{"id":1424047,"date":"2026-01-15T23:36:49","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T23:36:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1424047"},"modified":"2026-01-15T23:36:51","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T23:36:51","slug":"match-preview-borussia-dortmund-vs-st-pauli-17-01-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-borussia-dortmund-vs-st-pauli-17-01-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Borussia Dortmund welcome St. Pauli to Signal Iduna Park for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/outright-markets\/bundesliga-winner-odds\/\">Bundesliga<\/a> clash that pits one of the division\u2019s most consistent forces against a side fighting for survival. Kick-off is set for 2:30pm on Saturday, in a game where Dortmund\u2019s attacking power and defensive solidity will be sternly tested by St. Pauli\u2019s determination to upset the odds.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on dominant attacking output and a head-to-head record that favours the hosts, here are our top betting recommendations. We\u2019re especially confident in backing Borussia Dortmund to win, given their superior goal difference, home form, and St. Pauli\u2019s defensive frailties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Borussia Dortmund to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(73.3%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">We\u2019re backing Dortmund because they have more than double the goals of St. Pauli (32 vs 13), a +17 goal difference, and a head-to-head record of two wins and a draw in the past three meetings. St. Pauli have lost 9 of 15 league games and conceded twice as many goals.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score \u2013 No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(57.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">There could be value here as Dortmund have kept 9 clean sheets in 17 matches, while St. Pauli have failed to score in a third of their league outings and have managed only 13 goals all season. The visitors\u2019 attack has struggled against top-half sides.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2>SpreadEx Sign-Up Offer:\u00a0<\/h2>\r\n<p>SpreadEx are offering new customers the chance to get \u00a360 in free bets when they join and place \u00a310 in qualifying bets.<\/p>\r\n<p>To claim this offer, follow these steps:<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Create your account by clicking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/spreadex?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">this link<\/a> or the image below.<\/li>\r\n<li>Register for your account by adding your details. It only takes a few minutes.<\/li>\r\n<li>Make your first deposit then place a \u00a310 single or \u00a310 each-way fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1\/2<\/li>\r\n<li>Get 3 x \u00a310 free fixed odds bets, 3 x \u00a35 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x \u00a35 Winning Favourites spread bets on consecutive days and a \u00a31 racing Race Index spread bet<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1393518\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-1024x523.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"523\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-1024x523.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-768x392.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-400x204.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-392x200.png 392w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-118x60.png 118w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-150x77.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-40x20.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86.png 1338w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\r\n<div class=\"bookmaker-review\">\r\n<div class=\"bookmaker-review__bet\">\r\n<div class=\"warning\">\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Spread betting losses can exceed deposit. 18+ www.gambleaware.org. Place a \u00a310 fixed odds single or \u00a310 each-way bet at minimum odds of 1\/2 and get 3 x \u00a310 free fixed odds bets, 3 x \u00a35 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x \u00a35 Winning Favourites spread bets and a \u00a31 racing Race Index spread bet. \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"6861d5e9566e672f1bd7ebf2\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"682be3423d4ff932ec654e07\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Bundesliga\",\"country\":\"Germany\",\"created_at\":\"2025-05-26T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-16T00:00:00+00:00\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-22T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2026-05-22T23:55:30+00:00\",\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8283\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"created_at\":\"2025-06-30T00:10:17+00:00\",\"datetime\":\"2026-01-17T14:30:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db6b5e93e306d7f4663f1\",\"name\":\"Borussia Dortmund\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":3,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":3}},{\"participant_id\":\"667aab10773e0180d8f65025\",\"name\":\"St. Pauli\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":2}}],\"selections\":[{\"channel_id\":1728,\"channel_name\":\"BBC iPlayer\",\"channel_shortname\":\"BBC iPlayer\",\"channel_url\":null,\"channel_slug\":\"bbc-iplayer\",\"channel_coverage\":\"national\",\"is_streaming\":true,\"sprite_class\":\"icons-channels-default\",\"channel_logo_url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/feed-orch-prd.s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com\\\/channel-logos\\\/bbc-iplayer.svg\"}],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2026-01-24T23:55:30+00:00\",\"venue\":\"SIGNAL IDUNA PARK\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Both Teams To Score\",\"name\":\"Both Teams To Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Player Shots On Target\",\"name\":\"Player Shots On Target\"},{\"_id\":\"Player To Be Carded\",\"name\":\"Player To Be Carded\"}],\"active_market\":\"\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2025\/26 season to date:<\/strong> Borussia Dortmund\u2019s consistency is clear in their 59% win rate and 17-game unbeaten streak (W10 D6 L1), while St. Pauli have struggled with just three wins in 15 and a worrying defensive record. Dortmund\u2019s +17 goal difference is among the best in the league; St. Pauli\u2019s -13 underlines their problems at both ends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Borussia Dortmund<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St. Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund):<\/strong> 6 goals from an xG of 4.95, 48% shot accuracy, and 11 big chance assists highlight his status as a constant threat both as a scorer and creator.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Maximilian Beier (Borussia Dortmund):<\/strong> Has netted 5 times with a clinical 58% shot accuracy, playing as an attacking midfielder \u2013 an under-the-radar goal threat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli):<\/strong> 4 goals and 2 assists, 59% shot accuracy, and a team-high 20 big chance assists; if St. Pauli score, he\u2019s likely to be involved.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Andreas William Edwin Hountondji (St. Pauli):<\/strong> 4 goals, 50% shot accuracy \u2013 a rare bright spot in a struggling attack.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-6-meetings\">Last 6 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Borussia Dortmund have the clear edge in recent head-to-head encounters, unbeaten in the last three meetings with two wins and a draw, and outscoring St. Pauli 7\u20134 across those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23\/08\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St. Pauli 3-3 Borussia Dortmund<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">01\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St. Pauli 0-2 Borussia Dortmund<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/10\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Borussia Dortmund 2-1 St. Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion-can-dortmund-dominate-again\">Conclusion: Can Dortmund Dominate Again?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With a dominant attack, rock-solid defence, and a strong record in this fixture, Borussia Dortmund look set to take all three points against a St. Pauli side still searching for answers at both ends of the pitch. The value lies in backing the hosts to win at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/11 with Bet365<\/a> (73.3% implied probability), while those seeking a slightly bigger price could consider the <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Both Teams to Score \u2013 No<\/a> market at 8\/11 (57.9%). Will St. Pauli defy their underdog status, or will Dortmund\u2019s quality prove too much?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-articles-list\">\n                <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n                                           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         <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Borussia Dortmund welcome St. Pauli to Signal Iduna Park for a Bundesliga clash that pits one of the division\u2019s most consistent forces against a side&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2529,"featured_media":1424046,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli, Bundesliga tips, football predictions, head-to-head stats, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Borussia Dortmund and St Pauli on Saturday 17 January.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1424047","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This 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