{"id":1398385,"date":"2025-09-10T17:29:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-10T16:29:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1398385"},"modified":"2025-09-12T14:30:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-12T13:30:00","slug":"match-preview-southampton-vs-portsmouth-14-09-25-championship","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-southampton-vs-portsmouth-14-09-25-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Southampton vs Portsmouth: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Southampton and Portsmouth reignite their fierce South Coast rivalry at St Mary&#8217;s in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/sky-bet-review\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sky Bet<\/a> Championship clash that already feels pivotal. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With both sides experiencing mixed fortunes in the early part of the season, all eyes are on which club can seize the initiative in this highly anticipated derby. Kick-off is set for Sunday, 12:00 PM, where local pride and precious points are both at stake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on early season trends, defensive records, and the historical edge, here are our top betting recommendations for this derby. We&#8217;re especially confident in Southampton edging the result, but see value in markets involving both teams to score and a tight scoreline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Southampton to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(57.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Local dominance, higher shot accuracy, and home advantage tilt it their way.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/5 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(55.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Saints average 1.5 goals for and against per game, with no clean sheets yet.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Draw<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">29\/10 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(25.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby nerves and Portsmouth&#8217;s defensive record suggest a cagey, close contest.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Correct Score: 1-1<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">13\/2 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(13.3%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Low-scoring trend and tight defences could see this finish level.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our approach: Start with Southampton to win, add BTTS Yes or Draw for accumulator potential.<\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1381273\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1381470\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#01644a\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/04\/29162841\/bet365.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Bet365 Logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use code SQUAWKA365 and bet \u00a310 to get \u00a330 in free bets<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Use code SQUAWKA365 and bet \u00a310 to get \u00a330 in free bets<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"bet365\"data-placement=\"football-ai-pre-game\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Claim Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365-review\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <ul class=\"sq-toplist__features\">\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Bet \u00a310 get \u00a330<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Excellent Football Betting Options<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Extensive Bet-Builder<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker<\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n                <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet \u00a310 and get \u00a330 in Free Bets. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&amp;Cs apply. Registration Required. This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. #Ad.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-market-fixtures\" id=\"markets-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"event\":{\"_id\":\"6861d5cd566e672f1bd7bb4d\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition_season\":{\"_id\":\"68351cd42febbf834d2fa170\",\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"competition\":\"Championship\",\"country\":\"England\",\"season\":\"2025\\\/2026\",\"start_date\":\"2025-08-08T00:00:00+00:00\",\"end_date\":\"2026-05-23T00:00:00+00:00\",\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"stages\":[{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bf481ff06d75c1e82e6\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":null,\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":null,\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Final\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":null,\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - 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Semi-finals\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":null,\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Final\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":null,\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2bf481ff06d75c1e82e7\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e822f\",\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e822e\",\"stage_name\":\"Promotion Play-offs - Final\",\"standings_available\":false},{\"stage_id\":\"6a14fed4dd2a4896f26ed657\",\"stage_name\":\"Regular Season\",\"standings_available\":true}]},\"datetime\":\"2025-09-14T11:00:00+00:00\",\"name\":\"Southampton vs Portsmouth\",\"participants\":[{\"participant_id\":\"665db665e93e306d7f45fe00\",\"name\":\"Southampton\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/southampton-fc.png\",\"side\":\"home\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":0,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":0}},{\"participant_id\":\"66605c52e93e306d7f24aba3\",\"name\":\"Portsmouth\",\"team_badge\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sc-prod.onetwenty.media\\\/storage\\\/team-logos\\\/portsmouth-fc.png\",\"side\":\"away\",\"formation\":null,\"result\":{\"half_time\":0,\"full_time\":0,\"extra_time\":0,\"penalties\":0,\"total\":0}}],\"selections\":[],\"stage\":\"Regular Season\",\"stage_id\":\"698b2ac281ff06d75c1e8230\",\"group_name\":null,\"group_id\":null,\"status\":\"finished\",\"status_detailed\":\"played\",\"match_time\":{\"running_match_min\":102,\"clamped_match_min\":null,\"human_match_time\":\"FT\",\"period\":\"full_time\",\"period_id\":14,\"stoppage_minutes\":null,\"is_halftime\":false,\"is_extratime\":false,\"is_extratime_halftime\":false,\"is_penalties\":false,\"is_finished\":true},\"tags\":[\"routine_fixture\"],\"venue\":\"St. Mary's Stadium\"},\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Match Result\",\"name\":\"Match Result\"},{\"_id\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\",\"name\":\"Anytime Goalscorer\"},{\"_id\":\"Both Teams To Score\",\"name\":\"Both Teams To Score\"},{\"_id\":\"Over\\\/Under\",\"name\":\"Over\\\/Under\"},{\"_id\":\"Player To Be Carded\",\"name\":\"Player To Be Carded\"}],\"active_market\":\"Match Result\",\"show_title\":\"false\",\"limit_markets\":\"\",\"widget_type\":\"markets\"}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\/26 season to date: Both clubs have been unpredictable, but Portsmouth hold a narrow advantage in the table after four games. Southampton&#8217;s defensive frailties have cost them, while Portsmouth&#8217;s new-found discipline at the back has secured valuable points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Portsmouth<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Southampton<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Adam Armstrong (Southampton)<\/strong> \u2013 Key attacking threat, with Southampton averaging 1.5 goals per game; expect him to test Portsmouth&#8217;s back line.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ross Stewart (Southampton)<\/strong> \u2013 Brings physicality up front and could exploit Portsmouth&#8217;s defence, which has so far conceded less than a goal per match.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Olutayo Singerr (Portsmouth)<\/strong> \u2013 Among Portsmouth&#8217;s forward line, his pace and direct running could trouble Saints&#8217; leaky defence (6 goals conceded in 4 games).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Thomas Waddingham (Portsmouth)<\/strong> \u2013 If selected, offers a goal threat for the visitors, who are currently less prolific but more efficient at the back.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These rivals have met just once in official competition in recent years, with Southampton recording a comprehensive 4-0 victory away to Portsmouth back in 2019 in the League Cup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Last Meeting<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24\/09\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Portsmouth 0-4 Southampton<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">League Cup<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Will Southampton&#8217;s attacking intent finally deliver a statement win, or can Portsmouth&#8217;s defensive solidity frustrate their rivals and snatch a result? History and home advantage suggest the Saints have the edge, but Portsmouth&#8217;s form and compactness mean an upset can&#8217;t be ruled out. For punters, <a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11 @ Betfair<\/a> (57.9%) about the home win is the headline pick, but both teams to score at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">4\/5 @ Bet365<\/a> (55.6%) offers real value in a derby where form can go out the window.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nSouthampton and Portsmouth reignite their fierce South Coast rivalry at St Mary&#8217;s in a Championship clash that already feels pivotal. Wit&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1398384,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Southampton vs Portsmouth, Championship betting, derby odds, stats, predictions, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Southampton vs Portsmouth: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Championship match between Southampton and Portsmouth on Sunday 14th September.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1398385","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Southampton vs Portsmouth: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Championship match between Southampton and Portsmouth on Sunday 14th September.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-southampton-vs-portsmouth-14-09-25-championship\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Southampton vs Portsmouth: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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