{"id":1432606,"date":"2026-02-11T09:28:02","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T09:28:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1432606"},"modified":"2026-02-11T09:28:05","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T09:28:05","slug":"match-preview-borussia-dortmund-vs-mainz-13-02-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-borussia-dortmund-vs-mainz-13-02-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Second-placed Borussia Dortmund<\/a> welcome Mainz<\/a> to Signal Iduna Park in a Bundesliga<\/a> match that pits title chasers against relegation battlers. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dortmund have lost just once all season and boast a formidable home record, while Mainz are struggling near the drop zone. Kick-off is at 19:30 on Friday 13 February, with both sides desperate for points \u2013 but for very different reasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on the current gulf in form, defensive records, and recent head-to-head meetings, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing a high-scoring Dortmund win, and see potential value in opposing both teams to score given Mainz\u2019s conversion issues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Over 3.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\nBet365<\/a> 13\/10<\/a>
(43.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWe’re backing goals, with Dortmund averaging over two per game and Mainz conceding more than 1.5 per match. Four of the last six meetings have seen three or more goals.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams To Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\nBetfair<\/a> 13\/10<\/a>
(43.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nMainz have struggled to convert their chances and Dortmund have kept 10 clean sheets in 21 games. Dortmund\u2019s defence could shut out a Mainz side with just 25 goals this season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Dortmund have been among the league\u2019s most consistent sides, sitting second with 48 points from 21 matches and a goal difference of +23. Mainz, by contrast, are mired in 14th and have won just five times all campaign, conceding 33 goals in the process. Here\u2019s how both teams stand:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Borussia Dortmund<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n+23<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Mainz<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n-8<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Dortmund\u2019s attack is the most dangerous among these two, with 43 goals scored and a spread of scorers, including 10 from defenders. Mainz have struggled to convert chances, missing almost as many big chances as they create.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n