{"id":1424107,"date":"2026-01-16T09:30:43","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T09:30:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1424107"},"modified":"2026-01-16T09:30:46","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T09:30:46","slug":"match-preview-atletico-madrid-vs-alaves-18-01-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-atletico-madrid-vs-alaves-18-01-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Atl\u00e9tico Madrid vs Deportivo Alav\u00e9s: stats, predictions, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Atl\u00e9tico Madrid return to the Metropolitano this weekend looking to extend their dominance over Deportivo Alav\u00e9s, a side they have beaten ten times in the last sixteen meetings. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kick-off is set for 15:15 on Sunday, with Diego Simeone’s men eager to consolidate their top-four spot against an Alav\u00e9s side struggling for goals and form. With the hosts boasting one of La Liga<\/a>\u2019s tightest defences and Alav\u00e9s underperforming in attack, all eyes are on whether this match will see business as usual or a surprise twist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on clinical finishing, defensive reliability, and recent trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in backing Atl\u00e9tico to win, given their home record, attacking efficiency, and Alav\u00e9s’s ongoing finishing woes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Atl\u00e9tico Madrid to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n3\/10 @ Bet365<\/a>
(76.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWe are backing Atl\u00e9tico because they\u2019ve won 10 of their last 16 against Alav\u00e9s and are unbeaten in their last five meetings. Their home form is strong, with only three losses in 19 league matches this season, while Alav\u00e9s have scored just 16 goals in 19 games and have struggled away from home all campaign.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Julian Alvarez Anytime Scorer<\/strong><\/td>\nEvs @ Bet365<\/a>
(50.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nJulian Alvarez is in red-hot form, netting 7 goals from just 4.18 xG this season. He\u2019s averaging nearly a goal every 2.7 shots and has been the target man in Atl\u00e9tico\u2019s attack. With Alav\u00e9s conceding over 1.25 goals per game, Alvarez looks set to get chances.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Atl\u00e9tico Madrid sit in fourth with a commanding +17 goal difference, reflecting both their attacking output (1.79 goals per game) and defensive steel (0.89 conceded per game). Alav\u00e9s, meanwhile, are just above the drop zone, averaging less than a goal scored per match and conceding 1.26 on average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Atl\u00e9tico Madrid<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n+17<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Deportivo Alav\u00e9s<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n-8<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n