{"id":1261322,"date":"2022-06-13T13:50:02","date_gmt":"2022-06-13T12:50:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?p=1261322"},"modified":"2022-06-13T13:55:06","modified_gmt":"2022-06-13T12:55:06","slug":"erling-haaland-man-city-golden-boot-transfer","status":"publish","type":"features","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/features\/erling-haaland-man-city-golden-boot-transfer\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Erling Haaland really the “perfect fit\u201d for Man City?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Man City have just confirmed the signing of the best young forward in the world. Arguably, it won\u2019t be long until he\u2019s the best<\/em> forward in the world, full stop. But does that mean Erling Haaland will win the Premier League Golden Boot?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Despite closing in on yet another Premier League title without a traditional centre-forward, City\u2019s desire to add an out-and-out striker to their squad has been clear for a while (last summer\u2019s relentless pursuit of Harry Kane shines a significant torch on their recent transfer policy).<\/p>\n

Ultimately, Pep Guardiola\u2019s near-obsessive drive to bolster his frontline with a more orthodox No. 9 has been galvanised by his desire to win the Champions League \u2014 recently coming up short yet again \u2014 rather than addressing any league issues.<\/p>\n

Erling Haaland<\/a> is the pinnacle of this transfer brief, a single-minded goal machine that seems to break a new record every time he hits the back of the net. The assumption is that he will smash through the 30-goal barrier without breaking a sweat. But how likely is that to happen?<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll be looking at the reasons why he might emerge as the favourite to win the 2022\/23 Premier League Golden Boot as well as providing some cautionary tales that suggest you should rein back your goal predictions. Unless stated otherwise, we\u2019re using the past two seasons of Europe\u2019s top five leagues combined for all our stats.<\/p>\n

So, let\u2019s see what separates this Norwegian goal fiend from us mere mortals\u2026<\/p>\n

Freaky Finisher<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Erling Haaland is the most clinical player in European football. That\u2019s an objective fact. Since the start of the 2019\/20 season, 838 players have attempted 50+ non-penalty shots in a top-five European division and Erling Haaland has the best conversion rate (27.3%).<\/p>\n

In 2021 alone, Haaland won Squawka\u2019s The Most Award for \u2018Most Non-Penalty Goals Added\u2019<\/a> in a top-five European division. His Non-Penalty Expected Goals value jumped from 20.1 NPxG \u2013 calculated based on the location of his shots \u2013 to 25.4 NPxGOT \u2013 calculated based on the placement of his shots on target.<\/p>\n

zhis combination of high-quality chances and freakish finishing ability makes him the most terrifying centre-forward in the world. In his senior career for club and country, he has scored a goal once every 98.6 minutes. Since joining Dortmund, he has scored a Bundesliga or Champions League goal once every 84 minutes. This summer, he\u2019s joining a team that has averaged 2.18 xG per game since Pep Guardiola took charge. We really are expecting<\/em><\/strong> goals.<\/p>\n

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  • Sky Bet Odds: Erling Haaland 25+ PL goals 22\/23 and 10+ PL assists 22\/23: 10\/1<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
    \n

    Erling Haaland had The Most Shooting Goals Added in Europe's top five leagues in 2021:<\/p>\n

    \u25ce 20.1 Non-Penalty Expected Goals
    \u25c9 25.4 Non-Penalty Expected Goals on Target<\/p>\n

    And he scored 26 non-penalty goals. ? pic.twitter.com\/ZJgh4no1yt<\/a><\/p>\n

    — Squawka (@Squawka) January 4, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n