{"id":1418358,"date":"2025-12-12T11:46:35","date_gmt":"2025-12-12T11:46:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1418358"},"modified":"2025-12-12T11:46:37","modified_gmt":"2025-12-12T11:46:37","slug":"match-preview-bayern-munich-vs-mainz-14-12-25-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-bayern-munich-vs-mainz-14-12-25-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs Mainz 05: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bayern M\u00fcnchen welcome Mainz 05 to the Allianz Arena in what appears to be a true mismatch of Bundesliga fortunes. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The league leaders are unbeaten and have dominated both in attack and defence this season, while Mainz 05 languish at the foot of the table with the division&#8217;s worst record. Kick-off is set for 4:30 PM on Saturday, and with Bayern having won 13 of their last 18 meetings with Mainz, this fixture comes loaded with expectation for the hosts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on overwhelming attacking and defensive stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Bayern to win to nil, given their defensive solidity and Mainz&#8217;s struggle to score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Bayern to Win to Nil<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/13 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(61.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Backing because Bayern concede just 0.7 goals per game; Mainz average less than one goal scored.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Harry Kane Anytime Scorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/9 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(69.2%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Value here due to Kane&#8217;s 17 goals in 13 games (1.31 per match).<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1381273\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1381470\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#01644a\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29162841\/bet365.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Bet365 Logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use code SQUAWKA365 and bet \u00a310 to get \u00a330 in free bets<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use code SQUAWKA365 and bet \u00a310 to get \u00a330 in free bets<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Claim Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365-review\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <ul class=\"sq-toplist__features\">\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Bet \u00a310 get \u00a330<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Excellent Football Betting Options<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Extensive Bet-Builder<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker<\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n                <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet \u00a310 and get \u00a330 in Free Bets. 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Bet \u00a310+ in a single real-money bet within 7 days of registration to receive \u00a310 in Free Bets credited within 24 hours of qualifying bet settlement. Free Bets Boosts expire 7 days after credit. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. \u00a018+.\u00a0\u00a0Gambleaware.org<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The gulf between these two is stark in the 2025\/26 Bundesliga so far. Bayern M\u00fcnchen top the table unbeaten, with an astonishing +40 goal difference, while Mainz 05 are rooted to the bottom with just one victory and the league&#8217;s weakest attack and defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern M\u00fcnchen<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">49<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+40<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 05<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Harry Kane (Bayern):<\/strong> 17 goals in 13 games (1.31 per game), 60% shot accuracy, 68 penalty area touches. The league&#8217;s most prolific striker and a constant threat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Michael Olise (Bayern):<\/strong> 8 assists, 29 key passes, 94 touches in the opposition box (all per 13 games). The Bundesliga&#8217;s top creator.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Luis Diaz (Bayern):<\/strong> 6 assists, 27 key passes, 88 penalty area touches. Drives much of Bayern&#8217;s left-sided attacks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No Mainz player features among the league&#8217;s leaders for goals or assists, underlining the attacking gulf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bayern have dominated the recent history of this fixture, winning 13 of the last 18 meetings and outscoring Mainz 59 to 23 overall. In their last five clashes, Bayern have won three, including a commanding 8-1 victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/04\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3-0 Mainz 05<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 05 2-1 Bayern M\u00fcnchen<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/03\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bayern M\u00fcnchen 8-1 Mainz 05<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/10\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 05 1-3 Bayern M\u00fcnchen<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22\/04\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 05 3-1 Bayern M\u00fcnchen<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will Bayern&#8217;s dominance continue?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All the underlying numbers point strongly towards another Bayern victory: they have the Bundesliga&#8217;s best attack and defence, the most in-form striker in Harry Kane, and their creative chief Michael Olise leads the league for assists. Mainz, meanwhile, have the division&#8217;s lowest output at both ends and have failed to trouble Bayern in recent meetings. For punters, <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/13 @ Bet365<\/a> on Bayern to win to nil stands out as the headline selection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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       <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/ayyoub-bouaddi-analysis-man-city-arsenal-interest\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/07\/21143957\/3F2381K-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Ayyoub Bouaddi analysis: Why Man City and Arsenal are taking a look Moroccan midfielder\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/ayyoub-bouaddi-analysis-man-city-arsenal-interest\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Ayyoub Bouaddi analysis: Why Man City and Arsenal are taking a look Moroccan midfielder<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/mattsmith\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Matt Smith                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">16 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/alex-scott-transfer-bournemouth-future-man-utd-man-city-liverpool\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/07\/21162945\/3EE8AKR-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Dream, realistic, wildcard, Squawka Suggests: Where could Alex Scott go this summer?\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/alex-scott-transfer-bournemouth-future-man-utd-man-city-liverpool\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Dream, realistic, wildcard, Squawka Suggests: Where could Alex Scott go this summer?<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/mattsmith\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Matt Smith                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">20 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/john-stones-analysis-transfer-destinations\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/07\/20150830\/feature_image-x1-circle-purple-2-1-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"John Stones analysis: Dream, realistic and wildcard transfer destinations\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/john-stones-analysis-transfer-destinations\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">John Stones analysis: Dream, realistic and wildcard transfer destinations<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/chris-smith\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Chris Jones                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">1 day ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nBayern M\u00fcnchen welcome Mainz 05 to the Allianz Arena in what appears to be a true mismatch of Bundesliga fortunes. The league leaders are&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1418357,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs Mainz 05, Bundesliga predictions, football betting offers, stats, tips & odds, Harry Kane anytime scorer, Bayern win to nil, Bundesliga best bets, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs Mainz 05: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Bayern Munich and Mainz on Sunday 14 December.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1418358","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs Mainz 05: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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