{"id":1396422,"date":"2025-08-27T16:20:01","date_gmt":"2025-08-27T15:20:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1396422"},"modified":"2025-08-28T09:55:02","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T08:55:02","slug":"match-preview-ipswich-town-vs-derby-county-30-08-25","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-ipswich-town-vs-derby-county-30-08-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Ipswich Town vs Derby County: Stats, Predictions, Tips &#038; Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On recent form, <strong>Ipswich Town<\/strong> look the more controlled side but struggle to convert chances, while <strong>Derby County<\/strong> have firepower in Carlton Morris but leak goals. Market odds point to Ipswich as strong favourites, but Derby&#8217;s attack could surprise. Expect tactical contrast: possession vs direct play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-market-snapshot-amp-implied-probability\">Market Snapshot &amp; Implied Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 1X2 market paints a clear picture. <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Ipswich Town<\/a> are firm favourites with <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">1\/2<\/a> (66.7%), the draw is less likely according to the books at 29\/10, and <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Derby County<\/a> are outsiders at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/1<\/a>(16.7%).\/<\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"1386612\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1386613\"\n    >\n\t\t            <span class=\"sq-toplist__label\">Squawka recommends <\/span>\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/dabble?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Dabble\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#7c44fd\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"50\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/05\/13155709\/1381837_1381837_dabble.png\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Dabble Logo\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/05\/13155709\/1381837_1381837_dabble.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/05\/13155709\/1381837_1381837_dabble-40x13.png 40w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/dabble?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Dabble\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Dabble<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/dabble?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Dabble\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">BET \u00a310, GET \u00a310 IN FREE BETS<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/dabble?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Dabble\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">BET \u00a310, GET \u00a310 IN FREE BETS<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/dabble?q=gb-all-top-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Dabble\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"10\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Claim Here<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">10<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/dabble-sign-up-offer\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <ul class=\"sq-toplist__features\">\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Fantastic Promotions<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">Fun Social Media Content<\/li>\n                            <li class=\"sq-toplist__features-item\">New Bookmaker<\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n                <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>#AD 18+ New customers only. 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Promotional Terms Apply. \u00a018+.\u00a0\u00a0Gambleaware.org<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-8-meetings\">Last 8 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">01\/04\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 0-2 Ipswich Town<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">League One<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/10\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ipswich Town 1-0 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">League One<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13\/02\/19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ipswich Town 1-1 Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21\/08\/18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County 2-0 Ipswich Town<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Championship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the last four meetings, Ipswich have the edge with two wins, Derby have taken one, and there\u2019s been a single draw. Matches have tended to be low-scoring (eight goals in four games, 2.0 per match), with the away side winning twice and only one match ending level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\/26 season to date<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">League Position<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ipswich Town<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby County<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both sides have made slow starts, with Ipswich narrowly ahead in the table. Derby have scored more but conceded almost three per game\u2014defensive woes that make them vulnerable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-team-news-amp-line-ups\">Team News &amp; Line-ups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Ali Al-Hamadi is out due to a calf injury that is expected to keep him sidelined until mid-September at the earliest. Conor Townsend,&nbsp;Harry Clarke&nbsp;and&nbsp;Wes Burns are all a doubt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><br><p>Curtis Nelson,&nbsp;Lars-Jorgen Salvesen,&nbsp;Sondre Langas,&nbsp;Corey Blackett-Taylor&nbsp;and&nbsp;Owen Beck are all suffering with injuries.&nbsp;Kane Wilson has recently stepped up his recovery from a minor knee operation, although it remains to be seen whether he will be ready for Saturday&#8217;s fixture.<\/p><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ipswich could continue with a possession-heavy 4-2-3-1, while Derby are likely to start with Carlton Morris leading the line in a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Carlton Morris (Derby County)<\/strong>: 3 goals in 3 matches (1.0 per game), 2 big chances converted, 25 duels won, but 0% shot accuracy\u2014relies on volume and positioning.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Sammie Szmodics (Ipswich Town)<\/strong>: Priced at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betfred.com\/\">6\/4<\/a> (40.0%) anytime scorer with <a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfred?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Betfred<\/a>, underlining his threat from advanced midfield.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>George Hirst (Ipswich Town)<\/strong>: <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/1<\/a> (16.7%) with <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">bet365<\/a> to score first\u2014leads the line and gets into good areas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tactical-trends-amp-stats-to-watch\">Tactical Trends &amp; Stats to Watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ipswich are all about control, averaging 57.1% possession and 82% pass accuracy. Their 36 shots (12 per game) suggest a high-volume approach, but only 15.4% of those are on target\u2014finishing is a concern, with just 2 goals from 2.73 xG. Derby, by contrast, have less of the ball (43.7% possession) and lower pass accuracy (76.1%), but their direct play yields more shots on target (53.3% accuracy) from fewer attempts. Derby&#8217;s biggest weakness is at the back: 9 conceded in 3, no clean sheets, and a tendency to drop points from winning positions (6 already lost this season).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Set pieces could matter\u2014Ipswich average 4.7 corners per game, Derby 4.3. Both sides have yellow card issues (7 each in 3 games), so discipline could swing key moments. Expect Ipswich to press high and look to create through midfield, while Derby will play for quick transitions, using Morris as the focal point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Ipswich&#8217;s shot volume but finishing issues, and Derby&#8217;s defensive record, there are value angles in player and team props. Here are the top picks:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Market<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Selection<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Anytime Goalscorer<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sammie Szmodics<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfred?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">6\/4<\/a> (40.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfred?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Betfred<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby concede 3 per game, Szmodics is Ipswich&#8217;s key late runner<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both Teams To Score<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">No<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">8\/11<\/a> (57.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3 of last 4 H2Hs saw at least one side blank; Derby&#8217;s goals often come in bunches<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Correct Score<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1-0 Ipswich<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">5\/1<\/a> (16.7%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ipswich&#8217;s control rarely yields big scores but Derby&#8217;s back line offers hope<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">To Win To Nil<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ipswich<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">11\/8<\/a> (42.1%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Derby failed to score in 2 of last 4 vs Ipswich; home side&#8217;s ball retention key<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Over\/Under 2.5 Goals<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Under 2.5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">3\/4<\/a> (57.1%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfair?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Betfair<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Only 8 goals in last 4 H2Hs; both teams&#8217; recent attack output underwhelming<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Can Ipswich&#8217;s control finally yield a statement win or will Derby&#8217;s direct threat expose their finishing woes? The numbers lean towards a close-fought home victory, but Carlton Morris and Derby&#8217;s set-piece threat keep the upset in play. Backing <a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfred?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Sammie Szmodics to score anytime at 6\/4<\/a> with <a href=\"\/en\/go\/betfred?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">Betfred<\/a> looks the standout value in a match where quality chances may be at a premium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TL:DR<br \/>\nOn recent form, Ipswich Town look the more controlled side but struggle to convert chances, while Derby County have firepower in Carlton Morris&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":370,"featured_media":1396517,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Championship match between Ipswich and Derby on Saturday 30th August.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1396422","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ipswich Town vs Derby County: Stats, Predictions, Tips &amp; 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