{"id":1424194,"date":"2026-01-15T11:28:39","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T11:28:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1424194"},"modified":"2026-01-15T11:28:40","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T11:28:40","slug":"match-preview-egypt-vs-nigeria-17-01-26-afcon","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-egypt-vs-nigeria-17-01-26-afcon\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt vs Nigeria: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Two African giants collide as Egypt and Nigeria face off in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/afcon-betting-tips-predictions\/\">AFCON<\/a> third place playoff on 17 January, with kick-off set for 16:00. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both sides have been in impressive form this tournament, but disappointment in the semi-final means these two nations play in the game that no one wants to feature in. This contest at Stade Mohamed V promises tension, technical quality, and a fascinating tactical battle between Africa\u2019s most decorated national teams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Nigeria\u2019s attacking output, Egypt\u2019s defensive resilience, and standout individual performances, here are our top betting recommendations. We\u2019re particularly confident in Nigeria to win, given their superior creativity and perfect group record so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Nigeria to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">13\/10 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(43.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We are backing Nigeria because they have a 100% win record in the group, average 4.7 big chances created per game, and have netted 14 goals (tournament-high). Their pass accuracy (87.6%) and possession (60.1%) point to sustained control, and with Lookman and Osimhen in form, they have the most dynamic attack in the tournament.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score &#8211; Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here: Nigeria have scored in every group game, Egypt\u2019s Mohamed Salah has 4 goals already, and the Pharaohs have only failed to score once this campaign. Both sides possess attacking threats and average over 3 big chances created per match.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/stakemate-bet-10-get-20-in-free-bets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Stakemate Offer<\/a>: Bet \u00a310, get \u00a320 in free bets<\/h2>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/stakemate?q=gb-all-all-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1422508\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-1024x489.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"489\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-1024x489.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-768x367.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-1536x733.png 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-400x191.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-419x200.png 419w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-126x60.png 126w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-150x72.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150-40x19.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/06122108\/image-150.png 1986w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><strong>How to claim:<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Go to Stakemate using <a href=\"\/en\/go\/stakemate?q=gb-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>this link<\/strong><\/a>.<\/li>\r\n<li>Download the app and create your account<\/li>\r\n<li>Place your first bet of \u00a310 or more (minimum odds of 2\/1)<\/li>\r\n<li>Once settled, receive 4 x \u00a35 free bets - minimum 3 selections and 2\/1 odds on each bet.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<div class=\"sq-toplist\" data-bookmaker-id=\"1408906\" data-offer-id=\"1408908\">\r\n<div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\r\n<div class=\"sq-toplist__item\">\r\n<div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\">\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>#AD 18+ New Customers Only. Place any \u00a310 bet to qualify, min 2.0 (1\/1) odds. Qualifying bet must settle, excluding cash outs. Bonus credited with 24hrs of settlement. 4 x \u00a35 free bets. Free bets min 3 selections and 3.0 odds. Returns exclude free bet stake. Expiry applies. Full T&amp;Cs apply.<\/em><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nigeria enjoyed the perfect group campaign at the 2025 AFCON, winning all three of their games and scoring eight goals along the way. Their defensive deficiencies were on display though, with the Super Eagles conceding four times in their three group games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The knockout stages saw Nigeria overcome Mozambique by a 4-0 scoreline, leading to a quarter final tie against Algeria. Nigeria were again able to keep a clean sheet and ran out 2-0 winners, setting up a huge semi-final with hosts, Morocco. The game ended 0-0 with penalties needed to separate the two teams. Morocco triumphed, leaving Nigeria to face this third place playoff. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Egypt topped their group, winning two of their three games and securing a draw against Angola to seal their qualification. Goals were sparse in Egypt&#8217;s games, with The Pharaohs scoring just three times and conceding just a single goal. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Egypt needed extra time to beat Benin in the round of 16, eventually running out 3-1 winners. The quarter final saw them overcome Ivory Coast, needing a Mo Salah goal to see off their opponents 3-2. They didn&#8217;t have luck on their side in the semi-final, losing 1-0 to Senegal and relegating them to appear in the third place playoff. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mohamed Salah (Egypt):<\/strong> 4 goals in 3 matches, 66.7% shot accuracy, 11 big-chance assists \u2013 Egypt\u2019s main attacking outlet and penalty taker.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Victor Osimhen (Nigeria):<\/strong> Also with 4 goals, plus 2 assists. Though his shot accuracy is lower (37.5%), his movement and threat in behind are constant problems for defences.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ademola Lookman (Nigeria):<\/strong> 4 assists and a remarkable 14 big-chance assists, with a 75% shot accuracy. His creativity and direct running could be decisive.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Omar Marmoush (Egypt):<\/strong> A consistent attacking partner for Salah, contributing to Egypt\u2019s forward play. Watch for his link-up and pressing work.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These two nations have met a few times over the past 10 years, with the spoils being shared. Both nations have won two of those five games, with one ending in a draw.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16\/12\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Egypt 2-1 Nigeria<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Friendly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11\/01\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nigeria 1-0 Egypt<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">AFCON<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/03\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nigeria 1-0 Egypt<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Friendly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29\/03\/16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Egypt 1-0 Nigeria<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">AFCON<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25\/03\/16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nigeria 1-1 Egypt<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">AFCON<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Will Egypt\u2019s defensive organisation and Mohamed Salah\u2019s clinical edge be enough to stop Nigeria\u2019s high-flying, creative attack? Or will the Super Eagles\u2019 control and firepower secure another statement win? The numbers point to Nigeria as favourites, and with <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">13\/10 @ Bet365<\/a> (43.5% implied probability) available for the away win, there\u2019s definite value for those seeking a confident selection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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                           <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/squawkanews\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Squawka News                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">14 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two African giants collide as Egypt and Nigeria face off in the AFCON third place playoff on 17 January, with kick-off set for 16:00. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1424193,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Egypt vs Nigeria, football betting, Africa Cup of Nations, odds, predictions, tips, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Egypt vs Nigeria: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the AFCON match between Egypt and Nigeria on Saturday 17 January.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1424194","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Egypt vs Nigeria: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the AFCON match between Egypt and Nigeria on Saturday 17 January.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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