{"id":1411343,"date":"2025-11-19T11:18:13","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T11:18:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1411343"},"modified":"2025-11-19T11:18:14","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T11:18:14","slug":"match-preview-st-pauli-vs-union-berlin-23-11-25-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-st-pauli-vs-union-berlin-23-11-25-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"St. Pauli vs Union Berlin: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>St. Pauli welcome Union Berlin to the Millerntor-Stadion this weekend, with both sides desperate to turn their seasons around after inconsistent starts. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fixture, set for a crucial afternoon kick-off, sees two teams hovering in the lower half of the table, where every point is precious. With each side claiming a win in their last two meetings, this matchup promises to be finely balanced and could prove pivotal for both managers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the latest stats and trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We&#8217;re giving the edge to Union Berlin in the main market, thanks to their comparatively sharper attack so far this season, but there are strong cases elsewhere too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Union Berlin to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">21\/10 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(32.3%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Union have scored more and beaten St. Pauli already this season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score \u2013 No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">19\/20 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(51.3%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St. Pauli struggling for goals, Union defensively tighter in key spots.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1381273\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1381470\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#01644a\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29162841\/bet365.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Bet365 Logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use Bonus Code SQUAWKA365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use Bonus Code SQUAWKA365<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Claim Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365-review\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <ul class=\"sq-toplist__features\">\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Bet \u00a310 get \u00a330<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Excellent Football Betting Options<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Extensive Bet-Builder<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker<\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n                <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet \u00a310 and get \u00a330 in Free Bets. 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Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. GambleAware.org<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams have struggled, but Union Berlin hold the slight edge in the table. St. Pauli have managed just two wins from ten and sit in the relegation zone, while Union Berlin&#8217;s more effective attack has helped them stay five points clear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St. Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Union Berlin<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>St. Pauli have looked to their attackers for inspiration, but have struggled in front of goal, converting just 9 from an xG of 10.37. Their main threat comes from creating big chances, but with 13 missed to just 12 created, that conversion rate is a concern. On the other side, Union Berlin have scored 13 times from an xG of 15.62 \u2013 a better return but still underperforming their expected goals. Both teams have creative players (each with around 7 expected assists), but no standout individual has dominated the scoring charts from either club so far this campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Discipline could also play a role: Union Berlin have been shown 25 yellows and a red, which might impact their defensive solidity if cards start to add up. St. Pauli, with 20 yellows and no reds, have been marginally more controlled.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/safergamblinguk.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1410064 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-1024x341.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"341\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-1024x341.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-300x100.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-768x256.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-1536x512.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-2048x683.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-400x133.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-600x200.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-180x60.jpg 180w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-150x50.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/10111929\/Twitter-Header-1-40x13.jpg 40w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>Safer Gambling Week 2025 takes place from 17 \u2013 23rd November 2025 and is a cross-industry initiative to promote safer gambling in the UK. Its aim is to create conversations with customers, staff and the wider public about safer gambling while driving awareness of...\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>How to gamble more safely<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong> Tools available to help people gamble safely all year round<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Sources of more advice and support<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><strong>For more details, <a href=\"https:\/\/safergamblinguk.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">follow this link<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head \u2013 Last 2 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The last two matchups were split, with each team winning at home. This recent history underlines just how closely matched these sides have been.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/01\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">St. Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30\/08\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Union Berlin 1-0 St. Pauli<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bundesliga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Will Union Berlin&#8217;s more effective attack be enough to overcome St. Pauli&#8217;s possession-based approach, or will the hosts&#8217; home advantage see them through? Given Union&#8217;s greater goal tally and their win in the reverse fixture, the value appears to side with the visitors at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">21\/10 @ Bet365<\/a> (32.3%). Backing Union Berlin could be the smart choice for punters seeking an edge in a tight encounter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nSt. Pauli welcome Union Berlin to the Millerntor-Stadion this weekend, with both sides desperate to turn their seasons around after incon&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1411340,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"St. Pauli vs Union Berlin, Bundesliga predictions, betting tips, stats, best odds, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"St. Pauli vs Union Berlin: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Bundesliga match between St Pauli and Union Berlin on Sunday 23 November.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1411343","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>St. Pauli vs Union Berlin: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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