{"id":1411372,"date":"2025-11-21T09:37:01","date_gmt":"2025-11-21T09:37:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1411372"},"modified":"2025-11-21T09:37:02","modified_gmt":"2025-11-21T09:37:02","slug":"match-preview-leeds-vs-aston-villa-23-11-25-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-leeds-vs-aston-villa-23-11-25-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Leeds United vs Aston Villa: predictions, stats, tips, betting offers & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Elland Road sets the stage for a pivotal encounter as Leeds United host Aston Villa on Sunday, 23 November. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Villa arrive with top-six ambitions, Leeds are desperate to halt a worrying slide after a string of defensive mishaps. This fixture has produced drama and goals in recent years, and with both sides seeking momentum, the stakes could not be higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on defensive trends, attacking efficiency, and recent form, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in Aston Villa to claim all three points, thanks to a more cohesive midfield, superior defensive record, and Leeds’ struggles converting their chances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Aston Villa to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n27\/20 @ SBK<\/a>
(42.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nA statistical analysis suggests a difficult match for Leeds United against Aston Villa. Villa currently sits 10 places above Leeds in the Premier League table, in 6th position compared to Leeds’ 16th.\nRecent form heavily favours Aston Villa. They have won four of their last six league matches, including a decisive 4-0 victory over Bournemouth in their most recent game. In contrast, Leeds have lost their last two Premier League fixtures, a 3-1 away loss to Nottingham Forest and a 3-0 defeat to Brighton.\nHistorically, the fixture has been closely contested, but Villa holds the edge. In 31 matches since 1995, Villa has won 12, Leeds 8, with 11 draws. Villa also has a slightly better goals-per-game average in these encounters.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Buendia To Score Or Assist<\/strong><\/td>\n2\/1 @ SBK<\/a>
(33.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBuend\u00eda is in impressive form this season, with a direct goal involvement (goals and assists combined) of 5 in 9 Premier League appearances. This translates to a goal involvement of 1.05 per 90 minutes, placing him in the top 99th percentile of all Premier League players. His non-penalty expected goals (npxG) figure of 0.57 per 90 minutes further underscores his consistent attacking threat.\nThis attacking prowess is set against a Leeds United defence that has shown considerable vulnerability. They have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six Premier League matches. Overall this season, Leeds have conceded 20 goals in 11 games, a stark contrast to their 10 goals scored.\nFurthermore, Buend\u00eda has a history of creating chances. His key strengths are listed as providing through balls and key passes. Considering Leeds’ recent defensive struggles, it is highly probable that a player of Buend\u00eda’s creative and finishing ability will be able to exploit these weaknesses and add to his goal and assist tally for the season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Leeds United vs Aston Villa match odds<\/h2>\n\n\n