{"id":1413055,"date":"2025-11-27T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-27T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1413055"},"modified":"2025-11-26T14:37:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-26T14:37:08","slug":"match-preview-atalanta-vs-fiorentina-30-11-25-serie-a","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-atalanta-vs-fiorentina-30-11-25-serie-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Atalanta vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atalanta welcome Fiorentina to the Gewiss Stadium in a match that pits two sides with contrasting fortunes so far this season. The hosts are seeking to break out of a sequence of draws and turn creative dominance into points, while Fiorentina arrive still searching for their first league win, having struggled at both ends of the pitch. Kick-off is set for Sunday at 5:00pm, with both teams needing a result to kickstart their campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent form and underlying numbers, here are our top betting recommendations for this fixture. We&#8217;re especially confident in Atalanta to win, given their superior creativity and Fiorentina&#8217;s defensive frailties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Atalanta to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo&amp;bs=184174424-2027196380~3\/4~10&amp;bet=1\">3\/4 @ bet365<\/a><br>(57.1%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina winless in 12 (0 wins), Atalanta&#8217;s creativity edge.<\/td>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo&amp;bs=184174424-2027196387~10\/11~10&amp;bet=1\">10\/11 @ bet365<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both teams underperforming xG, but H2H history shows goals.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Gianluca Scamacca Anytime Scorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo&amp;bs=184174424-64~2052324174~6\/5~10&amp;bet=1\">6\/5 @ bet365<\/a><br>(45.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina&#8217;s defence leaks 1.58 goals per game; Scamacca is Atalanta&#8217;s spearhead.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our approach: Start with Atalanta to win, add BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals for accumulator value.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"6846267eaf13258b0a6697bf\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"683912632febbf834daf0393\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Serie A\",\"country\":\"Italy\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-23T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-24T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e8342\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e833f\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e833e\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e833d\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":null,\"stage_name\":\"Relegation Decider\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e833c\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfa81ff06d75c1e833b\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8284\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e8340\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e8341\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bfb81ff06d75c1e8343\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"6a16519cdd2a4896f26ee002\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"datetime\":\"2025-11-30T17:00:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Atalanta vs Fiorentina\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db6b9e93e306d7f4669f2\",\"name\":\"Atalanta\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/atalanta.png\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":2}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db6b4e93e306d7f4663a5\",\"name\":\"Fiorentina\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/ac-fiorentina.png\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":0,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":0}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac681ff06d75c1e8284\",\"group_name\":null,\"group_id\":null,\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"match_time\":{\"running_match_min\":95,\"clamped_match_min\":null,\"human_match_time\":\"FT\",\"period\":\"full_time\",\"period_id\":14,\"stoppage_minutes\":null,\"is_halftime\":false,\"is_extratime\":false,\"is_extratime_halftime\":false,\"is_penalties\":false,\"is_finished\":true},\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"venue\":\"Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Player Shots On Target\",\"name\":\"Player Shots On Target\"},{\"_id\":\"Player To Be Carded\",\"name\":\"Player To Be Carded\"}],\"active_market\":\"\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\/26 season to date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atalanta<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atalanta have drawn more than half their matches and sit mid-table, but their underlying numbers suggest better results could be ahead. Fiorentina, meanwhile, are still searching for a first win and their defensive record is a major concern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Gianluca Scamacca<\/strong> (Atalanta): As the main striker, Scamacca is likely to see chances given Atalanta&#8217;s league-best 130 key passes (10.8 per game) and 18 big chances created (1.5 per game). He is priced at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo&amp;bs=184174424-64~2052324174~6\/5~10&amp;bet=1\">6\/5<\/a> (45.5%) to score anytime.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ademola Lookman<\/strong> (Atalanta): Brings pace and directness to Atalanta\u2019s attack, benefiting from the team&#8217;s high possession and creativity.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Albert Gudmundsson<\/strong> (Fiorentina): Likely to be Fiorentina\u2019s main threat in attack, but will need to take limited chances efficiently\u2014Fiorentina average just 0.83 goals per game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Notably, neither side has a player among the league\u2019s top three for goals or assists, highlighting a collective approach or lack of a standout talisman so far this campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This fixture has been fiercely contested, with both teams winning six of the last 17 meetings and five ending in draws. Recent encounters have been high-scoring and closely fought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-7-meetings\">Last 7 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/09\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">02\/06\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17\/09\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 3-2 Atalanta<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17\/04\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">02\/10\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atalanta 1-0 Fiorentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20\/02\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Atalanta dominating creativity stats but still seeking clinical finishing, and Fiorentina desperate to end a winless run, there\u2019s plenty at stake in Bergamo. Will Atalanta\u2019s high volume of chances finally pay off, or can Fiorentina\u2019s attack spring a surprise despite their defensive woes? Our pick is to side with Atalanta at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo&amp;bs=184174424-2027196380~3\/4~10&amp;bet=1\">3\/4 with bet365<\/a> (57.1%), combining home advantage with stronger underlying performance metrics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-articles-list\">\n                <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n                                           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class=\"sq-card__label\">23 hours ago<\/time>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/article>\n                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nAtalanta welcome Fiorentina to the Gewiss Stadium in a match that pits two sides with contrasting fortunes so far this season. The hosts&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2529,"featured_media":1413052,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Atalanta vs Fiorentina, Serie A betting tips, odds, predictions, best bets, H2H stats, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Atalanta vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Serie A match between Atalanta and Fiorentina on Sunday 30 November.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1413055","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Atalanta vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Serie A match between Atalanta and Fiorentina on Sunday 30 November.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-atalanta-vs-fiorentina-30-11-25-serie-a\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Atalanta vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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