{"id":1411566,"date":"2025-11-19T16:44:01","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T16:44:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1411566"},"modified":"2025-11-19T16:44:03","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T16:44:03","slug":"match-preview-derby-vs-watford-22-11-25-championship","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-derby-vs-watford-22-11-25-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Derby vs Watford: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Watford travel to Pride Park to face Derby County in a clash that pits recent head-to-head dominance against home momentum. Saturday&#8217;s encounter (kick-off 15:00) sees Derby aiming to end a four-match losing streak against the Hornets, whose attacking quality has often been let down by poor finishing. Find our match preview and best bets below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on recent trends and underlying metrics, here are our top betting recommendations for Derby County vs Watford. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Derby&#8217;s in-form attack ending their poor head-to-head run, while player markets also offer value given the strong individual form on both sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Derby County to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">6\/4 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(40.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby have scored 20 in 15 and now face a Watford side with just one clean sheet all season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both teams combine for 39 goals in 15 games, but have just 4 clean sheets between them.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Carlton Morris Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">12\/5 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(29.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Morris has netted 10 in 15 for Derby, averaging almost a goal every 130 minutes.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Our approach: Start with Derby to win, add BTTS for accumulator potential, and Morris as a value player pick.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"6861d5c7566e672f1bd7b18b\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"68351cd42febbf834d2fa170\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Championship\",\"country\":\"England\",\"created_at\":\"2025-06-02T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-23T00:00:00+00:00\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-08T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2026-05-29T23:55:30+00:00\",\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e822e\",\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Final\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e822f\",\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e8230\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"created_at\":\"2025-06-30T00:09:43+00:00\",\"datetime\":\"2025-11-22T15:00:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Derby County vs Watford\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db6aae93e306d7f465770\",\"name\":\"Derby County\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":2,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":2}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db67be93e306d7f461a7d\",\"name\":\"Watford\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":3,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":3}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2025-11-29T23:55:30+00:00\",\"venue\":\"Pride Park Stadium\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Player Shots On Target\",\"name\":\"Player Shots On Target\"},{\"_id\":\"Player To Be Carded\",\"name\":\"Player To Be Carded\"}],\"active_market\":\"\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2025\/26 season to date:<\/strong> Derby County have climbed to 10th in the table with 23 points from 15 games (W6 D5 L4, GD +1), showing steady improvement from last season. Watford sit five places lower in 15th, with 20 points and an identical goal difference, but fewer wins and a slightly less consistent run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Watford<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Carlton Morris<\/strong> (Derby): 10 goals in 15 games; 13 shots on target \u2013 direct, clinical and central to Derby\u2019s attack.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Imran Louza<\/strong> (Watford): 6 goals, 3 assists and 30 big chance assists, making him Watford\u2019s most influential midfielder.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Patrick Agyemang<\/strong> (Derby): 3 assists from attacking midfield, often the supply line for Morris.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Luca Kjerrumgaard<\/strong> (Watford): 4 goals and 12 shots on target in limited minutes \u2013 a lively threat up front.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/safergamblinguk.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1410064 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-1024x341.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"341\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-1024x341.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-300x100.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-768x256.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-1536x512.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-2048x683.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-400x133.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-600x200.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-180x60.jpg 180w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-150x50.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-40x13.jpg 40w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>Safer Gambling Week 2025 takes place from 17 \u2013 23rd November 2025 and is a cross-industry initiative to promote safer gambling in the UK. Its aim is to create conversations with customers, staff and the wider public about safer gambling while driving awareness of...\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>How to gamble more safely<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong> Tools available to help people gamble safely all year round<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Sources of more advice and support<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><strong>For more details, <a href=\"https:\/\/safergamblinguk.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">follow this link<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Watford have dominated recent meetings with Derby County, winning the last four clashes \u2013 including two at Pride Park \u2013 and conceding just twice in those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-4-meetings\">Last 4 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/01\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 0-2 Watford<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24\/08\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Watford 2-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/02\/21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Watford 2-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16\/10\/20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 0-1 Watford<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Will Derby County finally break their Watford hoodoo at Pride Park, or can the Hornets&#8217; superior underlying numbers finally translate into points? With both sides showing attacking promise but defensive leaks, the value leans towards goals and Derby breaking through. Back Derby to win at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">6\/4 @ Betfair<\/a> (40.0%) for the best blend of form, motivation and value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-articles-list\">\n                <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n                                           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class=\"sq-card__label\">News<\/span>\n                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup\/world-cup-2026-group-h-table-fixtures-and-results\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">\n                                    World Cup 2026 Group H table, fixtures and results                                <\/h2>\n                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\" class=\"sq-card__link\">\n                                    Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                                        <time class=\"sq-card__label\">7 hours ago<\/time>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/article>\n                                    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      <\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nWatford travel to Pride Park to face Derby County in a clash that pits recent head-to-head dominance against home momentum. Saturday&#8217;s en&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2529,"featured_media":1411565,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Derby County vs Watford, Championship predictions, betting tips, stats, odds, Carlton Morris goalscorer, best bookmaker offers, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Derby County vs Watford: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Championship match between Derby and Watford on Saturday 22 November.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1411566","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Derby County vs Watford: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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