{"id":1417999,"date":"2025-12-09T14:10:24","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T14:10:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1417999"},"modified":"2025-12-09T14:10:25","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T14:10:25","slug":"match-preview-sturm-graz-vs-crvena-zvezda-11-12-25-europa-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-sturm-graz-vs-crvena-zvezda-11-12-25-europa-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Sturm Graz vs Crvena zvezda: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Sturm Graz host Crvena zvezda in a crucial European showdown, with both sides seeking to get their campaigns back on track after mixed starts to the season. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The match takes place at Merkur Arena, promising a fascinating tactical battle as the Austrian hosts look to improve their record against a Serbian outfit that boasts defensive solidity and set-piece threat. Kick-off is set for Thursday, and with both teams level on goals scored but separated by recent form and underlying numbers, the stakes could hardly be higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on a detailed analysis of current form, attacking output, and defensive trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Crvena zvezda avoiding defeat, given their stronger xG profile and defensive record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Crvena zvezda Draw No Bet<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/4 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(44.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Backing because Crvena zvezda lead in xG, have more clean sheets, and are tighter at the back.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">1\/2 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(66.7%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Value here due to both sides converting chances and defensive lapses seen in recent games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1381273\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1381470\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#01644a\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29162841\/bet365.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Bet365 Logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use Bonus Code SQUAWKA365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use Bonus Code SQUAWKA365<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Claim Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365-review\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <ul class=\"sq-toplist__features\">\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Bet \u00a310 get \u00a330<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Excellent Football Betting Options<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Extensive Bet-Builder<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker<\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n                <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet \u00a310 and get \u00a330 in Free Bets. 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Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. GambleAware.org<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Crvena zvezda sit higher in the table, with two wins and a draw from five, conceding just five and scoring four. Sturm Graz, meanwhile, have found goals just as hard to come by and have just a single victory. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, but Crvena zvezda&#8217;s numbers are superior across most metrics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Crvena Zvezda<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sturm Graz<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams rely on a collective approach rather than standout individuals\u2014no player from either side features among the league&#8217;s top scorers or assist creators. For Sturm Graz, Maurice Malone and Seedy Jatta are attackers to watch, each capable of snatching a goal from limited chances, but overall they average under one goal per game as a team. Crvena zvezda&#8217;s Marko Arnautovic is the key man: as the primary outlet for their attacks and a frequent target at set pieces, he remains their most likely first scorer. The visitors also excel at winning corners (24 so far, nearly five per match), often leading to dangerous moments in the box.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This is the first ever competitive meeting between Sturm Graz and Crvena zvezda, adding extra intrigue to tonight&#8217;s encounter as both sides look to make history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Will Crvena zvezda&#8217;s underlying attacking strength and defensive edge prove decisive against a Sturm Graz side still searching for consistency? With the Serbian visitors leading the way in xG, clean sheets, and set-piece threat, our top pick is <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Crvena zvezda Draw No Bet at 5\/4 (44.4%) with Bet365<\/a>. Expect a closely contested affair, but the numbers point to the away side taking at least a point tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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World Cup 2026 analysis: Who should start in goal for La Roja?<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/harry-edwards\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Harry Edwards                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">7 minutes ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/player-comparison-matrix-stats-olise-fernandes-yamal-messi-assists-world-cup-2026\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/04155047\/SQ_Comparison_WC_Assists-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"World Cup 2026 most assists analysis: Crunching the numbers on Messi, Olise, Yamal &amp; Fernandes\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/player-comparison-matrix-stats-olise-fernandes-yamal-messi-assists-world-cup-2026\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">World Cup 2026 most assists analysis: Crunching the numbers on Messi, Olise, Yamal &amp; Fernandes<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/jackkitson\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Jack Kitson                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">20 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/man-utd-transfer-analysis-ederson-midfield\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/03122514\/Ederson03062026_ID3E9HK0N-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Man Utd transfer analysis: Why Ederson will be a good signing for the Red Devils\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/man-utd-transfer-analysis-ederson-midfield\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">Man Utd transfer analysis: Why Ederson will be a good signing for the Red Devils<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/harry-edwards\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Harry Edwards                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">1 day ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t                    <article class=\"sq-card\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/the-goat-debate-rivaldo-vs-ronaldinho-25-05-26\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/05\/08104123\/feature_image-x-2-purple-3-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"The GOAT Debate &#8211; Rivaldo vs Ronaldinho\" \/>                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                                <span class=\"sq-card__label\">Features<\/span>\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/the-goat-debate-rivaldo-vs-ronaldinho-25-05-26\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">The GOAT Debate &#8211; Rivaldo vs Ronaldinho<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">1 day ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nSturm Graz host Crvena zvezda in a crucial European showdown, with both sides seeking to get their campaigns back on track after mixed st&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1417998,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Sturm Graz vs Crvena zvezda, betting tips, European football, predictions, odds, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Sturm Graz vs Crvena zvezda: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Europa League match between Sturm Graz and Crvena zvezda on Thursday 11 December.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1417999","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sturm Graz vs Crvena zvezda: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Europa League match between Sturm Graz and Crvena zvezda on Thursday 11 December.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-sturm-graz-vs-crvena-zvezda-11-12-25-europa-league\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta 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