{"id":1413103,"date":"2025-11-27T09:57:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-27T09:57:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1413103"},"modified":"2025-11-26T15:55:19","modified_gmt":"2025-11-26T15:55:19","slug":"match-preview-freiburg-vs-mainz-30-11-25-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-freiburg-vs-mainz-30-11-25-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"Freiburg vs Mainz: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Freiburg host Mainz at Europa-Park Stadion this weekend, with both sides desperately seeking momentum in the Bundesliga. The hosts sit mid-table, while Mainz are mired in the relegation zone, intensifying the stakes for the Sunday evening clash at 6:30 pm. Recent head-to-heads have been closely contested, suggesting another tight encounter as Freiburg aim to assert their clinical edge against a Mainz side still searching for defensive solidity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Freiburg&#8217;s sharper finishing and Mainz&#8217;s defensive frailties, we see value in backing the home side, with additional opportunities in the goals markets. Here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Freiburg to win, given their higher conversion rate and Mainz&#8217;s lack of clean sheets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Freiburg to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">19\/20 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(51.3%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg outperform xG, Mainz have just 1 win and no clean sheets in 11.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams To Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/5 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(55.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">BTTS landed in four of last five H2Hs, both defences allow plenty of chances.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"6861d5ef566e672f1bd7f5ae\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"682be3423d4ff932ec654e07\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Bundesliga\",\"country\":\"Germany\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-22T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-16T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8335\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8334\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8333\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8332\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8331\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8283\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8336\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8337\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8338\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e8339\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"6a0bc5323d5cc5c5b044881c\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"datetime\":\"2025-11-30T18:30:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Freiburg vs Mainz 05\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db6d4e93e306d7f468c02\",\"name\":\"Freiburg\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/sc-freiburg-ii.png\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":2,\"full_time\":4,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":4}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db6ede93e306d7f46abeb\",\"name\":\"Mainz 05\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/fsg-mainz-05-budenheim.png\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":0,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":0}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8283\",\"group_name\":null,\"group_id\":null,\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"match_time\":{\"running_match_min\":97,\"clamped_match_min\":null,\"human_match_time\":\"FT\",\"period\":\"full_time\",\"period_id\":14,\"stoppage_minutes\":null,\"is_halftime\":false,\"is_extratime\":false,\"is_extratime_halftime\":false,\"is_penalties\":false,\"is_finished\":true},\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"venue\":\"Europa-Park Stadion\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Both Teams To Score\",\"name\":\"Both Teams To Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Player Shots On Target\",\"name\":\"Player Shots On Target\"},{\"_id\":\"Player To Be Carded\",\"name\":\"Player To Be Carded\"}],\"active_market\":\"\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our approach: Start with Freiburg to win, add Both Teams To Score \u2013 Yes for accumulator potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\/26 season to date: Freiburg have shown mid-table consistency, while Mainz 05 are struggling near the foot of the Bundesliga. Both teams have played 11 games so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 05<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Freiburg&#8217;s attack has shared the goals, with clinical finishing a theme: the side have scored 15 from 11.44 expected goals \u2013 a sharp conversion rate. Lucas H\u00f6ler and Maximilian Philipp carry the greatest threat up front. For Mainz 05, William B\u00f8ving and Ben Bobzien will be relied on for a breakthrough, but Mainz have struggled to convert chances (11 goals from 12.21 xG) and have missed every big chance notched so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This fixture has been evenly matched over recent seasons, with draws a common outcome (6 in the last 17). Here are the most recent meetings:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg 2-2 Mainz 05<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">03\/11\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 05 0-0 Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/04\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mainz 05 1-1 Freiburg<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">03\/12\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg 0-1 Mainz 05<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/03\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Freiburg 1-1 Mainz 05<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Freiburg&#8217;s sharper finishing and Mainz&#8217;s defensive issues, the hosts look well placed to take all three points. However, given the head-to-head trend of draws and both teams&#8217; tendency to concede, this could be a nervy, goal-filled affair. Will Freiburg&#8217;s attack break through, or can Mainz 05 finally turn their luck? Our top pick: <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Freiburg to win at 19\/20 (51.3%) with Bet365<\/a> looks the best value for punters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-articles-list\">\n                <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n                                           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class=\"sq-card__label\">23 hours ago<\/time>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/article>\n                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nFreiburg host Mainz 05 at Europa-Park Stadion this weekend, with both sides desperately seeking momentum in the Bundesliga. The hosts sit&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2529,"featured_media":1413102,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Freiburg vs Mainz 05, Bundesliga betting, football predictions, best odds, head-to-head, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Freiburg vs Mainz 05: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Mainz on Sunday 30 November.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1413103","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Freiburg vs Mainz 05: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Mainz on Sunday 30 November.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-freiburg-vs-mainz-30-11-25-bundesliga\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Freiburg vs Mainz: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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