats-tips-odds-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Qarabag vs Newcastle United: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Newcastle United travel to face Qarabag in a high-stakes UEFA Champions League play-off clash where contrasting season form and attacking threats on both sides promise a compelling contest. With no prior competitive meetings between these clubs, all eyes will be on how Newcastle&#8217;s clinical finishing matches up against Qarabag&#8217;s creative midfielders. The action unfolds at Qarabag&#8217;s Azersun Arena, with kick-off scheduled for 17:45 GMT on Wednesday 18th February 2026.<\/p>\n<h2>Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n<p>Based on season-long metrics and attacking trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Newcastle United to secure the win, given their defensive record, superior shot accuracy, and the attacking form of Anthony Gordon.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Newcastle United to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">2\/5 @ Bet365<\/a><br \/>(71.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We are backing Newcastle to win because they have a 50% win rate from 8 European matches, a +10 goal difference, and a shot accuracy of 50.8%. Qarabag, by contrast, have conceded almost as many as they&#8217;ve scored and have a negative goal difference.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br \/>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here: Qarabag average two goals per game this season, while Newcastle have found the net 17 times in 8 matches. Both teams possess top scorers in form, and Qarabag&#8217;s defence has allowed 21 goals in 8 European outings.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Kevin Medina to be Carded<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">23\/10 @ Bet365<\/a><br \/>(40.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We are backing Medina to be carded due to the likely pressure he&#8217;ll face from Newcastle&#8217;s wide attackers and a robust defensive workload. At 23\/10, the price looks appealing for a regular in the referee&#8217;s book in European games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1381273\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1381470\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#01644a\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29162841\/bet365.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Bet365 Logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use Bonus Code SQUAWKA365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use Bonus Code SQUAWKA365<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Claim Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365-review\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <ul class=\"sq-toplist__features\">\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Bet \u00a310 get \u00a330<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Excellent Football Betting Options<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Extensive Bet-Builder<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker<\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n                <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet \u00a310 and get \u00a330 in Free Bets. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&amp;Cs apply. Registration Required. This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. #Ad.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<p>Newcastle have been more efficient, boasting a higher win percentage and far superior goal difference, while Qarabag have struggled for consistency despite an enterprising attack.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Newcastle United<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Qaraba\u011f<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Anthony Gordon (Newcastle United):<\/strong> 6 goals and 2 assists in 8 European matches, averaging 1 goal contribution every game. Shot accuracy of 50.8% makes him Newcastle&#8217;s most efficient finisher.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Leandro Andrade (Qarabag):<\/strong> 6 goals, 2 assists and 8 big chance assists in 14 games; Qarabag&#8217;s leading scorer and a constant creative threat.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Abdellah Zoubir (Qarabag):<\/strong> 3 assists and a remarkable 14 big chance assists this season, with an outstanding 90% pass accuracy \u2013 expect him to dictate Qarabag&#8217;s attacking play.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Harvey Barnes (Newcastle United):<\/strong> 5 goals in 8 matches, sharing the attacking load and providing another option for Newcastle in front of goal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-Head Record<\/h2>\n<p>There have been no previous competitive meetings between Qarabag and Newcastle United in all available seasons. This will be the first time these two sides face off in European competition.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2013<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2013<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>Will Newcastle United&#8217;s defensive solidity and clinical attack prove too much for Qarabag&#8217;s creative midfielders at home? With both sides boasting in-form attackers and a first-ever meeting adding to the intrigue, this tie could produce goals and drama. Backing Newcastle to win at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">2\/5 @ Bet365<\/a> (71.4%) looks a solid choice, but those seeking value might also consider both teams to get on the scoresheet at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a> (52.4%).<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Newcastle United travel to face Qarabag in a high-stakes European clash where contrasting season form and attacking threats on both sides promise a co&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":370,"featured_media":1433308,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Qarabag vs Newcastle United, predictions, stats, tips, odds, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Qarabag vs Newcastle United: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get all the stats, predictions, tips, and the latest odds for Qarabag vs Newcastle United. In-depth analysis of team form, potential match-winners, and value bets, including which key players could decide the outcome. Includes standings, best bets, and where to find the best prices.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1433309","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Qarabag vs Newcastle United: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get all the stats, predictions, tips, and the latest odds for Qarabag vs Newcastle United. In-depth analysis of team form, potential match-winners, and value bets, including which key players could decide the outcome. 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