{"id":1419545,"date":"2025-12-17T12:34:29","date_gmt":"2025-12-17T12:34:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1419545"},"modified":"2025-12-17T12:34:30","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T12:34:30","slug":"match-preview-derby-vs-portsmouth-20-12-25-championship","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-derby-vs-portsmouth-20-12-25-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Derby County vs Portsmouth: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Derby County host Portsmouth at Pride Park on Saturday, with both teams searching for momentum in the Championship. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Derby are aiming to assert their home superiority after a series of solid attacking showings, while Portsmouth arrive desperate to reverse a poor run that sees them hovering near the relegation zone. The 3:00 PM kick-off brings together two sides with contrasting fortunes in front of goal\u2014and a head-to-head record that suggests the points rarely travel far from Derby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Derby&#8217;s clinical edge and Portsmouth&#8217;s struggles in converting big chances, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Derby County to win due to their strong home form and much higher conversion rate in key moments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Derby County to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">1\/1 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(50.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby outperform xG, have lost just 1 H2H, and Portsmouth underperform in attack.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams To Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Defensive leaks: Derby conceded in 17\/21, Portsmouth in 15\/20 league games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. 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Portsmouth, meanwhile, are in the relegation zone, struggling to turn chances into goals and points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Portsmouth<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)<\/strong>: While Portsmouth are less clinical, Bishop remains their most likely source of a breakthrough, frequently involved in shots on target and key attacking moves.<br><br><strong>Patrick Agyemang (Derby County)<\/strong>: Effective in one-on-one situations and can change the pace of the game in the final third, helping Derby stretch play and open up space.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While Derby have only won once in the last six encounters, five of these matches have finished level, showing a history of closely contested clashes. Portsmouth, notably, have not won any of the last six.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12\/04\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Portsmouth 2-2 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 4-0 Portsmouth<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">02\/04\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Portsmouth 2-2 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">League One<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16\/09\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 1-1 Portsmouth<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">League One<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29\/04\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 1-1 Portsmouth<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">League One<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/11\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Portsmouth 0-0 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">League One<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Will Derby County&#8217;s clinical edge finally break the cycle of draws against Portsmouth, or will the visitors dig in for yet another share of the spoils? With Carlton Morris in top form and Derby far more adept at turning chances into goals, the hosts look a strong pick for three points. Back Derby at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">1\/1 with Betfair<\/a> (50.0%) for value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/tactical-analysis-why-wolves-need-dominant-version-2026\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"670\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-1024x670.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"Why Wolves need to tap into their dominant version more often\" fetchpriority=\"high\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 50vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-1024x670.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-300x196.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-768x503.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-1536x1005.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-2048x1340.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-400x262.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-306x200.jpg 306w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-92x60.jpg 92w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-150x98.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17162151\/CesarPeixotoWolves171026_ID3FT1YCJ-113x74.jpg 113w\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/tactical-analysis-why-wolves-need-dominant-version-2026\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Why Wolves need to tap into their dominant version more often<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/tottenham-hotspur-analysis-dominic-solanke\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/16151052\/feature_image-x1-circle-purple-1-1-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"The key signs that show Tottenham are turning a corner under Roberto De Zerbi\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/tottenham-hotspur-analysis-dominic-solanke\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">The key signs that show Tottenham are turning a corner under Roberto De Zerbi<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/post-match-analysis-newcastle-vs-aston-villa-17-10-26\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17201741\/NewcastleAstonVilla171026_ID3FW0WY1-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Newcastle vs Aston Villa stats and analysis: How Villans manipulated Magpies en route to away win\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/post-match-analysis-newcastle-vs-aston-villa-17-10-26\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Newcastle vs Aston Villa stats and analysis: How Villans manipulated Magpies en route to away win<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/post-match-analysis-everton-vs-chelsea-17-10-26\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/10\/17151103\/EvertonChelsea171026_ID3FTYGKR-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Everton vs Chelsea stats and analysis: How Blues used the left flank to unlock Toffees&#8217; defence\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/post-match-analysis-everton-vs-chelsea-17-10-26\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Everton vs Chelsea stats and analysis: How Blues used the left flank to unlock Toffees&#8217; defence<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nDerby County host Portsmouth at Pride Park on Saturday, with both teams searching for momentum in the Championship. Derby are aiming to a&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1419542,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Derby County vs Portsmouth, Championship predictions, football betting tips, odds, Carlton Morris, head-to-head stats, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Derby County vs Portsmouth: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Championship match between Derby and Portsmouth on Saturday 20 December.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1419545","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Derby County vs Portsmouth: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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