{"id":1464944,"date":"2026-06-30T01:18:39","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T00:18:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=features&#038;p=1464944"},"modified":"2026-06-30T16:32:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T15:32:15","slug":"post-match-analysis-germany-vs-paraguay-29-06-26","status":"publish","type":"features","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/post-match-analysis-germany-vs-paraguay-29-06-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Germany vs Paraguay stats and analysis: Heartbreak for Nagelsmann&#8217;s men as Paraguay&#8217;s 4-4-2 sends them home"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/paraguay\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Paraguay<\/a> caused a big upset at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/world-cup-2026-betting-tips-predictions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2026 World Cup<\/a> as they beat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/germany\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Germany<\/a> on penalties to progress to the last-16.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gustavo Alfaro&#8217;s side took the lead just before half-time, despite the sustained pressured applied by Germany. Julio Enciso headed it home after a nice move down the right, arriving as the free man in the box. Kai Havertz levelled things up early in the second half, with a headed effort unto the far corner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Germany continued to ask questions of the Paraguayan defence, but the South Americans stayed strong, taking the game to extra time. There was plenty of controversy there, with Jonathan Tah a seeing a goal disallowed after VAR review.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paraguay managed to take the game to penalties and secured their spot in the next round, after misses from Havertz, Nick Woltemade and Tah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-yoast-seo-table-of-contents yoast-table-of-contents\"><h2>Germany vs Paraguay analysis<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"#h-paraguay-s-asymmetric-4-4-2\" data-level=\"2\">Paraguay&#8217;s asymmetric 4-4-2<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-germany-routes-to-chances\" data-level=\"2\">Germany routes to chances<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-frantic-finish-as-paraguay-cause-upset\" data-level=\"2\">Frantic finish as Paraguay cause upset<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-paraguay-s-asymmetric-4-4-2\">Paraguay&#8217;s asymmetric 4-4-2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paraguay set up in a solid 4-4-2 shape, but there were a few interesting details. Enciso was heavily oriented towards the right in the front two, looking to apply pressure to Joshua Kimmich whenever he got the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The returning Miguel Almiron and Matias Galarza then took up very narrow positions in the midfield four, blocking any central progression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1024x576.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1464961\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2048x1152.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-400x225.jpeg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-356x200.jpeg 356w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-107x60.jpeg 107w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-150x84.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235139\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-132x74.jpeg 132w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/jlatacticsboard.com\/app\/tactics-board\" id=\"https:\/\/jlatacticsboard.com\/app\/tactics-board\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Image via JLA Tactics Board<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This worked extremely well against Germany, whose primary attacking organisation is built around central combinations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paraguay&#8217;s 4-4-2 left space on the outside of their block, forcing Germany to use their width. And <em>Die Mannschaft<\/em> lack in quality on the flanks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With little to no interest of hitting Germany on th ebreak, Paraguay expend their energy plugging defensive gaps and limiting the threat against them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-1024x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1464976\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-1024x1024.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-768x768.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-1536x1536.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-267x267.jpg 267w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-200x200.jpg 200w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-60x60.jpg 60w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1-74x74.jpg 74w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/30003820\/team_-average-positions-2-10-1.jpg 1620w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paraguay limited Germany to just five shots in the first half, with 0.14 Expected Goals. That&#8217;s despite the Germans having 75% possession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There were some improvements in the second half, but Germany still only managed nine shots and one big chance, with 0.58 xG.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paraguay were looking a little leggy heading into extra time. But they still managed to keep Germany out, with seven shots generating 0.77 xG against them.<\/p>\n\n\n<!-- Shortcode [betano-bet-10-get-10] does not exist -->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-germany-routes-to-chances\">Germany routes to chances<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Julian Nagelsmann set his side out to attack through their usual central combinations in the first half. But he made a few tweaks after the break to generate more threat. There was more emphasis on looking to carve out space in the wide channels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-1024x576.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1464962\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-2048x1152.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-400x225.jpeg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-356x200.jpeg 356w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-107x60.jpeg 107w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-150x84.