{"id":1412439,"date":"2025-11-24T14:42:29","date_gmt":"2025-11-24T14:42:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1412439"},"modified":"2025-11-24T14:42:31","modified_gmt":"2025-11-24T14:42:31","slug":"match-preview-swansea-vs-derby-25-11-25-championship","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-swansea-vs-derby-25-11-25-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Swansea vs Derby: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Swansea City welcome Derby County to south Wales on Tuesday in a Championship clash that feels pivotal for both sides&#8217; ambitions this season. With Swansea languishing in the lower reaches and Derby holding a mid-table spot, the stakes are clear: the Swans must convert possession into points, while Derby seek to build on superior finishing form. Find our match preview and best bets below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on Derby&#8217;s cutting edge in front of goal and Swansea&#8217;s possession-heavy but conversion-light style, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in <strong>Both Teams to Score<\/strong> due to both sides&#8217; defensive vulnerabilities and head-to-head trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Carlton Morris to Score Anytime<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">2\/1 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(33.3%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby\u2019s top scorer (10 from 16); Swansea have kept just 3 clean sheets.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Draw<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">12\/5 @ SkyBet<\/a><br>(29.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Three draws in last 10 H2Hs; both sides evenly matched defensively.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Our approach: Start with <strong>Both Teams to Score<\/strong>, add <strong>Carlton Morris to Score<\/strong> for accumulator potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"6861d5c7566e672f1bd7b08b\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"68351cd42febbf834d2fa170\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Championship\",\"country\":\"England\",\"created_at\":\"2025-06-02T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-23T00:00:00+00:00\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-08T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2026-05-29T23:55:30+00:00\",\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e822e\",\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Final\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e822f\",\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e8230\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"created_at\":\"2025-06-30T00:09:43+00:00\",\"datetime\":\"2025-11-25T19:45:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Swansea City vs Derby County\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db680e93e306d7f462079\",\"name\":\"Swansea City\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":1,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":1}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db6aae93e306d7f465770\",\"name\":\"Derby County\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":2}}],\"selections\":[{\"channel_id\":1696,\"channel_name\":\"Sky Sports+\",\"channel_shortname\":\"Sky Sports+\",\"channel_url\":null,\"channel_slug\":\"sky-sports-2\",\"channel_coverage\":\"national\",\"is_streaming\":true,\"sprite_class\":\"icons-channels-sky_sports_uk\",\"channel_logo_url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/feed-orch-prd.s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com\\\/channel-logos\\\/sky-sports.svg\"}],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2025-12-02T23:55:30+00:00\",\"venue\":\"Swansea.com Stadium\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"First Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"First Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Both Teams To Score\",\"name\":\"Both Teams To Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"}],\"active_market\":\"\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>2025\/26 season to date: Swansea have struggled to turn possession into points, sitting 20th with 17 points from 16 games. Derby, with sharper finishing and a stronger attack, hold 12th with 23 points. Both sides have conceded 22, but Derby score more and lose less often.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Swansea City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Carlton Morris (Derby)<\/strong>: 10 goals in 16, 8 big chances scored, 62 penalty box touches, 12 key pass assists \u2013 a constant threat and Derby&#8217;s main source of goals.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Jacob Zetterstr\u00f6m (Derby)<\/strong>: 54 saves this season, 3 clean sheets, and a key distributor with 384 forward passes and 139 accurate long balls.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ronald Pereira Martins (Swansea)<\/strong>: Leads Swansea&#8217;s line, but the Swans need more from their attackers to complement their high shot volume (176 shots, only 15 goals).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Jay Fulton (Swansea)<\/strong>: Central to Swansea\u2019s ball retention and 81.9% pass accuracy, but must help turn possession into clear chances.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The last 10 meetings between Swansea and Derby have been remarkably balanced, with 4 wins for Swansea, 3 for Derby, and 3 draws. Goals are usually shared \u2013 both teams have scored 11 times across those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-10-meetings\">Last 10 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/04\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Swansea City 1-0 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">27\/11\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 1-2 Swansea City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/04\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Swansea City 2-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">02\/10\/21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 0-0 Swansea City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">01\/05\/21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Swansea City 2-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16\/12\/20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 2-0 Swansea City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">08\/02\/20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Swansea City 2-3 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10\/08\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 0-0 Swansea City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">01\/05\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Swansea City 1-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">01\/12\/18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 2-1 Swansea City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion-will-derby-s-firepower-prevail\">Conclusion: Will Derby&#8217;s Firepower Prevail?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With Derby boasting the league&#8217;s more efficient attack and the division\u2019s top scorer in Carlton Morris, the Rams look better placed to capitalise on Swansea\u2019s defensive vulnerabilities. The Swans&#8217; midfield control and home advantage give them hope, but unless they can convert dominance into goals, Derby have the edge. Our top selection remains <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Both Teams to Score at 15\/8 (34.8%) with Bet365<\/a> \u2013 the stats and recent meetings all point to an open contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-articles-list\">\n                <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n                                           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height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/05105139\/predictions_article-16x9-79-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"\" \/>                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"sq-card__content\">\n                        <div class=\"sq-card__meta\">\n                            <span class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/world-cup-2026-group-e-table-fixtures-and-results\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">\n                                    World Cup 2026 Group E table, fixtures and results                                <\/h2>\n                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\" class=\"sq-card__link\">\n                                    Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                                        <time class=\"sq-card__label\">7 hours ago<\/time>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/article>\n                                            <article class=\"sq-card\">\n                                            <div class=\"sq-card__thumbnail\">\n                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/world-cup-2026-group-d-table-fixtures-and-results\/\" class=\"sq-thumbnail\">\n                                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/05102537\/predictions_article-16x9-78-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"\" \/>                            <\/a>\n       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     <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nSwansea City welcome Derby County to the Swansea.com Stadium in a Championship clash that feels pivotal for both sides&#8217; ambitions this se&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2529,"featured_media":1412438,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Swansea City vs Derby County, Championship, betting offers, predictions, stats, odds, tips","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Swansea City vs Derby County: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Championship match between Swansea and Derby on Tuesday 25 November.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1412439","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with 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