{"id":1422654,"date":"2026-01-08T09:23:24","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T09:23:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1422654"},"modified":"2026-01-08T09:23:25","modified_gmt":"2026-01-08T09:23:25","slug":"match-preview-union-berlin-vs-mainz-10-01-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-union-berlin-vs-mainz-10-01-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Union Berlin vs Mainz 05: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Saturday afternoon at the Stadion An der Alten F\u00f6rsterei sees Union Berlin host Mainz 05 in a Bundesliga clash that has historically been one-sided. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Union Berlin have dominated this fixture in recent years and find themselves comfortably mid-table, while Mainz sit bottom and desperately seek to reverse their fortunes. Kick-off is scheduled for 10 January 2026, with both sides under pressure for different reasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Union\u2019s physical style and home advantage meet a Mainz side with only one league win all season, making this a pivotal encounter as the relegation battle intensifies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on Union Berlin’s strong head-to-head record, Mainz’s defensive vulnerability, and recent form trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a Union Berlin home win, given their dominance in this fixture and Mainz\u2019s struggles on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Union Berlin to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n11\/10 @ Betfair<\/a>
(47.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nUnion have won 7 of last 12 H2Hs; Mainz 1 league win all season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n8\/13 @ Bet365<\/a>
(61.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNeither side prolific; both average under 1.5 goals per game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Union Berlin have established themselves in mid-table with a balanced record, while Mainz 05 are entrenched at the foot of the table with just a single victory and the league’s worst defensive numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Union Berlin<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n23<\/td>\n-3<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Mainz 05<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n-13<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Neither side boasts players among the league\u2019s top scorers or assist providers, but Union Berlin\u2019s strength lies in its physical and aerial game, with 320 successful aerial duels this season. Oliver Burke and Andrej Ili\u0107 could be key up front, while Josip Juranovi\u0107 (135 tackles won) anchors the defence. For Mainz, William B\u00f8ving Wick and Armindo Sieb provide the main threat in attack, but the side has struggled to convert chances\u2014just 13 goals from 15 matches, despite creating 19 big chances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Union Berlin have dominated this fixture, winning seven of their last 12 meetings with Mainz 05, who have managed just one victory in that span. Draws are not uncommon, but the recent trend clearly favours the home side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Date<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\nCompetition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    19\/01\/25<\/td>\nUnion Berlin 2-1 Mainz 05<\/td>\nBundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    24\/08\/24<\/td>\nMainz 05 1-1 Union Berlin<\/td>\nBundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    07\/02\/24<\/td>\nMainz 05 1-1 Union Berlin<\/td>\nBundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    20\/08\/23<\/td>\nUnion Berlin 4-1 Mainz 05<\/td>\nBundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    04\/02\/23<\/td>\nUnion Berlin 2-1 Mainz 05<\/td>\nBundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Union Berlin\u2019s powerful home record against Mainz and their mid-table stability make them clear favourites, but Mainz\u2019s desperation could make this a cagey affair. Will Union\u2019s physical edge and clinical finishing see them to another win, or can Mainz upset the odds at last? Backing the home side at 11\/10 @ Betfair<\/a> (47.6%) looks the standout value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

    Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n