{"id":1438052,"date":"2026-03-11T13:00:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T13:00:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=features&#038;p=1438052"},"modified":"2026-03-11T13:00:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T13:00:45","slug":"liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying","status":"publish","type":"features","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/","title":{"rendered":"Liverpool analysis: The worrying underlying numbers behind the Reds&#8217; poor form"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/liverpool\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Liverpool<\/a> had recently looked as though a positive end to the campaign could have been on the agenda. But the Reds went from winning six out of seven games across all competitions, to losing two of their last three.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arne Slot&#8217;s side are now sixth in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/premier-league\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Premier League<\/a> table and outside the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/champions-league-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Champions League<\/a> places on goal difference. The Reds have a difficult run of fixtures to end the season too with games against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/everton\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Everton<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/manchester-united\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Manchester United<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/chelsea\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Chelsea<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/aston-villa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Aston Villa<\/a> all on the horizon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Liverpool also head into the second leg of their Champions League last-16 tie against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/galatasaray\/\">Galata<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/galatasaray\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">s<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/galatasaray\/\">aray<\/a> trailing after a 1-0 defeat in Istanbul.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-yoast-seo-table-of-contents yoast-table-of-contents\"><h2>In this article, we&#8217;ll cover:<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"#h-liverpool-s-lack-of-reaction\" data-level=\"3\">Liverpool&#8217;s lack of reaction<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-arne-slot-s-optimism\" data-level=\"3\">Arne Slot&#8217;s optimism<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-liverpool-s-worrying-underlying-numbers\" data-level=\"3\">Liverpool&#8217;s worrying underlying numbers<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-liverpool-s-lack-of-reaction\">Liverpool&#8217;s lack of reaction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In the space of a week, the positivity around the club has dissipated. Galatasaray have to travel to Anfield next week for the second leg but it is hardly a fortress for the Reds these days. They\u2019ve won just eight of 14 in the Premier League this season, losing three, while PSV ran riot on Merseyside earlier in the campaign. Reaching the quarter-finals is not a formality in the slightest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The worrying thing from a Liverpool perspective against Galatasaray was the reaction to conceding. There was no reaction. The hosts took the lead after seven minutes and, while they had some efforts, Liverpool didn\u2019t really pin Okan Buruk\u2019s side in. There was no bombardment of Galatasaray&#8217;s goal.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"820\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-820x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1438056\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-820x1024.png 820w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-240x300.png 240w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-768x960.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-1229x1536.png 1229w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-214x267.png 214w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-160x200.png 160w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-48x60.png 48w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-120x150.png 120w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2-32x40.png 32w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123647\/image2-2.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>It was the second time this season that Galatasaray had beaten Liverpool at home. While it was a fairly equal game, the Turkish side did outrun their guests. When it mattered most, the Reds struggled to ramp things up. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The referee didn\u2019t help their cause, often giving in to the crowd to award soft fouls. But a little shy of one month after Slot declared his side are the fittest they\u2019ve been all season, the reigning Premier League champions look sluggish, tired and unfocused.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1438055\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-1536x1536.png 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-267x267.png 267w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-200x200.png 200w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-60x60.png 60w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2-40x40.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/03\/11123643\/image1-2.png 1620w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-arne-slot-s-optimism\">Arne Slot&#8217;s optimism<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Liverpool when into their clash with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/nottingham-forest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Nottingham Forest<\/a> in mid-February on a decent run of form. The Reds had won four out of five matches and Slot focused on their upturn in form in his pre-match press conference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re in a much better place now than we were months ago and there are two very simple reasons for that,&#8221; he told reporters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;[There are more reasons] but the most simple two are how fit we are now compared with three or four months ago, and the second one is that we are much better in set-pieces at the moment.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To his credit, Liverpool did show superior fitness at the City Ground to snatch a 97th minute winner. They had momentum on their side and followed that up with a 5-2 win over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/west-ham-united\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">West Ham United<\/a> in the Premier League, though it was a game of set-pieces and ricochets rather than one of dominance.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-soa-bs4-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sky Bet Offer<\/a>: Get \u00a340 in free bets when you place any bet<\/h2>\r\n<p>Looking for some free bets to boost your betting fund? Sky Bet are offering customers the chance to get \u00a340 in free bets when they sign up and place any qualifying bet.<\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1422496\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-1024x290.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"290\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-1024x290.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-300x85.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-768x218.