{"id":1440008,"date":"2026-03-21T17:21:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T17:21:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=features&#038;p=1440008"},"modified":"2026-03-21T17:21:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T17:21:54","slug":"tactical-analysis-derby-county-fun-fight-championship-play-off-contention-2026","status":"publish","type":"features","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/tactical-analysis-derby-county-fun-fight-championship-play-off-contention-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Derby County analysis: All about Rams&#8217; entertaining fight for Championship play-off contention"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Derby County are finding form yet again just in time for the Championship play-offs and are very much in the mix.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hull City are not the only near relegated team last year who are among the teams contending for the play-offs in the current season. Derby&#8217;s <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>John Eustace kept the Rams up in 2024-25 and followed it up with an even more impressive campaign in 2025-26. While there is a chance they end up not making it to the top-6 come final day, nobody had them around these parts of the table on opening weekend back in August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Matchweek 39 is set to end with Derby in 8th. But considering that Wrexham have been in and around the play-off spots for a few months, they are not considered true outsiders. The Rams, on the other hand, have spent just one MW in the top-6 all year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table aligncenter is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>#<\/th><th>Team<\/th><th>Games Played<\/th><th>Points won<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>Coventry City<\/td><td>38<\/td><td>77<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Middlesbrough<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>71<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>Ipswich Town<\/td><td>38<\/td><td>69<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Millwall<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>69<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Hull City<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>66<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>Southampton<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>63<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>Wrexham<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>63<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>Derby County<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>60<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>Watford<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>56<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>Norwich City<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>54<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11<\/td><td>Birmingham<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>53<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>12<\/td><td>QPR<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>53<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>13<\/td><td>Swansea<\/td><td>38<\/td><td>52<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>14<\/td><td>Preston<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>52<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15<\/td><td>Stoke City<\/td><td>39<\/td><td>51<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p>They do look a level below other play-off contenders &#8211; and even Norwich, who are behind them. But John Eustace has done an amazing job and their campaign so far deserves its own piece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-yoast-seo-table-of-contents yoast-table-of-contents\"><h2>Why are Derby County still dreaming about the play-offs?<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"#h-timing\" data-level=\"3\">Timing<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-play-off-suited-style\" data-level=\"3\">Play-off suited style<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-recent-adjustments\" data-level=\"3\">Recent adjustments<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-timing\">Timing<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Football is not always about being the best team or even outplaying the opponent. That&#8217;s the beauty of it and something Derby can hold onto in their hopes of playing more than 46 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While teams like Middlesbrough, Ipswich, Hull and even Wrexham have either been downright slipping lately or just become more inconsistent, the Rams are picking up form at the right time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The start of February was rough for Derby. But they have recovered from a run of three losses from four games with four wins from their last five. It has to be said they beat mostly struggling sides in this span, sich as Blackburn Rovers, Sheffield Wednesday and Portsmouth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, however, their loss was a narrow one at Millwall in which they played the Lions fairly even. It was a good performance considering the venue, the opponent and their form.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2>SpreadEx Sign-Up Offer:\u00a0<\/h2>\r\n<p>SpreadEx are offering new customers the chance to get \u00a360 in free bets when they join and place \u00a310 in qualifying bets.<\/p>\r\n<p>To claim this offer, follow these steps:<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Create your account by clicking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/spreadex?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">this link<\/a> or the image below.<\/li>\r\n<li>Register for your account by adding your details. It only takes a few minutes.<\/li>\r\n<li>Make your first deposit then place a \u00a310 single or \u00a310 each-way fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1\/2<\/li>\r\n<li>Get 3 x \u00a310 free fixed odds bets, 3 x \u00a35 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x \u00a35 Winning Favourites spread bets on consecutive days and a \u00a31 racing Race Index spread bet<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1393518\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-1024x523.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"523\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-1024x523.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-768x392.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-400x204.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-392x200.png 392w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-118x60.png 118w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-150x77.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86-40x20.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/08\/06142720\/image-86.png 1338w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\r\n<div class=\"bookmaker-review\">\r\n<div class=\"bookmaker-review__bet\">\r\n<div class=\"warning\">\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Spread betting losses can exceed deposit. 18+ www.gambleaware.org. Place a \u00a310 fixed odds single or \u00a310 each-way bet at minimum odds of 1\/2 and get 3 x \u00a310 free fixed odds bets, 3 x \u00a35 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x \u00a35 Winning Favourites spread bets and a \u00a31 racing Race Index spread bet. \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Schedule also comes into play in this regard. The Rams are set to face leaders Coventry away next, and also have a trip to Southampton coming up in April. Other than that, they have rather light fixtures: Stoke (H), Oxford United (H) and QPR (A).