{"id":1427161,"date":"2026-01-29T13:54:03","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T13:54:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1427161"},"modified":"2026-01-29T13:54:05","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T13:54:05","slug":"match-preview-athletic-bilbao-vs-real-sociedad-01-02-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-athletic-bilbao-vs-real-sociedad-01-02-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/athletic-club\/\">Athletic Bilbao<\/a> host <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/real-sociedad\/\">Real Sociedad<\/a> in a Basque derby that could shape their seasons, with both sides needing a result to revive inconsistent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/la-liga-predictions-25-26\/\">La Liga<\/a> campaigns. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kick-off is set for Sunday 1 February at San Mam\u00e9s, and while Athletic have the home crowd, Real Sociedad arrive boasting the division\u2019s sharper attack and a slight edge in recent head-to-heads.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on clear attacking trends and the recent scoring output of both sides, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in the &#8216;Both Teams To Score&#8217; market, as neither defence has truly convinced, while Real Sociedad bring superior attacking efficiency to the derby clash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams To Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We&#8217;re backing both teams to score because four of their last six meetings have seen both sides find the net. Real Sociedad have scored 29 times this season, while Athletic\u2019s defence has shipped 30 in 21 games. With both teams\u2019 shot accuracy around 40% and defensive lapses on show, this market looks solid value.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Real Sociedad Draw No Bet<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">11\/8 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(42.1%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here due to Sociedad&#8217;s superior attacking output (29 goals vs Athletic&#8217;s 20) and their positive head-to-head record (8 wins from last 18). Athletic have underperformed their xG heavily, suggesting ongoing attacking issues. The safety net against the draw adds appeal.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/midnite\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Midnite Offer<\/a>: Bet \u00a310, get \u00a330 in free bets<\/h2>\r\n<p><strong>How to claim:<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Open an account at Midnite using <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/midnite?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>this link<\/strong><\/a>.<\/li>\r\n<li>Deposit \u00a310 or more<\/li>\r\n<li>Place your first bet of \u00a310 or more (minimum odds of 1\/1)<\/li>\r\n<li>Receive \u00a330 in free bets, valid for 7 days on selected betse only.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/midnite?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1422505 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-1024x358.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-1024x358.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-300x105.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-768x268.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-400x140.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-572x200.png 572w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-172x60.png 172w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-150x52.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148-40x14.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06121645\/image-148.png 1499w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>18+ New customers only. Place a \u00a310+ bet at min odds 1\/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get \u00a330 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&amp;Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both teams have struggled for consistency, and their records reflect mid-table status. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th with a negative goal difference, while Real Sociedad are 8th, having scored more and conceded less. Both have identical win rates at just 33%, underlining the unpredictable nature of this clash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Athletic Bilbao<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Sociedad<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad):<\/strong> 8 goals from 5.32 xG (overperformance), 28 key passes, 93 touches in the box \u2013 a constant goal threat and creator.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Gon\u00e7alo Guedes (Real Sociedad):<\/strong> Exceptionally efficient finisher with 5 goals from just 1.42 xG and a 60% shot accuracy rate, making him a high-impact option even with limited chances.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Nico Williams (Athletic Bilbao):<\/strong> A likely starter up front, known for his pace and ability to stretch defences\u2014though this season\u2019s conversion rate lags his career average.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Alejandro Berenguer (Athletic Bilbao):<\/strong> Will be relied upon for creativity and set-piece delivery, vital for unlocking a well-organised Real Sociedad backline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recent Basque derbies have been closely fought, with Real Sociedad edging the rivalry by two wins in the last 18. Four of the last six have seen both teams score, and neither side has managed to dominate for long stretches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">01\/11\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Sociedad 3-2 Athletic Bilbao<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Division<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">04\/05\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Sociedad 0-0 Athletic Bilbao<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Division<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24\/11\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Division<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13\/01\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Division<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30\/09\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Sociedad 3-0 Athletic Bilbao<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Division<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Who Claims Basque Pride?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Will Real Sociedad\u2019s superior firepower prove decisive, or can Athletic\u2019s defensive solidity at home tip the balance? With both teams struggling for consistency but boasting attacking talents in Oyarzabal and Williams, neutrality looks tempting \u2013 but our top pick remains Both Teams To Score at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 with Bet365<\/a> (52.4%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-50x50.jpg 50w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/premier-league-net-spend-2026-27\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Premier League clubs ranked by net spend | 2026-27 transfer windows<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/squawkanews\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Squawka News                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">10 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Athletic Bilbao host Real Sociedad in a Basque derby that could shape their seasons, with both sides needing a result to revive inconsistent league ca&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1427158,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad predictions, stats, betting tips, odds, Basque 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