{"id":1422637,"date":"2026-01-07T09:50:14","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T09:50:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1422637"},"modified":"2026-01-07T09:50:15","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T09:50:15","slug":"match-preview-mali-vs-senegal-09-01-26-afcon","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-mali-vs-senegal-09-01-26-afcon\/","title":{"rendered":"Mali vs Senegal: predictions, stats, tips, betting offers &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Senegal and Mali square off at the Stade Ibn Batouta on 9 January in a high-stakes clash that will see the winner advance to the semi-final stage. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senegal arrive as the team to beat, topping their group after an impressive unbeaten run, while Mali have reached this stage without winning a game in 90 minutes. With both sides boasting contrasting approaches and form, this fixture promises a fascinating tactical battle where Mali\u2019s defensive grit will be tested against Senegal\u2019s attacking prowess.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Senegal\u2019s dominance in possession, chance creation, and finishing, our strongest prediction is for Senegal to win inside 90 minutes. We\u2019re especially confident here given their superior xG, shooting accuracy, and clean sheet record. Below are our top three betting recommendations for this fixture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Senegal to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/13 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(61.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Backing because Senegal have scored 10 in 4 games, Mali only 3. Clear edge in attack and ball control.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/15 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(65.2%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Value here due to Mali\u2019s low scoring (3 in 4), plus strong Senegal defence (2 conceded).<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><hr \/>\r\n<h2>BOYLE Sports offer: Bet \u00a310 Get \u00a340 in free bets<\/h2>\r\n<p>Not signed up to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/boylesports\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BOYLE Sports<\/a> yet? Here's how to claim one of the best bookmaker welcome offers around...<\/p>\r\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list {\"ordered\":true} --><\/p>\r\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Sign up to BOYLE Sports using this <a href=\"\/en\/go\/boylesports?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">link<\/a>.<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Deposit a minimum of \u00a310 (Excluding Skrill\/Moneybookers, Neteller, PayPal, Paysafe or prepaid cards).<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Place a minimum bet of \u00a310 or more at odds of EVS (2.0) or greater.<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\r\n<li>Receive your \u00a340 in free bets<\/li>\r\n<!-- \/wp:list-item --><\/ol>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:list -->\r\n\r\n<!-- wp:image {\"id\":1393641,\"sizeSlug\":\"large\",\"linkDestination\":\"none\"} --><\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/boylesports?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1425440 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-1024x323.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"323\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-1024x323.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-300x95.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-768x242.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-400x126.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-600x189.png 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-190x60.png 190w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-150x47.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448-40x13.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/20153506\/Screenshot-2026-01-20-153448.png 1524w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><!-- \/wp:image --><\/p>\r\n<p><em>18+ New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Min Deposit \u00a310. Min stake \u00a310. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out\/Free Bets won\u2019t apply. Account &amp; Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household &amp; IP Address only. T&amp;Cs Apply<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senegal set the pace in Group D, winning two of their group games and securing a draw against DR Congo to top the group. Senegal only conceded one goal in the group stage and kept up their impressive form in the Round of 16 with a 3-1 victory over Sudan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mali&#8217;s route to the quarter-final has been a little different, with Les Aigles drawing all three of their group stage games. This was enough to see them through to the Round of 16, where they needed penalties to overcome Tunisia. Three of out Mali&#8217;s four games at AFCON 2025 have ended with a 1-1 scoreline. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Sadio Man\u00e9 (Senegal)<\/strong> \u2013 Attacker with a proven international pedigree and explosive pace, likely to be central to Senegal\u2019s attack.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Isma\u00efla Sarr (Senegal)<\/strong> \u2013 Brings width and directness, key for stretching Mali\u2019s back line and providing service in the box.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Lassine Sinayoko (Mali)<\/strong> \u2013 Mali\u2019s focal point up front, will need to maximise limited chances given their low shot conversion rate.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Moussa Niakhate (Senegal)<\/strong> \u2013 Defensive leader, crucial for keeping Mali\u2019s strikers at bay and starting attacks from the back.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meetings between these two nations have been fairly sparse over the years, with just five matches since 2005. Senegal definitely have the edge in previous meetings, with four wins and a draw across those last five contests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/10\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senegal 2-0 Mali<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">WAFU Cup of Nations<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/03\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senegal 2-1 Mali<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Friendly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/03\/14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senegal 1-1 Mali<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Friendly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17\/11\/07<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mali 2-3 Senegal<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Friendly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">08\/10\/05<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senegal 3-0 Mali<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">World Cup Qualification<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senegal\u2019s combination of high possession, sharp finishing, and defensive resilience makes them deserved favourites here. Mali have shown they can frustrate opponents but will need to find another gear in attack and stay disciplined\u2014especially after picking up 14 yellow cards and 2 reds in just four matches. Can Mali pull off a shock, or will Senegal\u2019s quality prevail? For punters, Senegal to win at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/13 with Bet365<\/a> (61.9%) is a confident selection worth considering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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           <time class=\"sq-card__label\">23 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nSenegal and Mali square off at the Stade Ibn Batouta on 9 January in a high-stakes clash that could set the tone for the rest of thei&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1422633,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Mali vs Senegal, predictions, stats, tips, betting offers, odds, African football, best bets, bookmaker promotions, Senegal win, under 2.5 goals, accumulator, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Mali vs Senegal: predictions, stats, tips, betting offers & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the AFCON match between Mali and Senegal on Friday 9 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