{"id":1422720,"date":"2026-01-09T10:31:58","date_gmt":"2026-01-09T10:31:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1422720"},"modified":"2026-01-09T10:32:01","modified_gmt":"2026-01-09T10:32:01","slug":"match-preview-derby-vs-leeds-11-01-26-fa-cup","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-derby-vs-leeds-11-01-26-fa-cup\/","title":{"rendered":"Derby County vs Leeds United: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Derby County welcome <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/outright-markets\/leeds-outright-odds-25-26\/\">Leeds United<\/a> to Pride Park, with the hosts searching for a statement result in front of their home crowd. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kick-off is set for Sunday afternoon, and the fixture comes with a clear narrative: Leeds United have dominated this matchup in recent years, making Derby desperate to turn the tide. With both sides fielding refreshed squads, this encounter gives both sides the chance to advance in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/fa-cup\/\">FA Cup<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on the recent head-to-head record and available odds, we see clear value in siding with Leeds United to continue their dominance. Here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We&#8217;re especially confident in a Leeds United win, given their seven victories in the last eleven meetings and strong recent away form at Pride Park.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Leeds United to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/7 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(63.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Backing because Leeds have won 7 of the last 11 against Derby\u2014including both meetings last season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">1\/1 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(50.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Value here due to 5 of last 7 head-to-heads going over this line.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><hr \/>\r\n<h2>SpreadEx Sign-Up Offer:\u00a0<\/h2>\r\n<p>SpreadEx are offering new customers the chance to get \u00a360 in free bets when they join and place \u00a310 in qualifying bets.<\/p>\r\n<p>To claim this offer, follow these steps:<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Create your account by clicking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/spreadex?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">this link<\/a> or the image below.<\/li>\r\n<li>Register for your account by adding your details. It only takes a few minutes.<\/li>\r\n<li>Make your first deposit then place a \u00a310 single or \u00a310 each-way fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1\/2<\/li>\r\n<li>Get 3 x \u00a310 free fixed odds bets, 3 x \u00a35 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x \u00a35 Winning Favourites spread bets on consecutive days and a \u00a31 racing Race Index spread bet<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1393518\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-1024x523.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"523\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-1024x523.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-768x392.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-400x204.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-392x200.png 392w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-118x60.png 118w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-150x77.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-40x20.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86.png 1338w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\r\n<div class=\"bookmaker-review\">\r\n<div class=\"bookmaker-review__bet\">\r\n<div class=\"warning\">\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Spread betting losses can exceed deposit. 18+ www.gambleaware.org. Place a \u00a310 fixed odds single or \u00a310 each-way bet at minimum odds of 1\/2 and get 3 x \u00a310 free fixed odds bets, 3 x \u00a35 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x \u00a35 Winning Favourites spread bets and a \u00a31 racing Race Index spread bet. \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is the first game for both of these sides in the FA Cup but the league form makes for interesting reading. Derby have been in indifferent form, winning just one of their last five <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/championship\/\">Championship<\/a> games and have lost two, leaving them in 13th position. The close nature of the Championship table means they are just six points off the playoffs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Leeds have seen their good run of form end, losing to Newcastle in their last outing, ending a run of seven games without defeat. That leaves them in 16th position in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/premier-league\/\">Premier League<\/a> but they sit eight points clear of the relegation zone, with the bottom three being cut adrift. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With no advanced player performance data available for the current campaign, both managers may look to their new attacking signings for inspiration. For Derby, the likes of Patrick Agyemang and Benjamin Brereton D\u00edaz will be tasked with breaking down a stubborn Leeds defence. Leeds United, meanwhile, can call on Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Wilfried Gnonto\u2014both forwards capable of unlocking any Championship backline. With fresh faces in both squads, individual brilliance could tilt the balance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-11-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 11 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Leeds United have asserted clear superiority in this fixture, winning seven of the last eleven encounters against Derby County. Their recent run includes back-to-back victories last season, with Derby failing to score in either game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 0-1 Leeds United<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">07\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Leeds United 2-0 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/07\/20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 1-3 Leeds United<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/09\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Leeds United 1-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/05\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Leeds United 2-4 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11\/05\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 0-1 Leeds United<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11\/01\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Leeds United 2-0 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11\/08\/18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 1-4 Leeds United<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/02\/18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 2-2 Leeds United<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31\/10\/17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Leeds United 1-2 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13\/01\/17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Leeds United 1-0 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Will Derby County upset the odds?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given Leeds United&#8217;s recent record in this fixture and their status as clear favourites, it&#8217;s difficult to look past the visitors. Derby County will need something special to break a run of seven defeats in the last eleven meetings. If you&#8217;re looking to back form and history, <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Leeds United to win at 4\/7 @ Bet365<\/a> (63.6%) stands out as the smart play for this Championship showdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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       <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/anton\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Anthony Eadson                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">15 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/premier-league-net-spend-2026-27\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2024\/05\/09112132\/1295444_1295444_premier-league-flag-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Premier League clubs ranked by net spend | 2026-27 transfer windows\" 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                           <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/squawkanews\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Squawka News                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">15 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nDerby County welcome Leeds United to Pride Park, with the hosts searching for a statement result in front of their home crowd. Kick-off i&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1422719,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Derby County vs Leeds United, Championship predictions, football tips, betting offers, best odds, H2H stats, Leeds United win, over 2.5 goals, accumulator tips, brand betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Derby County vs Leeds United: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the FA Cup match between Derby and Leeds on Sunday 11 January.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1422720","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Derby County vs Leeds United: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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