{"id":1400735,"date":"2025-09-25T14:31:46","date_gmt":"2025-09-25T13:31:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1400735"},"modified":"2025-09-25T14:34:59","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T13:34:59","slug":"match-preview-manchester-city-vs-burnley-27-09-25-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-manchester-city-vs-burnley-27-09-25-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Manchester City vs Burnley: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Manchester City welcome Burnley to the Etihad Stadium in a fixture that has become synonymous with one-sided dominance. The 3:00 PM kick-off sees Pep Guardiola&#8217;s side aiming to reassert their authority after a patchy start to their campaign, while Burnley arrive desperate to defy history and snatch a result against a team they have performed poorly against. With City winning 15 of their last 16 encounters and a gulf in both form and squad strength, the narrative is set for another stern test of Burnley\u2019s resolve.<\/p>\n<h2>Our predictions for Manchester City vs Burnley<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Manchester City to Win to Nil<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/casumo?q=gb-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\">4\/5\u00a0 with Casumo<\/a><br \/>(55.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">City have won 15 of the last 16 vs Burnley. Eight of the previous nine have seen City win without the Clarets getting on the scoresheet. Over the last nine matches, there has been an aggregate score of 31-1 in City&#8217;s favour.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Tijani Reijnders Anytime Assist<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/casumo?q=gb-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\">7\/2 with Casumo<\/a><br \/>(22.2%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tijani Reijnders set up Erling Haaland for City&#8217;s opener at The Emirates last weekend. The Dutchman has two assists in the league, and in a game where City could rack up the goals, he looks potentially overpriced in the anytime assist market.\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1381519\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1381585\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/casumo?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Casumo\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#0f104e\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"113\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29231140\/1207192_1207192_casumo-logo-330x124-1-300x113.png\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Casumo Logo\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29231140\/1207192_1207192_casumo-logo-330x124-1-300x113.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29231140\/1207192_1207192_casumo-logo-330x124-1-160x60.png 160w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29231140\/1207192_1207192_casumo-logo-330x124-1-150x56.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29231140\/1207192_1207192_casumo-logo-330x124-1-40x15.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29231140\/1207192_1207192_casumo-logo-330x124-1.png 330w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/casumo?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Casumo\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Casumo<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/casumo?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Casumo\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% back as a Free Bet up to \u00a330<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/casumo?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Casumo\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% back as a Free Bet up to \u00a330<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/casumo?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Casumo\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Claim Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">10<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/casumo-sign-up-offer\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <ul class=\"sq-toplist__features\">\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Enhanced Offers<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">In Play Betting<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Online Casino<\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n                <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>#AD 18+. 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GambleAware.org<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"68589be7566e672f1baa7ac1\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"68366ed42febbf834daccd02\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Premier League\",\"country\":\"England\",\"created_at\":\"2025-06-02T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-24T00:00:00+00:00\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-15T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2026-05-30T23:55:30+00:00\",\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac481ff06d75c1e8253\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"created_at\":\"2025-06-23T00:12:23+00:00\",\"datetime\":\"2025-09-27T14:00:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Manchester City vs Burnley\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db664e93e306d7f45fd41\",\"name\":\"Manchester City\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":5,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":5}},{\"participant_id\":\"665db67ce93e306d7f461bee\",\"name\":\"Burnley\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":1,\"full_time\":1,\"extra_time\":null,\"penalties\":null,\"total\":1}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"updated_at\":\"2025-10-04T23:55:30+00:00\",\"venue\":\"Etihad Stadium\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under 3.5 Cards\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under 3.5 Cards\"},{\"_id\":\"Correct Score\",\"name\":\"Correct Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Player Shots On Target\",\"name\":\"Player Shots On Target\"},{\"_id\":\"Player To Be Carded\",\"name\":\"Player To Be Carded\"}],\"active_market\":\"\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-both-teams-go-into-manchester-city-vs-burnley\">How both teams go into Manchester City vs