{"id":1420486,"date":"2025-12-22T16:37:40","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T16:37:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1420486"},"modified":"2025-12-22T16:40:14","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T16:40:14","slug":"match-preview-parma-vs-fiorentina-27-12-25-serie-a","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-parma-vs-fiorentina-27-12-25-serie-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Parma vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Parma welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Ennio Tardini, with kick-off set for Saturday 27 December, at 11:30am. The game can be seen live on DAZN and below you can find our match preview and best bets.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the defensive vulnerabilities of Fiorentina and Parma&#8217;s tendency to play out cagey draws, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in &#8220;Draw&#8221; as the value angle, given five stalemates in the last eight meetings and both teams&#8217; struggles to convert dominance into wins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Draw<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">2\/1 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(33.3%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Five draws in last eight H2Hs; neither side converting chances consistently.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Correct Score: 1-1<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/1 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(16.7%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Most common recent scoreline; fits both teams&#8217; attacking and defensive numbers.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"68462678af13258b0a668e78\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"683912632febbf834daf0393\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Serie A\",\"country\":\"Italy\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-23T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-24T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e8342\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e833f\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e833e\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e833d\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":null,\"stage_name\":\"Relegation Decider\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e833c\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e833b\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8284\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e8340\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e8341\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e8343\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"6a16519cdd2a4896f26ee002\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false}]},\"datetime\":\"2025-12-27T11:30:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Parma vs Fiorentina\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"667aab34773e0180d8f67c2c\",\"name\":\"Parma\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/parma-fc.png\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":1,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":1}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db6b4e93e306d7f4663a5\",\"name\":\"Fiorentina\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/ac-fiorentina.png\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":0,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":0}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8284\",\"group_name\":null,\"group_id\":null,\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"match_time\":{\"running_match_min\":100,\"clamped_match_min\":null,\"human_match_time\":\"FT\",\"period\":\"full_time\",\"period_id\":14,\"stoppage_minutes\":null,\"is_halftime\":false,\"is_extratime\":false,\"is_extratime_halftime\":false,\"is_penalties\":false,\"is_finished\":true},\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"venue\":\"Stadio Ennio Tardini\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Player Shots On Target\",\"name\":\"Player Shots On Target\"},{\"_id\":\"Player To Be Carded\",\"name\":\"Player To Be Carded\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Assist\",\"name\":\"Anytime Assist\"}],\"active_market\":\"\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>2025\/26 season to date<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Parma<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams are struggling at the wrong end of the table, with Parma sitting 16th on 14 points (20% win rate) and Fiorentina rock bottom with only one win from 16 matches (6%). Parma have the tighter defence, but Fiorentina&#8217;s attack is more productive, with 17 goals for versus Parma&#8217;s 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Moise Kean (Fiorentina):<\/strong> Highest xG in this match-up (6.79) but just 4 goals\u2014suggests volume of chances but wasteful finishing. Averaging close to 1 big chance per game.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Pontus Almqvist (Parma):<\/strong> Relies on efficiency\u2014Parma&#8217;s more accurate shooters (33.96% shot accuracy) could make him a wild card if chances fall his way.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Albert Gu\u00f0mundsson (Fiorentina):<\/strong> Creative spark, part of a Fiorentina side producing 8 assists and 22 big chances\u2014dangerous if given space.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Last 8 Meetings: Five draws, two Parma wins, one Fiorentina win. Recent clashes have been tight, low-scoring affairs with little to separate the sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13\/04\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 0-0 Parma<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17\/08\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Parma 1-1 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">07\/03\/21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 3-3 Parma<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">07\/11\/20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Parma 0-0 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/07\/20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Parma 1-2 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">03\/11\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 1-1 Parma<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/05\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Parma 1-0 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/12\/18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 0-1 Parma<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Will Fiorentina&#8217;s attacking volume finally pay off, or can Parma&#8217;s defensive discipline secure a vital result? With both sides making a habit of sharing the spoils, a draw looks the standout pick\u2014especially at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">2\/1 (33.3%) with Bet365<\/a>. This contest could hinge on which side corrects its flaws: Fiorentina&#8217;s defensive frailties or Parma&#8217;s lack of cutting edge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-articles-list\">\n                <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n                                           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  <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nParma welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Ennio Tardini, with kick-off set for Sunday at 3:00 PM. This is a clash between two sides struggli&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2529,"featured_media":1420485,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Parma vs Fiorentina, Serie A stats, betting tips, correct score, best odds, both teams to score, draw prediction, Moise Kean, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Parma vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Serie A match between Parma and Fiorentina on Saturday 27 December.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1420486","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Parma vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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