{"id":1425793,"date":"2026-01-22T10:46:56","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T10:46:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1425793"},"modified":"2026-01-22T10:46:58","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T10:46:58","slug":"match-preview-mainz-vs-wolfsburg-24-01-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-mainz-vs-wolfsburg-24-01-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Mainz vs Wolfsburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Two sides with plenty to prove meet as Mainz<\/a> host Wolfsburg<\/a>, with both looking to snap poor runs and climb the Bundesliga<\/a> table. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wolfsburg boast a commanding head-to-head record and a more potent attack, but Mainz will hope home advantage and a recent uptick in output can help reverse their fortunes. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday at the MEWA Arena.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on recent attacking trends and the sharp contrast in goal output, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing goals, given Wolfsburg’s high conversion rate and Mainz’s defensive struggles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n8\/11 @ Bet365<\/a>
(57.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWe’re backing goals\u2014Wolfsburg matches average 3.6 goals, and Mainz concede 1.7 per game. Wolfsburg have netted 27 league goals and consistently outperform their xG. Odds of 8\/11<\/a> reflect a 57.9% chance, but the attacking numbers suggest value here.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Wolfsburg Double Chance (Win or Draw)<\/strong><\/td>\n4\/7 @ Bet365<\/a>
(63.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWolfsburg have lost just 3 of their last 18 meetings with Mainz (8 wins, 7 draws), and are unbeaten in four of the last five. Given Mainz have only won 2 of 18 this season, the 4\/7<\/a> price (63.6%) looks justified for the visitors to avoid defeat.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Both teams have endured patchy campaigns. Mainz are in the relegation mix, struggling for wins and conceding heavily, while Wolfsburg have had more cutting edge up front but remain leaky in defence themselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Mainz 05<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n-13<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Wolfsburg<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n27<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n-11<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Mainz: 2 wins from 18, 11% win rate; Wolfsburg: 5 wins, 28% win rate. Both teams are among the league’s lowest for clean sheets, so goals at both ends remain a threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n