{"id":1404154,"date":"2025-10-14T11:06:40","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T10:06:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1404154"},"modified":"2025-10-14T15:50:34","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T14:50:34","slug":"match-preview-atletico-madrid-vs-osasuna-18-10-25-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-atletico-madrid-vs-osasuna-18-10-25-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Atl\u00e9tico Madrid vs Osasuna: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Atl\u00e9tico Madrid host Osasuna at the Metropolitano in a fixture that has traditionally favoured the hosts. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With kick-off set for this weekend, Atl\u00e9tico&#8217;s attacking verve, led by a red-hot Juli\u00e1n \u00c1lvarez, faces an Osasuna side struggling to convert chances. The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Atl\u00e9tico&#8217;s favour, but Osasuna have upset the odds before\u2014can they do it again?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on both current form and head-to-head trends, our top betting recommendations point strongly towards Atl\u00e9tico Madrid, especially given their clinical finishing and dominance in previous meetings. We&#8217;re particularly confident in an Atl\u00e9tico win, but there are value options in the goalscorer and goals markets too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Atl\u00e9tico Madrid to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">21\/20 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(48.7%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11 wins from last 13 H2Hs. Osasuna struggling in attack.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Juli\u00e1n \u00c1lvarez Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">21\/20 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(48.7%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00c1lvarez has 6 goals in 8, massively outperforming xG.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1381273\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1381470\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#01644a\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29162841\/bet365.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Bet365 Logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use code SQUAWKA365 and bet \u00a310 to get \u00a330 in free bets<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use code SQUAWKA365 and bet \u00a310 to get \u00a330 in free bets<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Claim Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365-review\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <ul class=\"sq-toplist__features\">\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Bet \u00a310 get \u00a330<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Excellent Football Betting Options<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Extensive Bet-Builder<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker<\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n                <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet \u00a310 and get \u00a330 in Free Bets. 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Place a \u00a310 qualifying bet on any market. Odds of 1\/1 or greater. 1 x \u00a35 bet token. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets are non-withdrawable. 30 day free bet expiry. Eligibility restrictions. Further T&amp;Cs apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atl\u00e9tico Madrid sit 5th after eight rounds, with Osasuna in mid-table. Atl\u00e9tico have scored 15 in 8 (1.88 per game), while Osasuna have netted just 7 (0.88 per game) and conceded a similar number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atl\u00e9tico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Osasuna<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Juli\u00e1n \u00c1lvarez (Atl\u00e9tico Madrid):<\/strong> 6 goals in 8, 50% shot accuracy, averaging over 2 shots per game. Finishing far above his xG (2.32) indicates a purple patch up front.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Antoine Griezmann (Atl\u00e9tico Madrid):<\/strong> Regular attacking threat and creative hub, with a proven record in this fixture.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Victor Munoz (Osasuna):<\/strong> Key attacking outlet; expect him to test Atl\u00e9tico&#8217;s backline, though end product remains a concern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ante Budimir (Osasuna):<\/strong> Experienced finisher, but Osasuna&#8217;s low conversion rate limits his upside for goals markets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Last 5 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atl\u00e9tico have dominated this fixture, winning 11 of the last 13, though Osasuna did spring a shock away win last season. Most recent encounters have seen few draws and a clear edge to the hosts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/05\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Osasuna 2-0 Atl\u00e9tico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12\/01\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19\/05\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 1-4 Osasuna<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28\/09\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Osasuna 0-2 Atl\u00e9tico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/05\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 3-0 Osasuna<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">LaLiga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given their superior head-to-head record and attacking firepower, Atl\u00e9tico Madrid look primed to continue their dominance, but Osasuna&#8217;s ability to spring a surprise\u2014evidenced by their 2-0 win last time out\u2014cannot be ignored. Will Atl\u00e9tico make their possession and finishing quality count, or can Osasuna finally translate their xG into goals? Our final call: back Atl\u00e9tico at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">21\/20 with Bet365<\/a> (48.7%) to claim all three points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-articles-list\">\n                <div class=\"sq-cards\">\n                                           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             <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/besiktas-vs-midtjylland-predictions-betting-tips\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">\n                                    Besiktas vs Midtjylland: predictions, best bets and latest odds                                <\/h2>\n                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\" class=\"sq-card__link\">\n                                    Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                                        <time class=\"sq-card__label\">1 day ago<\/time>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/article>\n                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nAtl\u00e9tico Madrid host Osasuna at the Metropolitano in a fixture that has traditionally favoured the hosts. 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