Burnley<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After letting two points slip in last weekend\u2019s dramatic Premier League clash with Arsenal, Man City bounced back in style on Wednesday, cruising to a 2-0 victory over third-tier Huddersfield Town and booking their spot in the EFL Cup fourth round for the 12th time in 13 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Struggling with just seven points from their opening five league games\u2014their lowest haul at this stage since 2006-07\u2014City are eager to ignite a strong run in the Premier League. Saturday\u2019s meeting with Burnley looks ripe for a statement win, especially given their dominance over newly promoted sides: City have triumphed in 22 of their last 24 Premier League encounters against promoted teams, with the only blip a 2-1 loss to Leeds in April 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Burnley are struggling for form, going four games without a win in all competitions, including three straight Premier League matches. They most recently shared the spoils in a 1-1 home draw with Nottingham Forest and currently sit 16th, just one point above the relegation zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Saturday\u2019s trip to the Etihad is a daunting challenge. The Clarets haven\u2019t won a league match at Man City in 19 attempts\u2014dating back to a 5-2 victory in March 1963\u2014and have dropped each of their last seven Premier League visits to City, conceding 25 goals along the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-manchester-city-team-news\">Manchester City team news<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Erling Haaland is a slight doubt after a minor back issue forced him off against Arsenal, causing him to miss City\u2019s midweek 2-0 win over Huddersfield. Rayan Ait-Nouri, Mathis Cherki, Mateo Kovacic and Omar Marmoush are all out with injuries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-burnley-team-news\">Burnley team news<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Burnley will be without Connor Roberts (knee), Jordan Beyer (thigh), and Zeki Amdouni (knee), while Jacob Bruun Larsen is doubtful and will be assessed ahead of kickoff.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<h2>Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<p>2025\/26 season to date: Both sides have had a mixed start, but City remain far superior on most metrics. City are 9th with 7 points from 5 games (W2 D1 L2), while Burnley sit 16th with just 4 points (W1 D1 L3). City\u2019s goal difference is a healthy +4, compared to Burnley\u2019s -3. For both sides, recent form is a concern, but City\u2019s ceiling is much higher.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Manchester City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Erling Haaland<\/strong> (Man City): 6 goals in 5 games, scoring two-thirds of City\u2019s total. 5 big chances missed, but 5 big chances converted \u2013 expect him in the thick of it again if he starts.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Martin D\u00fabravka<\/strong> (Burnley): 19 saves already this season, the busiest keeper in the league. If Burnley are to have any chance, he will need another inspired display.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bernardo Silva<\/strong> (Man City): As a creative heartbeat, his passing and spatial awareness open up compact defences \u2013 City average 85.56% pass accuracy, and Silva is central to that.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-head<\/h2>\n<p>City\u2019s hold over Burnley is extraordinary: 15 wins and 1 draw in their last 16 meetings, with a goal tally of 53-5 in City\u2019s favour. Burnley\u2019s last win in this fixture is so far back it barely registers in the modern era.<\/p>\n<h3>Last 10 Meetings<\/h3>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31\/01\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Man City 3-1 Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11\/08\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley 0-3 Man City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/03\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Man City 6-0 Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">FA Cup<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">02\/04\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley 0-2 Man City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16\/10\/21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Man City 2-0 Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">03\/02\/21<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley 0-2 Man City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28\/11\/20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Man City 5-0 Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">22\/06\/20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Man City 5-0 Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">03\/12\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley 1-4 Man City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28\/04\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley 0-1 Man City<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Who holds the edge?<\/h2>\n<p>Will Manchester City\u2019s iron grip over Burnley continue, or can the visitors finally find a way to disrupt the script? With City\u2019s attacking power, defensive solidity, and the extraordinary finishing of Haaland, all signs point to another comfortable home win. Those looking for value should consider City to win to nil or to win on the match handicap.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nManchester City welcome Burnley to the Etihad Stadium in a fixture that has become synonymous with one-sided dominance. The 9:00 PM kick-&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2529,"featured_media":1400734,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Manchester City vs Burnley, predictions, betting tips, stats, Premier League, Erling Haaland, bookmaker odds, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Manchester City vs Burnley: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Premier League match between Manchester City and Burnley on Saturday 27th September.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1400735","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Manchester City vs Burnley: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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