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are matches against Norwich away and Sheffield United at home, but both in the final three matchweeks. By that time, both opponents might have nothing to play for anymore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-play-off-suited-style\">Play-off suited style<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Derby are a classic, textbook John Eustace side in general. Low blocks, direct football, no true taste for possession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It actually bodes well thinking ahead of the play-offs. Again, it&#8217;s more likely than not that they will end the season below 6th. But they are still in the mix and looking to compete for a chance to play in the Premier League in six months time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the tense environment of knock-out football, being able to sustain pressure and not take risks at the back in-possession are valuable traits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Derby average the third fewest possession in the division, at just 43.7%. Only Oxford (40.0%) and Charlton Athletic (43.2%) see less of the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They are also not shy of going long. There is absolutely no ceremony when they have the ball, no passing it around the back. The Rams have the fourth highest percentage of long balls relative to their total pass attempts (18.6%).<\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"article-page__title\">Dabble sign-up offer: <b data-stringify-type=\"bold\">Bet \u00a310+ &amp; Receive \u00a310 In Free Bets<\/b><\/h2>\r\n<p><strong>Not signed up to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/dabble-sign-up-offer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Dabble<\/a> yet? Here's how to claim the <b data-stringify-type=\"bold\">Bet \u00a310+ &amp; Receive \u00a310 In Free Bets<\/b> welcome offer:<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Sign up to Dabble through this <a href=\"\/en\/go\/dabble?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\">link<\/a><\/li>\r\n<li>Register your account with accurate personal details<\/li>\r\n<li>Place your first bet of \u00a310 or more<\/li>\r\n<li>Receive your \u00a310 in free bets when your qualifying bet has setted<\/li>\r\n<li>Use your Free Bet on any eligible sportsbook market within 7 days<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/dabble?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1423518 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/12083841\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-083822-300x250.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/12083841\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-083822-300x250.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/12083841\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-083822-320x267.png 320w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/12083841\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-083822-240x200.png 240w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/12083841\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-083822-72x60.png 72w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/12083841\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-083822-150x125.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/12083841\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-083822-40x33.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/12083841\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-083822.png 712w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>#AD 18+ 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply.\u00a0<a class=\"c-link\" href=\"http:\/\/gambleaware.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"http:\/\/GambleAware.org\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">GambleAware.org<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, they average the fourth fewest sequences with 10+ passes in open play (4.5) and the third largest distance in their passes (21.2 metres).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most expressive stat, however, is that they lead the league in build-ups defended with low blocks for the whole season (30.6 per game), according to advanced Opta metrics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s also impossible not to mention their away record &#8211; 5th best in the league (W9 D3 L7).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-recent-adjustments\">Recent adjustments<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, it doesn&#8217;t mean they just defend and have no clue what to do going forward. It&#8217;s actually been more of the opposite lately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They still prefer to let the opponent have the ball and hit them on the counter, of course. A front line featuring options like Carlton Morris, Patrick Agyemang, Ben Brereton Diaz, Rhian Brewster and Sammie Szmodics basically requires a fast and direct approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But they have been deadly up front. Only high-flying Southampton (3.1) and leaders Coventry (3.0) have averaged more big chances per game in the Championship since the turn of the year than Derby (2.9). Before New Years, they averaged nearly half of that (1.6)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the Rams still favour a deeper defensive line, but have experimented taking a few steps forward in recent months. Considering the 2026 calendar year, they are seventh in build-ups defended with low blocks (27.5).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They have become capable of beating teams by wanting to have possession (68% in the first half of today&#8217;s 1-0 win vs Birmingham, with 17-3 shots overall) but also by frustrating the opposition (32% possession and 10-27 shots in the 1-0 win over Portsmouth midweek).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The likeliest outcome is that we don&#8217;t actually see Derby in the play-offs. But considering how we&#8217;ve covered most of the teams that had been in and around the top-6 at the time of each writing, it felt wrong to leave the Rams out of this.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if they fall off from here on out, what a turnaround season it&#8217;s been at Pride Park, despite many untimely injuries. They should also have a strong foundation for next season, considering most of their important players will still be under contract.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brereton Diaz and Szmodics are on loan, but their parent clubs might be in the Premier League, which would make negotiations easier for permanent deals or extended loans.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Derby County are finding form yet again just in time for the Championship play-offs and are very much in the mix. Hull City are not the only near relegated team last year who are among the teams contending for the play-offs in the current season. Derby&#8217;s John Eustace kept the Rams up in 2024-25 and&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3354,"featured_media":1440012,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Derby County are finding form yet again just in time for the Championship play-offs and are very much in the mix.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"features-category":[],"squawka-category":[],"class_list":["post-1440008","features","type-features","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Derby County analysis: All about Rams&#039; entertaining fight for Championship play-off contention | Squawka | EN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Derby County are finding form yet again just in time for the Championship play-offs and are very much in the mix.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/tactical-analysis-derby-county-fun-fight-championship-play-off-contention-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Derby County analysis: All about Rams&#039; 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