{"id":1409495,"date":"2025-11-07T12:24:53","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T12:24:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1409495"},"modified":"2025-11-07T12:24:54","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T12:24:54","slug":"match-preview-rayo-vallecano-vs-real-madrid-09-11-25-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-rayo-vallecano-vs-real-madrid-09-11-25-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rayo Vallecano welcome league leaders Real Madrid to the Estadio de Vallecas in what promises to be a compelling Madrid derby this Sunday afternoon. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The hosts are aiming to upset the odds against a Real side that have set the pace at the top of LaLiga, with Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 in sensational form. With kick-off set for 15:15, both teams arrive with contrasting ambitions: Rayo pushing to climb from mid-table, while Real look to extend their commanding lead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Real Madrid&#8217;s prolific attack, clinical finishing, and Rayo&#8217;s tendency to concede, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We\u2019re particularly confident in Real Madrid to win, given their superior xG, clinical forwards, and strong away record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Real Madrid to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/13 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(61.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Backing because Real win 91% of matches this season; Rayo have lost 5\/11.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 to Score Anytime<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/6 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(54.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Value here due to Mbapp\u00e9\u2019s 13 goals in 11 games, huge xG overperformance.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. 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Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, sit 10th, having won 4 of 11, with a negative goal difference and patchy form.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 (Real Madrid):<\/strong> 13 goals in 11 games, converting chances at a rate well above his xG. Shot accuracy at 43%, pass accuracy close to 90%. A constant threat, both finishing and creating big chances (30 big chance assists).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Vin\u00edcius J\u00fanior (Real Madrid):<\/strong> 5 goals this season, with a shot accuracy of 52.6%, showing he is one of the most reliable finishers in LaLiga. Also contributes significant attacking threat with 26 big chance assists.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Jorge de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano):<\/strong> Their top scorer with 4 goals, outperforming his xG of 1.58. Key to any hopes of an upset.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head: Last 10 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Real Madrid have enjoyed the upper hand in recent encounters, winning five of the last ten meetings, though three have ended all square and Rayo have snatched two victories. Most recent matches have been competitive, with both teams scoring in seven of the last ten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">09\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/02\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/11\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24\/05\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">07\/11\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/02\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">06\/11\/21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28\/04\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/12\/18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 1-0 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Can Rayo Vallecano disrupt the league leaders, or will Real Madrid\u2019s attacking stars prove too much once again? With Mbapp\u00e9\u2019s form, Real\u2019s clinical edge in front of goal, and a dominant head-to-head record, all signs point to another away win. For punters, <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/13 with Bet365<\/a> (61.9% implied probability) on Real Madrid to win looks the standout selection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nRayo Vallecano welcome league leaders Real Madrid to the Estadio de Vallecas in what promises to be a compelling Madrid derby this Sunday&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1409493,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid, LaLiga predictions, betting tips, odds, Kylian Mbapp\u00e9, football betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid on Sunday 9 November.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1409495","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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