{"id":1401564,"date":"2025-09-26T17:11:51","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T16:11:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1401564"},"modified":"2025-09-26T17:11:52","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T16:11:52","slug":"match-preview-atletico-madrid-vs-real-madrid-27-09-25-championship","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-atletico-madrid-vs-real-madrid-27-09-25-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>The Madrid derby returns to the Metropolitano on Saturday afternoon, with both sides approaching this clash from starkly different positions. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Real Madrid arrive as league leaders, boasting a flawless start, while Atletico find themselves in mid-table and searching for momentum. With the city\u2019s bragging rights and valuable points at stake, this is a fixture that rarely disappoints for drama or intensity. 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We\u2019re especially confident in Real Madrid to win, fuelled by their attacking efficiency and perfect 100% league record so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Real Madrid to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">27\/20 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(42.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Six wins from six, top attack and defence. Momentum all with Real.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 to Score Anytime<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Best price @ SkyBet<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Seven goals in six, xG overperformance. Atletico&#8217;s defence less airtight this term.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Our approach: Start with Real Madrid to win, add Mbapp\u00e9 anytime scorer for accumulator potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>2025\/26 season to date: Real Madrid have been untouchable, taking six wins from six and topping the table with a +11 goal difference. Atletico, in contrast, have managed just two wins in six and sit 9th, struggling to find consistency at both ends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>Pos<\/th>\n<th>P<\/th>\n<th>W<\/th>\n<th>D<\/th>\n<th>L<\/th>\n<th>GF<\/th>\n<th>GA<\/th>\n<th>GD<\/th>\n<th>Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>6<\/td>\n<td>6<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>14<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>+11<\/td>\n<td>18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Atletico Madrid<\/td>\n<td>8<\/td>\n<td>6<\/td>\n<td>2<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>9<\/td>\n<td>7<\/td>\n<td>+2<\/td>\n<td>9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 (Real Madrid)<\/strong> \u2013 7 goals in 6 games (1.17 per match), 12 shots on target, 54 touches in the opposition box. Clinical finishing, high xG overperformance, and 18 key passes show his all-round threat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Vinicius Jr (Real Madrid)<\/strong> \u2013 3 assists and 13 big chance assists, with 84.97% pass accuracy. Pivotal in stretching defences and creating high-quality chances.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)<\/strong> \u2013 3 assists, 91.62% pass accuracy, 8 big chance involvements. Orchestrates Madrid\u2019s attacks with accurate, progressive passing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Julian Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)<\/strong> \u2013 Though yet to hit peak form, remains Atletico\u2019s chief creator and will carry much of their attacking burden here.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The last five derbies have been fiercely contested, with three draws and one win apiece, underlining the fixture\u2019s unpredictability even when one side is in better form.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atletico Madrid 1-0 Real Madrid (2-4 pens)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Champions League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">04\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Champions League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">08\/02\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29\/09\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">04\/02\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Will Real Madrid Extend Their Perfect Run?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With Real Madrid firing on all cylinders and Atletico still searching for consistency, the visitors look well placed to claim another derby win. Backing <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Real Madrid at 27\/20 with Bet365<\/a> (42.6% implied probability) looks a value shout, especially given their attacking edge and defensive resilience. Can Atletico disrupt the pattern, or will Los Blancos\u2019 star power prove decisive again?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Preview<br \/>\nThe Madrid derby returns to the Metropolitano on Sunday night, with both sides approaching this clash from star&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1401563,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid, Madrid derby, La Liga predictions, football stats, betting tips, bookmaker offers, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid on Saturday 27th September.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1401564","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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