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-1536x435.png 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-400x113.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-600x170.png 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-212x60.png 212w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-150x43.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143-40x11.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2023\/11\/06113653\/image-143.png 2036w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li><a href=\"\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Sign up at Sky Bet<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0using this link<\/li>\r\n<li>Place a qualifying bet of at least 5p on a single or each way bet at odds of 1\/1 or greater, as your first bet<\/li>\r\n<li>Claim your \u00a340 free bet bonus<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<h5 class=\"bookmaker-row exclusive\" style=\"text-align: center;\" data-filter=\"  all-bookmakers free-bets in-play new-bookmaker world-cup-offers\">18+ NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE &amp; E\/W BET ONLY ODDS OF 1\/1 OR GREATER. 4 X \u00a310 BET TOKENS. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. FREE BETS EXPIRE AFTER 30 DAYS. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND FURTHER T&amp;CS APPLY.<\/h5>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<p>They then lost to a last-minute strike against bottom-of-the-table <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/wolverhampton-wanderers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Wolverhampton Wanderers<\/a> in the Premier League before getting revenge in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/fa-cup\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FA Cup<\/a>. The games have come thick and fast over the past four weeks but you build fitness for this part of the season. Slot viewed it as a positive less than a month ago and yet now his side appear to be on their last legs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even Dominik Szoboszlai is beginning to show signs of tiredness.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-liverpool-s-worrying-underlying-numbers\">Liverpool&#8217;s worrying underlying numbers<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This begs the question; Are Liverpool actually in a better place, as Slot had claimed?&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers don\u2019t seem to suggest so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since their defeat to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/manchester-city\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Manchester City<\/a> on 9th February, Liverpool have played five matches in the Premier League and Champions League. Obviously it is a small sample size but when comparing the averages from these games to the ones posted between August and early February, it doesn\u2019t paint a pretty picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Liverpool have scored fewer goals on a per 90 minutes basis (1.6 down from 1.82). The worrying metric from an attacking point of view is goals scored from open play. This has taken a significant hit, dropping from 1.24 per 90 to 0.4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Shots are slightly up but Expected Goals per 90 remains the same which suggests the Reds are taking lower value efforts. Set pieces now account for 37% of the xG haul too whereas earlier in the season this was down at 16%. There\u2019s only a small drop-off in xG Conceded too and set-piece xG Conceded has actually risen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a nutshell, Liverpool are relying more on set pieces during this period of improvement that Slot spoke of. Set pieces aren\u2019t a sustainable or reliable point of attack. As the season has progressed, the Reds have become worse in open play and now give up more set piece chances, directly contradicting the claims of their manager. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Combine that with Galatasaray covering more ground than Liverpool in the Champions League and that entire quote from the press conference is now looking a little silly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead of finding their groove, the Reds are, statistically speaking, getting worse.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/premier-league\/\"><strong>Premier League predictions &amp; tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/outright-markets\/premier-league-title-odds\/\"><strong>Premier League outright odds <\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Liverpool had recently looked as though a positive end to the campaign could have been on the agenda. But the Reds went from winning six out of seven games across all competitions, to losing two of their last three. Arne Slot&#8217;s side are now sixth in the Premier League table and outside the Champions League&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3567,"featured_media":1422798,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"features-category":[],"squawka-category":[],"class_list":["post-1438052","features","type-features","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Liverpool analysis: The worrying underlying numbers behind the Reds&#039; poor form | Squawka | EN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Liverpool analysis: The worrying underlying numbers behind the Reds&#039; poor form\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Liverpool had recently looked as though a positive end to the campaign could have been on the agenda. But the Reds went from winning six out of seven games across all competitions, to losing two of their last three. Arne Slot&#8217;s side are now sixth in the Premier League table and outside the Champions League...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Squawka | EN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/SquawkaFootballNews\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-03-11T13:00:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/07155305\/ArneSlot040126_ID3DE1TP9-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@squawka\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Sam McGuire\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/c2b860bd10c704358d3c4cee0597b676\"},\"headline\":\"Liverpool analysis: The worrying underlying numbers behind the Reds&#8217; poor form\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-11T13:00:44+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-11T13:00:45+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/\"},\"wordCount\":867,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/07155305\/ArneSlot040126_ID3DE1TP9-scaled.jpg\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"accessibilityFeature\":[\"tableOfContents\"]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/\",\"name\":\"Liverpool analysis: The worrying underlying numbers behind the Reds' poor form | Squawka | EN\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/07155305\/ArneSlot040126_ID3DE1TP9-scaled.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-11T13:00:44+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-11T13:00:45+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/liverpool-analysis-underlying-numbers-worrying\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/07155305\/ArneSlot040126_ID3DE1TP9-scaled.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2026\/01\/07155305\/ArneSlot040126_ID3DE1TP9-scaled.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1707,\"caption\":\"3DE1TP9 London, UK. 4th Jan, 2026. Arne Slot, Manager of Liverpool during the Fulham vs Liverpool Premier League match at Craven Cottage, London. 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