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235145\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-1-132x74.jpeg 132w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/jlatacticsboard.com\/app\/tactics-board\" id=\"https:\/\/jlatacticsboard.com\/app\/tactics-board\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Image via JLA Tactics Board<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the first half, Germany always had the option to go wide and find the 1v1s against the Paraguay&#8217;s full-backs due to the positioning of Felix Nmecha and Nathaniel Brown. However, Leroy Sane struggled to take advantage of this. He attempted seven dribbles in his 88 minutes on the pitch, but failed to complete a single one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, Florian Wirtz is much more effective operating inside. So he didn&#8217;t really give the wide one-on-one threat Germany needed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So, <em>Die Mannschaft<\/em> looked to create advantages by having their wide men drop deeper to hold width. It forced a Paraguay full-back to follow them out, creating space for an underlapping run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-1024x576.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1464963\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-2048x1152.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-400x225.jpeg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-356x200.jpeg 356w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-107x60.jpeg 107w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-150x84.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/06\/29235151\/Pitchshot-GER-v-PAR-2-132x74.jpeg 132w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/jlatacticsboard.com\/app\/tactics-board\" id=\"https:\/\/jlatacticsboard.com\/app\/tactics-board\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Image via JLA Tactics Board<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Germany&#8217;s increased emphasis on wide attacks allowed them to get more crosses into the box, looking to overload Paraguay&#8217;s defensive line. Their equaliser came from this. Wirtz received the ball in a wide area, with Brown&#8217;s run taking the full-back away with him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This created the space for Wirtz to cut inside, creating separation to deliver a ball into the box where Germany had the overload. Havertz applied the finishing touch with a deft header into the far post.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-frantic-finish-as-paraguay-cause-upset\">Frantic finish as Paraguay cause upset<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Extra time was a frantic affair between both sides. Germany continued to control proceedings, with 90% possession in the first half. They put 11 crosses into the box and continuously looked to put pressure on Paraguay&#8217;s goal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That pressure led to Tah finding the back of the net from a corner. But the goal was disallowed for a soft blocking action on the goalkeeper from Waldemar Anton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Temperatures were boiling from here on. Jamal Musiala was continuously fouled, which led to him losing his temper and putting in a forceful challenge late on. Luckily the connection wasn&#8217;t full-on, so Musiala only received a yellow card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The game went all the way to penalties, with Havertz, Woltemade and Tah all missing from the spot. Paraguay had two bites of the cherry to secure qualification to the next round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fabian Balbuena missed the initial opportunity, but Jose Canale made no mistake from the spot to sent Paraguay to the last-16. They&#8217;ll face the winner of France&#8217;s clash with Sweden, looking to keep their run going.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\">\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/world-cup-2026-betting-tips-predictions\/\"><strong>World Cup predictions &amp; tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/outright-markets\/world-cup-outright-odds\/\"><strong>World Cup outright odds <\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/world-cup-2026-fixtures-results\/\"><b>World Cup fixtures &amp; results<\/b><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/world-cup-2026-betting-offers\/\"><b>World Cup free bets<\/b><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paraguay caused a big upset at the 2026 World Cup as they beat Germany on penalties to progress to the last-16. Gustavo Alfaro&#8217;s side took the lead just before half-time, despite the sustained pressured applied by Germany. Julio Enciso headed it home after a nice move down the right, arriving as the free man in&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3107,"featured_media":1464995,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"germany vs paraguay analysis","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Germany vs Paraguay analysis: How Paraguay's 4-4-2 helped them secure an upset and send Germany out of the 2026 World Cup.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"features-category":[],"squawka-category":[27631],"class_list":["post-1464944","features","type-features","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","squawka-category-world-cup"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Germany vs Paraguay stats and analysis: Heartbreak for Nagelsmann&#039;s men as Paraguay&#039;s 4-4-2 sends 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Soccer, Men, 2026 World Cup, National Team, Germany vs. Paraguay, Round of 32 at Boston Stadium, Paraguay players celebrate their victory. PLEASE NOTE: In accordance with FIFA regulations, these images may be used exclusively for editorial purposes. Commercial use is prohibited. Furthermore, no video-like sequences may be created, and no alterations may be made to the image, either in the foreground or the background. 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Soccer, Men, 2026 World Cup, National Team, Germany vs. Paraguay, Round of 32 at Boston Stadium, Paraguay players celebrate their victory. PLEASE NOTE: In accordance with FIFA regulations, these images may be used exclusively for editorial purposes. Commercial use is prohibited. Furthermore, no video-like sequences may be created, and no alterations may be made to the image, either in the foreground or the background. 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