{"id":1410915,"date":"2025-11-14T16:37:17","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T16:37:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=features&p=1410915"},"modified":"2025-11-14T16:37:18","modified_gmt":"2025-11-14T16:37:18","slug":"best-penalties-premier-league-2025-26","status":"publish","type":"features","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/best-penalties-premier-league-2025-26\/","title":{"rendered":"The best penalties of the 2025-26 Premier League season"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Penalties have an Expected Goals total of 0.79.<\/strong> No matter who you are or the added context of the shot, there’s a 79% chance that a penalty will be scored.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of course, not every penalty is scored. And the chance of a penalty being scored can alter based on the placement of said shot. Which is where post-shot Expected Goals comes in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Post-shot xG does what it says on the tin. It measures the likelihood of a goal being scored after the shot has been taken — based on the placement of the shot on target. So that got us thinking. What has been the best penalty scored this season?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Which player has increased their chance of scoring a penalty based on where they have placed the shot? We’ve taken a look at the top 10, ranked on the difference between the set xG of 0.79 and the post-shot xG of penalties scored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

10. Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace)<\/h2>\n\n\n
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