{"id":1421133,"date":"2025-12-27T09:15:08","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T09:15:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1421133"},"modified":"2025-12-27T09:22:58","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T09:22:58","slug":"match-preview-leicester-vs-derby-29-12-25-championship","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-leicester-vs-derby-29-12-25-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Leicester City vs Derby County: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>All eyes turn to the King Power Stadium this Monday as Leicester City host Derby County in a Midlands showdown with both sides locked neck-and-neck in the Championship table. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With just a single point separating the teams and their seasons hanging in the balance, this 29 December clash (kick-off: 7:45 PM) promises high drama. Leicester are seeking to arrest a slide down the table, while Derby look to build on a recent uptick in form and leapfrog their rivals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the teams&#8217; near-identical attacking records and recent head-to-head meetings, here are our top betting recommendations. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Both Teams To Score, given both clubs&#8217; leaky defensive records and consistent goalscoring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams To Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/6 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(54.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both teams have scored 32 in 23 games, conceding 64 combined.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Draw<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">9\/4 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(30.8%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sides are well-matched \u2013 8 draws in 23 for Derby, 7 for Leicester.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1381273\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1381470\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div 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Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. GambleAware.org<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With 23 matches played, Derby County sit just above Leicester City, having collected 32 points (W8 D8 L7) with a +1 goal difference, compared to Leicester&#8217;s 31 points (W8 D7 L8) and a -1 goal difference. Both teams have netted 32 goals, but Derby have been slightly tighter at the back, conceding 31 to Leicester\u2019s 33.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Leicester City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">33<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Patrick Agyemang (Derby County)<\/strong>: 12 goals in 35 appearances, accounting for over a third of Derby\u2019s total. However, his shot accuracy sits at just 23.1%, so volume rather than efficiency drives his threat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Issahaku Fatawu (Leicester City)<\/strong>: Key attacker. While not among the league\u2019s top scorers, Fatawu\u2019s directness and pace can unlock defences\u2014watch for his dribbles and take-ons.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Stephy Mavididi (Leicester City)<\/strong>: Consistent provider in attack, part of a Leicester front line that shares goals and assists well across the team.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-2-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 2 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Leicester City have enjoyed the better of recent meetings, winning the last encounter at Pride Park and drawing the only other match-up in the past decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">06\/12\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 1-3 Leicester City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27\/01\/17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 2-2 Leicester City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">FA Cup<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Who Edges It?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With both teams boasting identical attacking records but Derby County slightly more solid at the back, Friday&#8217;s derby feels finely balanced. The edge could come from a moment of individual quality\u2014Carlton Morris for Derby or a collective Leicester surge at home. Will Leicester City rediscover their home dominance, or can Derby\u2019s main man Morris spoil the party? Our top selection remains Both Teams To Score <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/6 @ Bet365<\/a> (54.5%)\u2014a bet that covers the attacking strengths and defensive frailties of both sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/player-comparison-matrix-stats-olise-fernandes-yamal-messi-assists-world-cup-2026\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-1024x576.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"World Cup 2026 most assists analysis: Crunching the numbers on Messi, Olise, Yamal &amp; Fernandes\" fetchpriority=\"high\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 50vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-2048x1152.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-400x225.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-356x200.jpg 356w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-107x60.jpg 107w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-132x74.jpg 132w\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/player-comparison-matrix-stats-olise-fernandes-yamal-messi-assists-world-cup-2026\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">World Cup 2026 most assists analysis: Crunching the numbers on Messi, Olise, Yamal &amp; Fernandes<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/jackkitson\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Jack Kitson                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">16 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/man-utd-transfer-analysis-ederson-midfield\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/03122514\/Ederson03062026_ID3E9HK0N-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Man Utd transfer analysis: Why Ederson will be a good signing for the Red Devils\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/man-utd-transfer-analysis-ederson-midfield\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Man Utd transfer analysis: Why Ederson will be a good signing for the Red Devils<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/harry-edwards\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Harry Edwards                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">20 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/the-goat-debate-rivaldo-vs-ronaldinho-25-05-26\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/05\/08104123\/feature_image-x-2-purple-3-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"The GOAT Debate &#8211; Rivaldo vs Ronaldinho\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/the-goat-debate-rivaldo-vs-ronaldinho-25-05-26\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">The GOAT Debate &#8211; Rivaldo vs Ronaldinho<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">23 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/world-cup-2026-changing-of-the-guard-data-analysis\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/12\/13135115\/1291519_1291519_messi-vs-ronaldo-world-cup-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"World Cup 2026: The data behind football&#8217;s changing of the guard\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/12\/13135115\/1291519_1291519_messi-vs-ronaldo-world-cup-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/12\/13135115\/1291519_1291519_messi-vs-ronaldo-world-cup-50x50.jpg 50w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/12\/13135115\/1291519_1291519_messi-vs-ronaldo-world-cup-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/world-cup-2026-changing-of-the-guard-data-analysis\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">World Cup 2026: The data behind football&#8217;s changing of the guard<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/lukeh\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Luke Hamilton                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">2 days ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nAll eyes turn to the King Power Stadium this Monday as Leicester City host Derby County in a Midlands showdown with both sides locked nec&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1421132,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Leicester City vs Derby County, Championship predictions, betting tips, best odds, bookmaker offers, stats, head-to-head, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Leicester City vs Derby County: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Championship match between Leicester and Derby on Monday 29 December.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1421133","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Leicester City vs Derby County: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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