{"id":1423113,"date":"2026-01-09T09:57:15","date_gmt":"2026-01-09T09:57:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1423113"},"modified":"2026-01-09T09:57:16","modified_gmt":"2026-01-09T09:57:16","slug":"match-preview-fiorentina-vs-milan-11-01-26-serie-a","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-fiorentina-vs-milan-11-01-26-serie-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Fiorentina vs Milan: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Fiorentina welcome Milan to the Stadio Artemio Franchi for a high-stakes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/serie-a\/\">Serie A<\/a> clash this weekend, with both teams fighting at opposite ends of the table. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The hosts are desperate for points to escape the drop zone, while Milan arrive on a strong run, eyeing another three points to keep pressure on the leaders. This fixture has historically favoured Milan, who have won more than half of the last 17 meetings, but Fiorentina&#8217;s home crowd will be hoping for an upset as the 19th-placed side look to turn their season around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Milan&#8217;s superior form, attacking efficiency, and defensive solidity, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. Milan to win stands out as the confidence pick, but there is also value in goals markets given both teams&#8217; attacking inclination and Fiorentina&#8217;s leaky defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Milan to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">11\/10 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(47.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan unbeaten in last four vs Fiorentina, far better form, just 1 loss this season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">1\/1 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(50.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both teams average over 2.5 goals in season; Fiorentina defence vulnerable.<\/td>\n<\/tr><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><hr \/>\r\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-soa-bs4-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sky Bet Offer<\/a>: Get \u00a340 in free bets when you place any bet<\/h2>\r\n<p>Looking for some free bets to boost your betting fund? Sky Bet are offering customers the chance to get \u00a340 in free bets when they sign up and place any qualifying bet.<\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1422496\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-1024x290.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"290\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-1024x290.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-300x85.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-768x218.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-1536x435.png 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-400x113.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-600x170.png 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-212x60.png 212w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-150x43.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-40x11.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143.png 2036w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li><a href=\"\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Sign up at Sky Bet<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0using this link<\/li>\r\n<li>Place a qualifying bet of at least 5p on a single or each way bet at odds of 1\/1 or greater, as your first bet<\/li>\r\n<li>Claim your \u00a340 free bet bonus<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<h5 class=\"bookmaker-row exclusive\" style=\"text-align: center;\" data-filter=\"  all-bookmakers free-bets in-play new-bookmaker world-cup-offers\">18+ NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE &amp; E\/W BET ONLY ODDS OF 1\/1 OR GREATER. 4 X \u00a310 BET TOKENS. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. FREE BETS EXPIRE AFTER 30 DAYS. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND FURTHER T&amp;CS APPLY.<\/h5>\r\n<hr \/><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The contrast between these sides could hardly be sharper. Milan are riding high in 2nd place, losing just once in 18 matches and boasting a goal difference of +15. Fiorentina, by contrast, languish 19th with only two wins from 19 and a worrying -10 goal difference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">39<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Christian Pulisic (Milan)<\/strong>: Milan&#8217;s leading scorer with 8 goals in 13 appearances, Pulisic boasts a sharp 50% shot accuracy and nearly 87% pass accuracy. Consistently gets into dangerous positions and finishes efficiently.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rafael Le\u00e3o (Milan)<\/strong>: With 7 goals in 12 matches and a remarkable 64.3% shot accuracy, Le\u00e3o is Milan&#8217;s most reliable threat in front of goal, often outperforming his expected goals tally.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Edin D\u017eeko (Fiorentina)<\/strong>: The experienced striker could provide a crucial focal point for Fiorentina, particularly if they look to exploit Milan on the break or from set pieces.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-7-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 7 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Milan have enjoyed the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 9 of the last 17 matches between the sides. Fiorentina have managed just 5 wins in that period, but have sprung the odd surprise, including a 2-1 home victory last season. Here\u2019s how the last encounters have played out:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/10\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan 2-1 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/04\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan 2-2 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">06\/10\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 2-1 Milan<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30\/03\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 1-2 Milan<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25\/11\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan 1-0 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">04\/03\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 2-1 Milan<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13\/11\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan 2-1 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Will Milan&#8217;s attacking efficiency and defensive discipline prove too much for a Fiorentina side desperate for points? All signs point to the visitors maintaining their dominance, but with the home crowd and Serie A&#8217;s unpredictability, drama can&#8217;t be ruled out. Our top selection is Milan to win at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">11\/10 @ Betfair<\/a> (47.6%), which looks a solid price given the gulf in form and quality.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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       <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/anton\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Anthony Eadson                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">16 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/premier-league-net-spend-2026-27\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Premier League clubs ranked by net spend | 2026-27 transfer windows\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-50x50.jpg 50w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/premier-league-net-spend-2026-27\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Premier League clubs ranked by net spend | 2026-27 transfer windows<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/squawkanews\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Squawka News                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">16 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nFiorentina welcome Milan to the Stadio Artemio Franchi for a high-stakes Serie A clash this weekend, with both teams fighting at opposite&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1423112,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Fiorentina vs Milan, Serie A predictions, football betting tips, best odds, Milan win, Over 2.5 Goals, player stats, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Fiorentina vs Milan: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Serie A match between Fiorentina and Milan on Sunday 11 January.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1423113","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fiorentina vs Milan: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Serie A match between Fiorentina and Milan on Sunday 11 January.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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